{"id":33199,"date":"2025-08-30T17:01:44","date_gmt":"2025-08-30T17:01:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/33199\/"},"modified":"2025-08-30T17:01:44","modified_gmt":"2025-08-30T17:01:44","slug":"crypto-waiting-room-ahead-of-market-top-in-q1-2026-raoul-pal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/33199\/","title":{"rendered":"Crypto &#8220;waiting room&#8221; ahead of Market Top in Q1 2026: Raoul Pal"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The cryptocurrency market may be in the \u201cwaiting room\u201d ahead of the next phase of the price discovery stage, in a development that may see institutional capital extend the historical four-year cycle, according to industry watchers.<\/p>\n<p>As <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/learn\/articles\/what-is-a-cryptocurrency-a-beginners-guide-to-digital-money\" title=\"null\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the crypto market<\/a> is awaiting its next catalyst, the \u201cslow business cycle\u2019s\u201d liquidity dynamics may extend the traditional four-year cycle into the first or second quarter of 2026, according to Raoul Pal, founder and CEO of Global Macro Investor<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMany key parts of the crypto ecosystem are in the waiting room ready to launch,\u201d wrote the popular analyst in a Friday X <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/RaoulGMI\/status\/1961230439106187409\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"null\">post<\/a>, adding:\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\"><p>\u201cOur work suggests (probabilistically speaking) that the cycle extends into Q1 2026 and possibly Q2 2026 due to slow business cycle forcing more liquidity for longer.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>\u201cPeople need to learn patience. The path is clear&#8230;but never, ever expect tick for tick perfection,\u201d he explained.<\/p>\n<p>Pal uses the business cycle score as a macroeconomic model to track the current stage of the global economy\u2019s broader cycle.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0198f5e1-9194-7e69-bd6d-eb80d4545f63.png\" title=\"\"\/>Source: Raoul <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/RaoulGMI\/status\/1961230439106187409\" rel=\"https:\/\/x.com\/RaoulGMI\/status\/1961230439106187409 nofollow\" target=\"https:\/\/x.com\/RaoulGMI\/status\/1961230439106187409\" title=\"https:\/\/x.com\/RaoulGMI\/status\/1961230439106187409\">Pal<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u201cRaoul\u2019s framing of crypto being in the \u2018waiting room\u2019 resonates with how markets are behaving right now,\u201d according to Enmanuel Cardozo, market analyst at real-world asset tokenization platform Brickken.<\/p>\n<p>The recent pullback \u201ccame not from onchain dynamics but from political tensions between President Trump and the Federal Reserve,\u201d the analyst told Cointelegraph, adding:<\/p>\n<blockquote data-ct-non-breakable=\"undefined\"><p>\u201cWhat supports the thesis of an extended cycle into 2026 is that institutional positioning hasn\u2019t turned bearish.\u201d <\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Institutional allocations toward the two leading cryptocurrencies remain robust despite the \u201ctug-of-war\u201d over interest rate policy, the analyst said.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/binance-stablecoin-inflows-bitcoin-price\" title=\"null\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">stablecoin inflows on Binance<\/a> surpassed $1.65 billion, which may be seen as a potential precursor for renewed cryptocurrency investments, as stablecoins are the primary funding tools for traders.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Related: <\/strong><a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/plasma-xpl-whale-manipulation-hyperliquid-justin-sun\" title=\"null\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Hyperliquid whales net $48M on 200% XPL rally, amid manipulation allegations<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>SOL, SUI, DOGE may be next to leave the crypto \u201cwaiting room\u201d \u2014 Raoul Pal<\/p>\n<p>Some of the cryptocurrency market\u2019s leading altcoins are currently preparing to leave the \u201cwaiting room\u201d ahead for the final parabolic stage of the rally, with the Solana (<a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/solana-price-index\" title=\"null\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">SOL<\/a>) token being the \u201cnext to leave,\u201d wrote Pal, sharing the below chart.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0198f5e1-973a-7112-b211-691135b93eea.png\" title=\"\"\/>Source: Raoul <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/RaoulGMI\/status\/1961230439106187409\" rel=\"https:\/\/x.com\/RaoulGMI\/status\/1961230439106187409 nofollow\" target=\"https:\/\/x.com\/RaoulGMI\/status\/1961230439106187409\" title=\"https:\/\/x.com\/RaoulGMI\/status\/1961230439106187409\">Pal<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The chart shows an ascending triangle pattern, which is seen by technical traders as a bullish continuation pattern, signaling a potential price breakout upon confirmation.<\/p>\n<p>Following the Solana token, Sui (<a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/sui-price-index\" title=\"null\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">SUI<\/a>) will be the next altcoin to gain momentum, followed by Dogecoin (<a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/doge-price-index\" title=\"null\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">DOGE<\/a>), once the largest cryptocurrencies excluding the top 10, also tracked as \u201cOTHERS,\u201d will start to rally, predicted Pal.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0198f5e1-9a48-70a9-b597-7409b24cdf88.png\" title=\"\"\/>Source: Raoul <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/RaoulGMI\/status\/1961230439106187409\" rel=\"https:\/\/x.com\/RaoulGMI\/status\/1961230439106187409 nofollow\" target=\"https:\/\/x.com\/RaoulGMI\/status\/1961230439106187409\" title=\"https:\/\/x.com\/RaoulGMI\/status\/1961230439106187409\">Pal<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the XRP (<a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/xrp-price-index\" title=\"null\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">XRP<\/a>) token is \u201cin the process of full porting,\u201d while the largest altcoins excluding the top 10 may still take \u201clonger to launch.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>Related: <\/strong><a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/kanye-west-yzy-token-crash-51000-traders-losses\" title=\"null\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Kanye West\u2019s YZY token: 51,000 traders lost $74M, while 11 netted $1M<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Two months ago, Pal said that the current crypto market cycle mirrors patterns <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/news\/crypto-cycle-resembles-2017-macro-data-raoul-pal\" title=\"null\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">similar to 2017<\/a>, when Bitcoin\u2019s (<a href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/bitcoin-price\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_self\" title=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/bitcoin-price\">BTC<\/a>) price skyrocketed by over 1,255% during the year.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s spookily similar to 2017,\u201d Pal <a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/RaoulGMI\/status\/1935690101540999263\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"null\">said<\/a> in a video on June 19, forecasting a longer crypto cycle compared to previous years, as a weakening US dollar may indicate that the crypto cycle is still far from its peak.<\/p>\n<p><a data-ct-non-breakable=\"null\" href=\"https:\/\/cointelegraph.com\/magazine\/altcoin-season-2025-altseason-here-rules-changed\/\" title=\"null\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Magazine: Altcoin season 2025 is almost here\u2026 but the rules have changed<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The cryptocurrency market may be in the \u201cwaiting room\u201d ahead of the next phase of the price discovery&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":33200,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[175],"tags":[79,18,19,17,188],"class_list":{"0":"post-33199","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-markets","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-eire","10":"tag-ie","11":"tag-ireland","12":"tag-markets"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33199","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33199"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33199\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/33200"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33199"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33199"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33199"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}