{"id":56968,"date":"2026-04-08T17:07:06","date_gmt":"2026-04-08T17:07:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/56968\/"},"modified":"2026-04-08T17:07:06","modified_gmt":"2026-04-08T17:07:06","slug":"torok-gabor-sokatmondo-keppel-reagalt-a-median-mandatumbecslesere","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/56968\/","title":{"rendered":"T\u00f6r\u00f6k G\u00e1bor sokatmond\u00f3 k\u00e9ppel reag\u00e1lt a Medi\u00e1n mand\u00e1tumbecsl\u00e9s\u00e9re"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00f6r\u00f6k G\u00e1bor politikai elemz\u0151 Facebook-oldal\u00e1n egy k\u00e9pp\u00e1rral \u00e9s egy id\u00e9zettel reag\u00e1lt a Medi\u00e1n friss mand\u00e1tumbecsl\u00e9s\u00e9re, amelyet a legut\u00f3bbi \u00f6t reprezentat\u00edv felm\u00e9r\u00e9se alapj\u00e1n k\u00e9sz\u00edtettek. Eszerint a Tisza P\u00e1rtnak 138-143 k\u00e9pvisel\u0151je lehet az Orsz\u00e1ggy\u0171l\u00e9sben, vagyis sima k\u00e9tharmados t\u00f6bbs\u00e9gre sz\u00e1m\u00edthat.<\/p>\n<p> <a href=\"https:\/\/hvg.hu\/360\/20260408_median-mandatumbecsles-fidesz-tisza-valasztas-kethamad-kampany\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"> <\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/hvg.hu\/360\/20260408_median-mandatumbecsles-fidesz-tisza-valasztas-kethamad-kampany<\/p>\n<p>T\u00f6r\u00f6k G\u00e1bor \u00f6sszevetette a <a href=\"https:\/\/hvg.hu\/360\/20220330_Median_valasztas_2022_Fidesz_ellenzek_mandatumbecsles_kozvelemeny_kutatas\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Medi\u00e1n 2022-es<\/a> mand\u00e1umbecsl\u00e9st a mostanival. A Medi\u00e1n 2022-es v\u00e1laszt\u00e1st megel\u0151z\u0151 becsl\u00e9se 71 mand\u00e1tumot m\u00e9rt az egyes\u00fclt ellenz\u00e9knek, a Fidesznek pedig 128 helyet j\u00f3solt.<\/p>\n<p>Akkor a Fidesz v\u00e9g\u00fcl 135 mand\u00e1tumot szerzett, az egyes\u00fclt ellenz\u00e9k pedig 57-et, teh\u00e1t a t\u00f6bbi k\u00f6zv\u00e9lem\u00e9ny-kutat\u00f3hoz k\u00e9pest a Medi\u00e1n olyan minim\u00e1lisat t\u00e9vedett, hogy ha a n\u00e9gy \u00e9vvel ezel\u0151tti hibahat\u00e1rt hozza most is, az m\u00e9g mindig k\u00e9tharmadot jelentene a Tisz\u00e1nak.<\/p>\n<p> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/torokgaborelemez\/posts\/pfbid02FrsHWG8BP6CjVaskiTaZmH9tLhraEoigvVAfJcYTSo7xwLLdS5oZXN6zxjjBMCPol\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"> <\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/torokgaborelemez\/posts\/pfbid02FrsHWG8BP6CjVaskiTaZmH9tLhraEoigvVAfJcYTSo7xwLLdS5oZXN6zxjjBMCPol<\/p>\n<p>T\u00f6r\u00f6k M\u00e1rki-Zay P\u00e9tert id\u00e9zte, v\u00e9lhet\u0151en arra utalva, hogy b\u00e1rkit is hozzanak ki vesztesnek, az nem fogadja el k\u00f6nnyen az eredm\u00e9nyeket: \u201eHa Orb\u00e1n Viktor tervezte volna ezt a kutat\u00e1st, \u00e9s azt, hogy mikor \u00e9s hol jelenjen meg, pontosan ugyanezt csin\u00e1lta volna. \u00c9s ami \u00fagy n\u00e9z ki, mintha Orb\u00e1n Viktor csin\u00e1lta volna, azt sokszor t\u00e9nyleg Orb\u00e1n Viktor csin\u00e1lja\u201d \u2013 mondta M\u00e1rki-Zay P\u00e9ter 2022-ben, a Medi\u00e1n-becsl\u00e9s publik\u00e1l\u00e1s\u00e1nak napj\u00e1n.<\/p>\n<p>Kor\u00e1bban Orb\u00e1n Viktor <a href=\"https:\/\/hvg.hu\/itthon\/20260225_hann-endre-elo-median-tisza-vezet-orban-viktor-humorista\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">humorist\u00e1nak nevezte<\/a> Hann Endr\u00e9t, a Medi\u00e1n vezet\u0151j\u00e9t. S\u0151t, a Fideszt annyira nem \u00e9rdeklik a korm\u00e1nyf\u00fcggetlen kutat\u00e1sok, hogy De\u00e1k D\u00e1niel korm\u00e1nyp\u00e1rti propagandista m\u00e9g <a href=\"https:\/\/hvg.hu\/itthon\/20260226_azt-mertuk-januarban-amit-a-hvg-ben-kozzetettunk-reagalt-a-median-vezetoje-deak-daniel-valasztas\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">saj\u00e1t Medi\u00e1n-kutat\u00e1st is hamis\u00edtott<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>A friss adatokra m\u00e1r Magyar P\u00e9ter, a Tisza P\u00e1rt eln\u00f6ke is reag\u00e1lt: <a href=\"https:\/\/hvg.hu\/itthon\/20260408_nem-kozvelemeny-kutatast-kell-nyerni-mondta-magyar-peter-a-median-ketharmados-mandatumbecslese-utanmedian-ketharmad-kalocsa\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">szerinte nem k\u00f6zv\u00e9lem\u00e9ny-kutat\u00e1st<\/a>, hanem v\u00e1laszt\u00e1st kell nyerni.<\/p>\n<p>Nyit\u00f3k\u00e9p: Fazekas Istv\u00e1n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"T\u00f6r\u00f6k G\u00e1bor politikai elemz\u0151 Facebook-oldal\u00e1n egy k\u00e9pp\u00e1rral \u00e9s egy id\u00e9zettel reag\u00e1lt a Medi\u00e1n friss mand\u00e1tumbecsl\u00e9s\u00e9re, amelyet a legut\u00f3bbi&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":56969,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[33],"tags":[89,38,35,37,44,42,40,5997,8655,43,41,4648,34,2670,36,1671,948,39],"class_list":{"0":"post-56968","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-hirek","8":"tag-fidesz","9":"tag-focimek","10":"tag-headlines","11":"tag-hirek","12":"tag-hu","13":"tag-hungarian","14":"tag-hungary","15":"tag-ketharmad","16":"tag-kozvelemenykutatas","17":"tag-magyar","18":"tag-magyarorszag","19":"tag-median","20":"tag-news","21":"tag-tisza","22":"tag-top-stories","23":"tag-torok-gabor","24":"tag-valasztas-2026","25":"tag-vezeto-hirek"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@hu\/116370187673235600","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56968","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56968"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56968\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/56969"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56968"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56968"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56968"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}