{"id":31169,"date":"2025-08-29T17:14:11","date_gmt":"2025-08-29T17:14:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/31169\/"},"modified":"2025-08-29T17:14:11","modified_gmt":"2025-08-29T17:14:11","slug":"strong-summer-end-often-leads-to-stock-market-turbulence-in-early-fall","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/31169\/","title":{"rendered":"Strong summer end often leads to stock market turbulence in early fall"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>There may be some cloudy days ahead for the stock market after the strong summer run. The S &amp; P 500 is on pace to end August 2% higher after rising 2.2% in July. The benchmark is also on pace for its fourth straight monthly advance. But the index typically averages a 0.7% decline in September, making it the worst month of the year historically, according to the Stock Trader&#8217;s Almanac. With the S &amp; P 500&#8217;s July and August rallies, September could bring even rougher waters based on historical patterns. Looking only at years when the broad index gained more than 2% in both July and August, that average September slide increases to 1%. Of those 11 years going back to 1949, all but three have ended in the red. Additionally, seven of those 11 years had a negative October. The average loss for the month was 2.9%. &#8220;With the history of volatility toward the end of Q3 and into October there is the potential for some late summer\/early fall selloff,&#8221; Jeffrey Hirsch, author of the Almanac, said in an email. To be sure, Hirsch said third-quarter weakness could come later than it has in previous post-election years. That would make sense given that first-quarter market difficulties were delayed this year, he said. .SPX 3M mountain S &amp; P 500, 3-month chart Regardless, Hirsch said to view any pullback as short-lived. He reaffirmed his best-case scenario for the market this year, which would have full-year gains of between 12% and 20%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"There may be some cloudy days ahead for the stock market after the strong summer run. The S&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":31170,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[175],"tags":[491,79,207,18,19,204,17,188,190,205],"class_list":{"0":"post-31169","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-markets","8":"tag-breaking-news-markets","9":"tag-business","10":"tag-business-news","11":"tag-eire","12":"tag-ie","13":"tag-investment-strategy","14":"tag-ireland","15":"tag-markets","16":"tag-sp-500-index","17":"tag-stock-markets"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31169","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31169"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31169\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/31170"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31169"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31169"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31169"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}