{"id":368535,"date":"2026-03-05T04:13:12","date_gmt":"2026-03-05T04:13:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/368535\/"},"modified":"2026-03-05T04:13:12","modified_gmt":"2026-03-05T04:13:12","slug":"amy-madigan-jump-scares-her-way-to-no-1-in-oscar-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/368535\/","title":{"rendered":"Amy Madigan jump-scares her way to No. 1 in Oscar predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Gold Derby&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.goldderby.com\/odds\/combined-odds\/oscars-2026\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Oscar predictions<\/a> saw a significant shake-up in several categories following <a href=\"https:\/\/www.goldderby.com\/film\/2026\/2026-sag-actor-awards-complete-list-of-winners-updating-live\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sunday&#8217;s Actor Awards<\/a>. On Wednesday, Weapons star <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.goldderby.com\/t\/amy-madigan\/\" id=\"auto-tag_amy-madigan\" data-tag=\"amy-madigan\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Amy Madigan<\/a><\/strong> completed her dramatic ascent and surged to No. 1 in what has been a wide-open Best Supporting Actress race.<\/p>\n<p>The veteran performer has a 42 percent chance to win the Oscar, ahead of One Battle After Another&#8217;s <strong>Teyana Taylor<\/strong> (the Golden Globe winner) at 34 percent and Sinners&#8217; <strong>Wunmi Mosaku<\/strong> (the BAFTA winner) at 22 percent. The Best Supporting Actress lineup also includes Sentimental Value costars <strong>Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas<\/strong> and <strong>Elle Fanning<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p> Best Picture  Best Director  Best Actress  Best Actor  Best Supporting Actress  Best Supporting Actor  Best Adapted Screenplay  Best Original Screenplay  Best Casting  Best Cinematography  Best Costume Design  Best Film Editing  Best Makeup and Hairstyling  Best Production Design  Best Score  Best Song  Best Sound  Best Visual Effects  Best Animated Feature  Best Documentary Feature  Best International Film  Best Animated Short  Best Documentary Short  Best Live Action Short <\/p>\n<p>Madigan&#8217;s first Oscar nomination was for 1985&#8217;s Twice in a Lifetime. If our odds play out and Madigan takes the big prize, the gap between her first bid and first win would be 40 years. That would beat the long-standing gap record for an actress of 32 years set by <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.goldderby.com\/t\/geraldine-page\/\" id=\"auto-tag_geraldine-page\" data-tag=\"geraldine-page\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Geraldine Page<\/a><\/strong>, who was first nominated for 1953&#8217;s Hondo before eventually triumphing for 1985&#8217;s The Trip to Bountiful. In between, Page was recognized six other times: Summer and Smoke (1961), Sweet Bird of Youth (1962), You&#8217;re a Big Boy Now (1966), Pete &#8216;n&#8217; Tillie (1972), Interiors (1978), and The Pope of Greenwich Village (1984).<\/p>\n<p> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.goldderby.com\/tv\/2026\/lanterns-kyle-chandler-aaron-pierre-hbo\/\" title=\"\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-card-index=\"0\" data-post-id=\"1206456967\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/aaron-pierre-kyle-chandler.jpg\" alt=\"Aaron Pierre and Kyle Chandler in Lanterns\" height=\"168\" width=\"300\"   loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"auto\" data-attachment-id=\"1206225627\" data-wp-size=\"nova_size__sixteenbynine_small_cropped\"\/><\/a>  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.goldderby.com\/tv\/2026\/the-bear-to-end-with-season-5-everything-to-know\/\" title=\"\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-card-index=\"1\" data-post-id=\"1206456936\"><img src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/jeremy-allen-white-the-bear.jpg\" alt=\"jeremy allen white the bear\" height=\"168\" width=\"300\"   loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"auto\" data-attachment-id=\"1205927850\" data-wp-size=\"nova_size__sixteenbynine_small_cropped\"\/><\/a> <\/p>\n<p>To win, Madigan would have to overcome the hurdle of being the only nominee from her film. Throughout the history of this specific category, only eight other supporting women have accomplished that feat:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Mary Astor<\/strong> for\u00a0The Great Lie\u00a0(1941)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Claire Trevor<\/strong> for\u00a0Key Largo\u00a0(1948)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Margaret Rutherford<\/strong> for\u00a0The V.I.P.s\u00a0(1963)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Goldie Hawn<\/strong> for\u00a0Cactus Flower\u00a0(1969)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Linda Hunt<\/strong> for\u00a0The Year of Living Dangerously\u00a0(1983)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Marisa Tomei<\/strong> for\u00a0My Cousin Vinny\u00a0(1992)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Angelina Jolie<\/strong> for\u00a0Girl, Interrupted\u00a0(1999)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Pen\u00e9lope Cruz<\/strong> for\u00a0Vicky Cristina Barcelona\u00a0(2008)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The belief is that if a film or performer doesn&#8217;t have broad support within multiple branches of the Academy, the respective nominee faces a steeper uphill battle. Since all members are allowed to vote across every category to determine the winners, a movie with only a single nomination may struggle to capture their attention versus those with lots of bids. In comparison, Mosaku&#8217;s film has a record 16 total nominations, Taylor&#8217;s has 13, and Lilleaas and Fanning&#8217;s has nine.<\/p>\n<p>However, that theory discounts Madigan&#8217;s overall cultural impact as Aunt Gladys in Weapons, a parasitic witch who survives by feeding off of others. Just look at all of the Halloween costumes and merchandise centered around her spookie-ookie villain.<\/p>\n<p>Madigan has been the secret &#8220;weapon&#8221; of her horror movie since it was released in August. She won the Critics Choice Award and the Actor Award, proving her dominance with the media and with the industry.<\/p>\n<p>With only about 14 minutes of screen time in Weapons, Madigan would be among the 10 shortest Best Supporting Actress champions ever. <strong>Beatrice Straight<\/strong> (Network) and <strong>Judi Dench<\/strong> (Shakespeare in Love) claimed victory for the shortest performances ever, both under six minutes.<\/p>\n<p>At 75 years old, Madigan would also be two years shy of setting an age record in Best Supporting Actress. Then-77-year-old <strong>Peggy Ashcroft<\/strong> (A Passage to India) has held that record since the 1985 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.goldderby.com\/t\/oscars\/\" id=\"auto-tag_oscars\" data-tag=\"oscars\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Oscars<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Find out who wins when the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.goldderby.com\/t\/2026-oscars\/\" id=\"auto-tag_2026-oscars\" data-tag=\"2026-oscars\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">2026 Oscars<\/a> take place March 15 on ABC.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Gold Derby&#8217;s Oscar predictions saw a significant shake-up in several categories following Sunday&#8217;s Actor Awards. On Wednesday, Weapons&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":368536,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[268],"tags":[32186,818,434,18,117,16099,170796,19,17,7012],"class_list":["post-368535","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-celebrities","tag-2026-oscars","tag-amy-madigan","tag-celebrities","tag-eire","tag-entertainment","tag-fyc","tag-geraldine-page","tag-ie","tag-ireland","tag-oscars"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@ie\/116174625505923819","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/368535","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=368535"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/368535\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/368536"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=368535"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=368535"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=368535"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}