{"id":78776,"date":"2026-04-27T07:07:10","date_gmt":"2026-04-27T07:07:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/78776\/"},"modified":"2026-04-27T07:07:10","modified_gmt":"2026-04-27T07:07:10","slug":"a-kovetkezo-40-ev-eldontheti-az-emberiseg-sorsat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/78776\/","title":{"rendered":"A k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 40 \u00e9v eld\u00f6ntheti az emberis\u00e9g sors\u00e1t"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Hamarosan a beindul\u00f3 n\u00e9pess\u00e9gfogy\u00e1s k\u00f6vetkezt\u00e9ben el\u00e9rkezik \u201ea nagy munkaer\u0151hi\u00e1ny, ami glob\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1gi k\u00e1oszt fog okozni\u201d \u2013 legal\u00e1bbis ezt \u00e1ll\u00edtja a glob\u00e1lis demogr\u00e1fi\u00e1t kutat\u00f3 Sebastian Dettmers.<\/p>\n<p>Dettmers az adatokb\u00f3l azt olvassa ki, hogy a \u201en\u00e9pess\u00e9gcs\u00f6kken\u00e9shez vezet\u0151 er\u0151k m\u00e1r mozg\u00e1sban vannak\u201d: a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 n\u00e9gy \u00e9vtizedben vil\u00e1gszerte a n\u00e9pess\u00e9g cs\u00f6kken\u00e9s\u00e9re sz\u00e1m\u00edt, \u00e9s ehhez nem kellenek h\u00e1bor\u00fak, v\u00edrusok vagy term\u00e9szeti katasztr\u00f3f\u00e1k, el\u00e9g a magas \u00e9letsz\u00ednvonal \u00e9s a vele j\u00e1r\u00f3 cs\u00f6kken\u0151 sz\u00fclet\u00e9si ar\u00e1ny.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/raketa.hu\/uploads\/2026\/04\/jatszoter-unsplash.jpg\" data-lightbox=\"raketa-gallery\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1448\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/jatszoter-unsplash-1200x869.jpg\" alt=\"\" autoclip=\"\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u201eAz emberek eg\u00e9szs\u00e9gesebbek, gazdagabbak, jobban k\u00e9pzettek, tov\u00e1bb \u00e9lnek, \u00e9s kevesebb gyermek\u00fck van \u2013 magyar\u00e1zta Dettmers. \u2013 De az emberis\u00e9g cs\u00f6kken\u00e9se nem ok az \u00f6r\u00f6mre, hanem ink\u00e1bb a gazdas\u00e1gunkra leselked\u0151 katasztr\u00f3f\u00e1t jelent.<\/p>\n<p>A cs\u00f6kken\u0151 n\u00e9pess\u00e9g okozta nagy munkaer\u0151hi\u00e1ny megb\u00e9n\u00edtja a glob\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1got, hacsak nem tal\u00e1lunk innovat\u00edv m\u00f3dokat a dolgok m\u0171k\u00f6d\u00e9sben tart\u00e1s\u00e1ra.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>B\u00e1r a cs\u00f6kken\u0151 n\u00e9pess\u00e9g a vil\u00e1g er\u0151forr\u00e1sait felem\u00e9szt\u0151 a t\u00faln\u00e9pesed\u00e9s ellen hat, a szak\u00e9rt\u0151 szerint a cs\u00f6kken\u0151 sz\u00fclet\u00e9si ar\u00e1ny \u2013 a leggazdagabb t\u00e1rsadalmakban a legmeredekebb visszaes\u00e9sekkel \u2013 azt jelenti, hogy nem lesz el\u00e9g fiatal munkav\u00e1llal\u00f3 a megn\u00f6vekedett \u00e9letsz\u00ednvonal fenntart\u00e1s\u00e1hoz.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/raketa.hu\/uploads\/2026\/04\/parkolo-unsplash.jpg\" data-lightbox=\"raketa-gallery\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/parkolo-unsplash-1200x800.jpg\" alt=\"\" autoclip=\"\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>A Gates Alap\u00edtv\u00e1ny kutat\u00e1sai alapj\u00e1n konzervat\u00edv el\u0151rejelz\u00e9sek szerint a vil\u00e1g n\u00e9pess\u00e9ge a sz\u00e1zad v\u00e9g\u00e9re egymilli\u00e1rd f\u0151vel cs\u00f6kken a cs\u00facshoz k\u00e9pest, \u00e9s hozz\u00e1teszi, hogy Olaszorsz\u00e1gban, Spanyolorsz\u00e1gban \u00e9s G\u00f6r\u00f6gorsz\u00e1gban a munkak\u00e9pes lakoss\u00e1g t\u00f6bb mint a fel\u00e9re cs\u00f6kken, m\u00edg Lengyelorsz\u00e1g, Portug\u00e1lia, Rom\u00e1nia, Jap\u00e1n \u00e9s K\u00edna mind elvesz\u00edtheti munkaerej\u00e9nek ak\u00e1r k\u00e9tharmad\u00e1t.<\/p>\n<p>\u201eA k\u00f6zelg\u0151 n\u00e9pess\u00e9gcs\u00f6kken\u00e9s int\u0151 jel \u2013 folytatja Dettmers. \u2013 Az elm\u00falt \u00e9vsz\u00e1zadok gazdas\u00e1gi n\u00f6veked\u00e9s\u00e9nek legfontosabb \u00fczemanyaga az emberek voltak. Kevesebb emberrel pedig kevesebb munk\u00e1t lehet elv\u00e9gezni.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/raketa.hu\/uploads\/2026\/04\/irod-unsplash.jpg\" data-lightbox=\"raketa-gallery\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1075\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/irod-unsplash-1200x645.jpg\" alt=\"\" autoclip=\"\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>A cs\u00f6kken\u0151 munkaer\u0151vel cs\u00f6kken a hat\u00e9konys\u00e1g, kevesebb tan\u00e1r, m\u00e9rn\u00f6k, orvos, \u00e1pol\u00f3 \u00e9s szolg\u00e1ltat\u00f3 lesz.<\/p>\n<p>Mindez egy lefel\u00e9 tart\u00f3 spir\u00e1l: alacsonyabb termel\u00e9s \u00e9s teljes\u00edtm\u00e9ny, kevesebb p\u00e9nzk\u00f6lt\u00e9s, zsugorod\u00f3 v\u00e1llalkoz\u00e1sok, alacsonyabb profit \u00e9s cs\u00f6kken\u0151 gazdas\u00e1gi n\u00f6veked\u00e9s.<\/p>\n<p>Mindemellett Dettmers megold\u00e1si javaslata sem t\u00fal eredetinek, sem t\u00fal meggy\u0151z\u0151nek nem t\u0171nik. Ugyanis szerinte a n\u00e9pess\u00e9gfogy\u00e1s hat\u00e1sainak lek\u00fczd\u00e9s\u00e9hez \u201eaz elm\u00e9nk forradalm\u00e1ra\u201d lesz sz\u00fcks\u00e9g, valamint \u201erobotokra \u00e9s mesters\u00e9ges intelligenci\u00e1ra, amelyek elv\u00e9gzik helyett\u00fcnk a munk\u00e1nkat, \u00e9s mindenkinek lehet\u0151s\u00e9get adnak a megfelel\u0151 oktat\u00e1sra \u00e9s k\u00e9pz\u00e9sre.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>(Forr\u00e1s: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.popularmechanics.com\/science\/environment\/a71051702\/global-population-shortage-humans\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Popular Mechanics<\/a>, fot\u00f3: Unsplash)<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>                                        <br class=\"clear\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Hamarosan a beindul\u00f3 n\u00e9pess\u00e9gfogy\u00e1s k\u00f6vetkezt\u00e9ben el\u00e9rkezik \u201ea nagy munkaer\u0151hi\u00e1ny, ami glob\u00e1lis gazdas\u00e1gi k\u00e1oszt fog okozni\u201d \u2013 legal\u00e1bbis ezt&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":78777,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[15363,63,28287,42,1506,43,8723,28286,34,28288,94,93,92],"class_list":{"0":"post-78776","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-vilag","8":"tag-eletszinvonal","9":"tag-gazdasag","10":"tag-globalis-egyensuly","11":"tag-hungarian","12":"tag-kutatas","13":"tag-magyar","14":"tag-nepesseg","15":"tag-nepszamlalas","16":"tag-news","17":"tag-sebastian-dettmers","18":"tag-vilag","19":"tag-world","20":"tag-world-news"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@hu\/116475412212727172","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78776","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=78776"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78776\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/78777"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=78776"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=78776"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/hu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=78776"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}