The current national weather forecast for the coming days is positive with settled weather set to dominateTemperatures are expected to dip before the end of the month. (Image: WXCharts.com)
The Irish autumn is well and truly here but winter is just around the corner.
The after effects of Storm Amy across Ireland are still fresh but temperatures have remained within average ranges for this time of year however, according to newly published weather maps, that could change within weeks.
The average temperature for Ireland in October according to Met Eireann is between 9°C to 12°C but weather data from WXCharts.com suggests freezing temperatures could sweep across the country before the end of the month.
In a weather chart published on WXCharts.com on Wednesday morning, the 12 hour minimum temperature for some parts of Ireland on Monday October 20, is set to almost 0°C.
Meanwhile, Met Eireann has updated its extended range weather forecast and says that despite the WXCharts.com maps, it expects mean temperatures to remain within average ranges.
Elsewhere, the current national weather forecast for the coming days is positive with settled weather set to dominate.
Met Eireann national outlook:
Overview: High pressure will bring settled and largely dry weather.Thursday night: Mainly cloudy with isolated drizzle and patches of mist and fog. Lowest temperatures of 7 to 11 degrees with light to moderate westerly or variable winds.Friday: Mainly cloudy and dry but with isolated drizzle in the north and west. Highest temperatures of 12 to 15 degrees with light to moderate westerly or variable winds.Friday night: Isolated light showers in the north and west but otherwise dry with a mix of cloudy and clear periods. Lowest temperatures of 5 to 11 degrees with light and variable winds.Saturday: Mainly dry and cloudy, although some sunny breaks will develop at times. Highest temperatures of 13 to 15 degrees in near calm conditions.Saturday night: Dry with a mix of cloud and clear spells. Mist and fog will develop in some areas as winds remain very light. Lowest temperatures of 4 to 11 degrees, mildest in Ulster.Sunday: Mainly dry and cloudy, although some sunny breaks will occur at times. Highest temperatures of 13 to 16 degrees with light easterly or variable winds.Early next week: Staying settled with high pressure remaining nearby.
Met Eireann extended range forecast:
Week 1 (Monday October 13 to Sunday October 19)
There is a strong signal for high pressure to be centred to the northwest of Ireland during the period, suggesting more settled weather. Mean air temperatures are expected to be average for this time of year, and slightly higher in the north and west of the country. Precipitation amounts are also likely to be below average as a result of the high-pressure signal.
Week 2 (Monday October 20 to Sunday October 26)
Uncertainty in the forecast increases for week 2 but current signals suggest a return to lower pressure. Mean air temperatures are expected to be average for this time of year, with precipitation amounts expected to be above average for most of the country, with more average amounts signalled over west and northwest fringes.
Week 3 (Monday October 27 to Sunday November 2)
While confidence is lower for week 3, the signal for low pressure persists. Mean air temperatures are expected to remain average for this time of year. Precipitation amounts are expected to continue above average across the country.
Week 4 (Monday November 3 to Sunday November 9)
Very low confidence in the forecast for week 4. A slight signal remains for low pressure with mean air temperatures expected to remain average for this time of year. Precipitation amounts are likely to continue higher than average.
The extended range forecast comes with the usual warning: “The extended range forecast, which includes the monthly and seasonal forecasts, can at times provide an insight into weather patterns in the months ahead.
“However, they should not be used for specific planning purposes as they have generally low skill compared with the 10-day forecast. This is because forecasts beyond one week become increasingly uncertain due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere,” says Met Eireann.
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