Whether it be online shopping or social media, secular forces are propelling consumer internet businesses forward. These themes have enabled rapid growth for the industry, which has posted a 36.9% gain over the past six months compared to 26% for the S&P 500.
However, long-term winners that can stand the test of time are rare in this space because competition is fierce with many well-capitalized companies. Taking that into account, here are two internet stocks we think can generate sustainable market-beating returns and one that may face trouble.
Market Cap: $15.81 billion
Founded by Ryan Cohen, who later became known for his involvement in GameStop, Chewy (NYSE:CHWY) is an online retailer specializing in pet food, supplies, and healthcare services.
Why Does CHWY Worry Us?
-
Large revenue base makes it harder to increase sales quickly, and its annual revenue growth of 9% over the last three years was below our standards for the consumer internet sector
-
Estimated sales growth of 5.9% for the next 12 months implies demand will slow from its three-year trend
-
Gross margin of 29.2% reflects its high servicing costs
Chewy is trading at $37.57 per share, or 20.8x forward EV/EBITDA. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including CHWY in your portfolio, it’s free for active Edge members.
Market Cap: $7.78 billion
Originally started as a dial-up service before widespread internet adoption, Match (NASDAQ:MTCH) was an early innovator in online dating and today has a portfolio of apps including Tinder, Hinge, Archer, and OkCupid.
Why Are We Positive On MTCH?
-
Customer spending is rising as the company has focused on monetization over the last two years, leading to 8.9% annual growth in its average revenue per user
-
Healthy EBITDA margin of 36.3% shows it’s a well-run company with efficient processes
-
MTCH is a free cash flow machine with the flexibility to invest in growth initiatives or return capital to shareholders, and its growing cash flow gives it even more resources to deploy
At $32.23 per share, Match Group trades at 6.5x forward EV/EBITDA. Is now a good time to buy? Find out in our full research report, it’s free for active Edge members.
Market Cap: $502.9 billion
Launched by Reed Hastings as a DVD mail rental company until its famous pivot to streaming in 2007, Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) is a pioneering streaming content platform.
Why Are We Bullish on NFLX?
-
Global Streaming Paid Memberships are rising, meaning the company can increase revenue without incurring additional customer acquisition costs if it can cross-sell additional products and features
-
Share buybacks catapulted its annual earnings per share growth to 27.8%, which outperformed its revenue gains over the last three years
-
Free cash flow margin increased by 19.9 percentage points over the last few years, giving the company more capital to invest or return to shareholders