Micron Technology (MU) just wrapped its fiscal year with eye-catching results, as revenue and profits jumped ahead of Wall Street’s estimates. Early guidance for the next quarter looks bright and is underpinned by soaring demand for advanced memory products.
See our latest analysis for Micron Technology.
Micron’s impressive year-end performance arrives after a wave of positive news, including an affirmed dividend, strong new guidance, and high-profile conference appearances. Enthusiasm around AI infrastructure and increased demand for advanced memory has lifted sentiment, with analysts quickly raising earnings estimates. The share price recently pulled back after an initial post-earnings jump. Micron’s longer-term total shareholder return remains solid, reflecting both the stock’s cyclical nature and its growing clout in the data center market.
If you’re curious what else is gaining momentum in this fast-moving sector, there’s never been a better time to check out the See the full list for free..
After such a stunning run for Micron, with momentum on its side and analysts raising forecasts, investors may wonder if the recent pullback is a rare chance to buy into future AI growth or if the market has already priced it all in.
Micron Technology’s most widely followed narrative places its fair value at $159.91, while the stock recently closed at $182.15. This gap is informed by bold projections for memory demand and profitability, but also highlights analyst debates around where the market should value the company next.
The company’s expanding position as a leading supplier of specialized, high-value memory products (notably HBM and LPDDR for data centers), along with an increasing mix shift away from commodity/consumer segments, is enabling durable gross margin expansion and improved earnings quality. Proliferation of industrial, automotive, and broad distribution markets is coming off several quarters of stagnation and now rebounding, contributing incremental demand for Micron’s memory solutions and supporting long-term revenue growth.
Want to know the game-changing assumptions behind this valuation? Analysts are betting on breakout profit margins, rapid revenue gains, and a future multiple more often reserved for industry titans. Curious whether those numbers hold up or if expectations are overly ambitious? The full narrative reveals the bold forecast fueling this rich price target.
Result: Fair Value of $159.91 (OVERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.
However, intensifying memory sector competition and unexpected market volatility could quickly challenge Micron’s strong profit and growth expectations. This could shift the bullish narrative.
Find out about the key risks to this Micron Technology narrative.
While the dominant narrative points to overvaluation using forward projections, the company’s price-to-earnings ratio sits at 23.9x, significantly below both the semiconductor industry average of 37.1x and the peer average of 51.4x. It is also well under the fair ratio of 39.7x, hinting at strong value relative to rivals. This discrepancy could mean the market is missing Micron’s upside, or perhaps the risks are greater than they appear. Are market multiples sending a signal the valuation models missed?
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
NasdaqGS:MU PE Ratio as at Oct 2025
If you think there’s another side to Micron’s story, or simply want to dive into the data and shape your own perspective, you can easily put together your own view in just a few minutes. Do it your way.
A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Micron Technology.
Don’t miss out on smarter opportunities. Check out these hand-picked ideas trusted by thousands of investors. Let Simply Wall Street Screener help you uncover standout stocks poised for the future.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include MU.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com