{"id":47922,"date":"2026-04-01T06:54:07","date_gmt":"2026-04-01T06:54:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/47922\/"},"modified":"2026-04-01T06:54:07","modified_gmt":"2026-04-01T06:54:07","slug":"hadhazy-akos-gyozelmere-szamit-zugloban-a-kormanykozeli-nezopont-intezet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/47922\/","title":{"rendered":"Hadh\u00e1zy \u00c1kos gy\u0151zelm\u00e9re sz\u00e1m\u00edt Zugl\u00f3ban a korm\u00e1nyk\u00f6zeli N\u00e9z\u0151pont Int\u00e9zet"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A N\u00e9z\u0151pont Int\u00e9zet kedden nyilv\u00e1noss\u00e1gra hozott mand\u00e1tumbecsl\u00e9si projektj\u00e9nek el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint a 106 v\u00e1laszt\u00f3ker\u00fcletb\u0151l 66-ban nagy val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171s\u00e9ggel Fidesz-gy\u0151zelem v\u00e1rhat\u00f3, szerd\u00e1n azt is <a href=\"https:\/\/nezopont.hu\/hu\/tevekenysegeink\/kozvelemeny-kutatasok\/ebben-a-66-valasztokeruletben-varhato-fidesz-gyozelem\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">k\u00f6z\u00f6lt\u00e9k<\/a>, melyik OEVK-ban kinek a gy\u0151zelm\u00e9re sz\u00e1m\u00edtanak.<\/p>\n<p>A N\u00e9z\u0151pont szerint Budapesten sehol nem nyer a Fidesz, Zugl\u00f3ban viszont a \u201eTisza-k\u00f6zeli\u201d f\u00fcggetlen jel\u00f6lt, Hadh\u00e1zy \u00c1kos gy\u0151zelm\u00e9re sz\u00e1m\u00edtanak. A f\u0151v\u00e1ros k\u00f6rny\u00e9k\u00e9n sem t\u00fal r\u00f3zs\u00e1s a Fidesz helyzete, a N\u00e9z\u0151pont szerint Pest v\u00e1rmegye 14 v\u00e1laszt\u00f3ker\u00fclet\u00e9b\u0151l csak 6 eset\u00e9ben v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 Fidesz-gy\u0151zelem.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/1775023228-temp-mi9vk58qafpu2GNlIbb_cikktorzs:xl.png\"  loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Forr\u00e1s: N\u00e9z\u0151pont Int\u00e9zet\" class=\"placeholder_\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Forr\u00e1s: N\u00e9z\u0151pont Int\u00e9zet<\/p>\n<p>H\u00e9t v\u00e1rmegy\u00e9ben egyetlen OEVK-ban sem sz\u00e1m\u00edtanak arra, hogy nyerne a Tisza jel\u00f6ltje, hat v\u00e1rmegy\u00e9ben 1-1 v\u00e1laszt\u00f3ker\u00fcletet, \u00f6tben pedig 2-2-t adnak Magyar P\u00e9ter\u00e9knek, vagyis \u00f6sszesen 39 OEVK-ban lehet tisz\u00e1s k\u00e9pvisel\u0151.<\/p>\n<p>A N\u00e9z\u0151pont Int\u00e9zet a becsl\u00e9shez pontos m\u00f3dszertant nem k\u00f6z\u00f6lt, azt \u00edrt\u00e1k, hogy h\u00e1rom elj\u00e1r\u00e1st alkalmaztak. Feldolgozt\u00e1k a v\u00e1laszt\u00e1st\u00f6rt\u00e9neti adatokat, a mand\u00e1tumkalkul\u00e1torokban az egyes v\u00e1laszt\u00f3ker\u00fcletek szok\u00e1sos elt\u00e9r\u00e9s\u00e9t vett\u00e9k figyelembe az orsz\u00e1gos k\u00f6zv\u00e9lem\u00e9ny-kutat\u00e1si eredm\u00e9nyekt\u0151l, valamint 2026-ban 30 v\u00e1laszt\u00f3ker\u00fcletben k\u00e9sz\u00edtettek reprezentat\u00edv felm\u00e9r\u00e9st, de ezek pontos eredm\u00e9nye \u00e9s m\u00f3dszertana sem ismert.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A N\u00e9z\u0151pont Int\u00e9zet kedden nyilv\u00e1noss\u00e1gra hozott mand\u00e1tumbecsl\u00e9si projektj\u00e9nek el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint a 106 v\u00e1laszt\u00f3ker\u00fcletb\u0151l 66-ban nagy val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171s\u00e9ggel Fidesz-gy\u0151zelem v\u00e1rhat\u00f3,&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":47923,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[33],"tags":[80,3486,38,6303,35,37,44,42,40,43,944,41,13373,34,6545,4649,945,36,948,39,4801],"class_list":{"0":"post-47922","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-hirek","8":"tag-belfold","9":"tag-fidesz-kdnp","10":"tag-focimek","11":"tag-hadhazy-akos","12":"tag-headlines","13":"tag-hirek","14":"tag-hu","15":"tag-hungarian","16":"tag-hungary","17":"tag-magyar","18":"tag-magyar-peter","19":"tag-magyarorszag","20":"tag-mandatumbecsles","21":"tag-news","22":"tag-nezopont-intezet","23":"tag-partpreferenciak","24":"tag-tisza-part","25":"tag-top-stories","26":"tag-valasztas-2026","27":"tag-vezeto-hirek","28":"tag-zuglo"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@hu\/116328140936400024","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47922","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47922"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47922\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47923"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47922"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47922"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47922"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}