{"id":105926,"date":"2025-10-07T00:03:12","date_gmt":"2025-10-07T00:03:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/105926\/"},"modified":"2025-10-07T00:03:12","modified_gmt":"2025-10-07T00:03:12","slug":"us-likely-to-fall-into-recession-moodys-chief-economist-mark-zandi-flags-22-states-with-persistent-economic-weakness","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/105926\/","title":{"rendered":"US likely to fall into recession? Moody\u2019s chief economist Mark Zandi flags 22 states with persistent economic weakness"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The US economy is on the verge of entering a damaging contraction, and many states are witnessing recession already, according to a report by MarketWatch citing Moody Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi.<\/p>\n<p>Zandi estimates that 22 states, along with the District of <a class=\"backlink\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.livemint.com\/news\/us-news\/us-rejects-visa-application-of-indian-student-with-columbia-university-scholarship-says-he-didn-t-had-sufficient-ties-11759742998524.html\" data-vars-page-type=\"story\" data-vars-link-type=\"Manual\" data-vars-anchor-text=\"Columbia\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Columbia<\/a>, are currently facing ongoing economic weakness and job losses, which are likely to persist.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe economy is still not in recession, but the risks are very high. We\u2019re on the precipice,\u201d Zandi said in an interview.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Also Read<\/strong> | <a href=\"https:\/\/www.livemint.com\/economy\/vladimir-putin-warns-trump-tariffs-on-india-china-may-backfire-on-us-economy-heres-why-11759428625451.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Putin warns Trump tariffs on India, China may backfire on US economy<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a class=\"backlink\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.livemint.com\/news\/us-news\/california-governor-gavin-newsom-mocks-donald-trump-with-taylor-swift-theme-video-watch-here-11759595014910.html\" data-vars-page-type=\"story\" data-vars-link-type=\"Manual\" data-vars-anchor-text=\"California\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">California <\/a>and New York are currently struggling to maintain stability. If either state falters, it could push the economy into a recession, Zandi said.<\/p>\n<p>This week, UCLA Anderson School of Management issued a separate forecast suggesting that a recession in California is now a possibility.<\/p>\n<p>A common feature of recession-affected states is weak farm economies or struggling light manufacturing. <a class=\"backlink\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.livemint.com\/economy\/us-flagging-job-market-relies-on-these-sectors-says-moodys-mark-zandi-this-happens-when-economy-is-in-recession-11757296949709.html\" data-vars-page-type=\"story\" data-vars-link-type=\"Manual\" data-vars-anchor-text=\"Zandi\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Zandi <\/a>said any region reliant on goods-producing sectors, including agriculture, mining, and light manufacturing, is currently weak, adding that an ailing transportation sector is worsening the downturn.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Also Read<\/strong> | <a href=\"https:\/\/www.livemint.com\/economy\/the-fed-rolls-back-recession-risk-11758191081502.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">The Fed rolls back recession risk<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Zandi expressed surprise that <a class=\"backlink\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.livemint.com\/companies\/news\/georgia-judge-wont-award-attorneys-fees-to-governments-in-lawsuit-over-rivian-vehicle-plant-11757705990273.html\" data-vars-page-type=\"story\" data-vars-link-type=\"Manual\" data-vars-anchor-text=\"Georgia\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Georgia <\/a>is currently in a recession, noting that the state has experienced a notable decline in domestic immigration, partly due to high home prices.<\/p>\n<p>Pennsylvania, on the other hand, is unexpectedly performing well, he noted, due to its strengths in <a class=\"backlink\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.livemint.com\/news\/trends\/is-it-worth-it-bengaluru-parent-flags-rs-1-85-lakh-pre-nursery-fee-sparks-debate-on-soaring-education-costs-11756560881702.html\" data-vars-page-type=\"story\" data-vars-link-type=\"Manual\" data-vars-anchor-text=\"education\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">education <\/a>and healthcare.<\/p>\n<p>What led to a weak economy?<\/p>\n<p>Zandi states that the economic policy is the reason for the weakness.<\/p>\n<p>President Donald <a class=\"backlink\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.livemint.com\/entertainment\/saturday-night-live-parodies-trump-s-crackdown-on-late-night-tv-jimmy-kimmel-suspension-and-brendan-carr-s-fcc-role-11759687095714.html\" data-vars-page-type=\"story\" data-vars-link-type=\"Manual\" data-vars-anchor-text=\"Trump\u2019s\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Trump\u2019s <\/a>tariffs on imported goods have created uncertainty, leading companies to halt expansion plans and disrupt supply chains. Additionally, the lack of labour-force growth this year has negatively impacted the economy.<\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, federal job reductions associated with the Trump administration\u2019s Department of Government Efficiency, formerly headed by Elon Musk, have caused Washington, DC, and nearby states to experience the most severe downturn of any region.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Also Read<\/strong> | <a href=\"https:\/\/www.livemint.com\/economy\/imf-us-will-avoid-recession-china-india-economy-donald-trump-tariffs-11745420288014.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Mint Primer: US GDP contracts 0.3% in Q1\u2014why the IMF still sees no recession<\/a>What is recession?<\/p>\n<p>According to the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), a <a class=\"backlink\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.livemint.com\/topic\/recession\" data-vars-page-type=\"story\" data-vars-link-type=\"Manual\" data-vars-anchor-text=\"recession\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">recession <\/a>is a substantial decline in economic activity that affects the entire economy and persists for more than a few months.<\/p>\n<p>The organisation emphasises several key indicators, such as nonfarm payroll employment, inflation-adjusted personal income excluding transfers, inflation-adjusted consumer spending, and industrial production.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Also Read<\/strong> | <a href=\"https:\/\/www.livemint.com\/global\/americans-are-side-hustling-like-we-re-in-a-recession-11750301747640.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Americans are side hustling like we\u2019re in a recession<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Zandi acknowledged that similar data is not available for state economies. He mentions attempting to replicate the NBER&#8217;s approach, though his conclusions involve considerable judgment. While he has advised congressional Democrats on policy, he describes himself as an independent. He previously served as a top adviser to the late Republican Sen. John McCain during his presidential campaign.<\/p>\n<p>The prevailing narrative among economists is that the U.S. economy\u2019s expansion will continue, driven by consumer spending.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The US economy is on the verge of entering a damaging contraction, and many states are witnessing recession&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":105927,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[73],"tags":[79,11902,66433,18,19,17,34402,6793,4367],"class_list":{"0":"post-105926","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-business","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-consumer-spending","10":"tag-economic-weakness","11":"tag-eire","12":"tag-ie","13":"tag-ireland","14":"tag-job-losses","15":"tag-recession","16":"tag-u-s-economy"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105926","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=105926"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/105926\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/105927"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=105926"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=105926"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=105926"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}