{"id":119993,"date":"2025-10-13T20:31:09","date_gmt":"2025-10-13T20:31:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/119993\/"},"modified":"2025-10-13T20:31:09","modified_gmt":"2025-10-13T20:31:09","slug":"three-things-to-navigate-this-weeks-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/119993\/","title":{"rendered":"Three Things To Navigate This Week’s Markets"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"PROCESS<\/a><\/p>\n

On Christmas Day, 1492, Columbus’s flagship ran aground and sank off the coast of present-day Haiti.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Losing their largest vessel was a major blow to the expedition.<\/p>\n

The remaining two ships were too small to carry the entire crew back to Spain.<\/p>\n

\"PROCESS<\/a><\/p>\n

Faced with no alternative, Columbus left 39 men behind<\/strong> on the island.<\/p>\n

Those men were tasked with finding gold, trading peaceably with the Ta\u00edno, and building a fortified tower from the timbers of the wrecked flagship.<\/p>\n

The Ta\u00edno<\/strong>, an indigenous people who had lived in the area for centuries, were the first to encounter the Spanish.<\/p>\n

The Spanish described them as \u201ctimid, tractable, docile, and harmless,\u201d framing the shipwreck as what they called a \u201cgreat good fortune.\u201d<\/p>\n

This accidental run-in with the Ta\u00edno ended up netting more gold <\/strong>than any other leg of the voyage.<\/p>\n

Amidst panic LIES opportunity<\/strong><\/p>\n

That same reflex\u2014panic on the surprise of potential shipwreck<\/strong>\u2014lit up markets Friday when Trump\u2019s tweet about China \u201cbecoming hostile\u201d sent the $VIX ripping from under 17 to over 22.<\/p>\n

But our process kept investors calm, focused, and level-headed when consensus was panicking.<\/p>\n

The huge spike in volatility appears to have been \u201ctimid, tractable, docile, and harmless.\u201d<\/p>\n

Here’s three things we have on our radar as we navigate the week ahead.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

1. Precious metals<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"PROCESS<\/a><\/p>\n

Gold loves collapsing yields\u2014surging +2.2% to fresh all-time highs above $4,100\/oz<\/strong> as its immediate-term TRADE correlation to the USD flips positive at +0.71<\/strong>\u2014while Silver rips <\/strong>+4.1%<\/strong>\u00a0 further past its 1980s highs<\/strong>, and Platinum (<\/strong>+2.1%<\/strong>)<\/strong> and Palladium (+3.9%)<\/strong> ride the same inflation wave.<\/p>\n

2. Fixed Income<\/strong><\/p>\n

The big short-term risk to U.S. equities would\u2019ve been a rates breakout<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Instead, the opposite happened \u2014\u00a0UST yields moved lower into the weekend<\/strong>, pressing toward new cycle lows<\/strong>:<\/p>\n

That gave us the greenlight to reload on High Yield and stay long Core Precious Metals exposure.<\/p>\n

This aligns with the Quad Countdown<\/strong>: the U.S. is currently in a 3-2-1 progression<\/strong> \u2014 moving from Quad 3 (slowing growth, sticky inflation) through Quad 2 in Q4 (accelerating growth + inflation), and eventually into Quad 1.<\/p>\n

\"PROCESS<\/a><\/p>\n

3. Volatility<\/strong><\/p>\n

One day of the VIX being in what we call the “Chop Bucket” (between 20-29) does not equate to a change in TREND.<\/p>\n

However, with market makers now skewed toward negative gamma as indicated by Tier 1 Alpha<\/strong><\/a>‘s Gamma Volatility Throttle (GVT)<\/strong>, hedging logic flips from trading against the trend to trading with it.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\"PROCESS<\/a><\/p>\n

With the GVT now at -10.45<\/strong>, this level historically\u00a0amplifies directional moves, <\/strong>and drives volatility higher.<\/p>\n

THIS IS THE PROCESS IN ACTION<\/strong><\/p>\n

Process over panic.<\/strong> That\u2019s how Columbus turned wreckage into a fort full of Gold.<\/p>\n

Markets reward discipline, not erratic and emotionally driven reactions.<\/p>\n

To go deeper into our Global Macro process and positioning into the end of 2025,\u00a0join us for the 15th Hedgeye Investing Summit<\/a>\u2014LIVE and on-demand.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Claim your free virtual seat today.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"PROCESS<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"On Christmas Day, 1492, Columbus’s flagship ran aground and sank off the coast of present-day Haiti. Losing their…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":119994,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[175],"tags":[1135,25101,989,79,59675,13292,11408,18,19418,70402,46668,19,3442,17,188,23877,70420,73282,6103,73281,44498,1542,10921,73280],"class_list":{"0":"post-119993","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-markets","8":"tag-1135","9":"tag-boat","10":"tag-bonds","11":"tag-business","12":"tag-calm","13":"tag-columbus","14":"tag-day","15":"tag-eire","16":"tag-focus","17":"tag-gamma","18":"tag-hedgeye","19":"tag-ie","20":"tag-investing","21":"tag-ireland","22":"tag-markets","23":"tag-navigate","24":"tag-panic","25":"tag-quads","26":"tag-rates","27":"tag-register","28":"tag-sail","29":"tag-summit","30":"tag-volatility","31":"tag-yields"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119993","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=119993"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119993\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/119994"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=119993"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=119993"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=119993"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}