{"id":41001,"date":"2025-09-03T14:20:12","date_gmt":"2025-09-03T14:20:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/41001\/"},"modified":"2025-09-03T14:20:12","modified_gmt":"2025-09-03T14:20:12","slug":"markets-bet-on-a-bitcoin-rally-as-the-fed-eases-policy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/41001\/","title":{"rendered":"Markets bet on a bitcoin rally as the Fed eases policy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>                         <img class=\"attachment-full size-full wp-post-image\" alt=\"Markets bet on a bitcoin rally as the Fed eases policy\" decoding=\"async\"  src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Federal-Reserve-System-FRS-FRS-SSHA-2.webp.webp\"\/><\/p>\n<p>A cut to the key rate at the the Fed would propel cryptocurrencies higher next quarter, said Crypto.com chief executive Kris Marszalek in an interview with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/videos\/2025-09-02\/crypto-com-ceo-says-he-s-tempted-to-ipo-video\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Bloomberg<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>He expects a market-friendly decision at the 17 September meeting.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>After last year\u2019s cut from 5.5% to 4.5%, cryptocurrencies rose 57% over four months. Investors now put the probability of US monetary easing at 91.7%. The figure climbed after Fed chair Jerome Powell\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/bitcoin-surges-to-117000-following-fed-chairs-remarks\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">remarks<\/a> at the Jackson Hole symposium.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"529\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns=\" http:=\"\" alt=\"\u0421\u043d\u0438\u043c\u043e\u043a \u044d\u043a\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0430 2025-09-03 \u0432 14.03.09\" class=\"wp-image-265029\" data-lazy- data-lazy- data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Snimok-ekrana-2025-09-03-v-14.03.09-1024x529.png\"\/>Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/markets\/interest-rates\/cme-fedwatch-tool.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">CME FedWatch<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>MN Capital founder Micha\u00ebl van de Poppe is similarly upbeat.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The past three years haven\u2019t shown a correction in September.<\/p>\n<p>The correction took place in August. <\/p>\n<p>In August, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">#Bitcoin<\/a> corrected by nearly 10%. <\/p>\n<p>Yes, we could have a deeper correction and yes, I\u2019m heavily buying that one, but the closer we get to the FED meeting, the less of\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Micha\u00ebl van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CryptoMichNL\/status\/1962954932371521581?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">September 2, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cThe past three years saw September \u2018in the green\u2019. The correction took place in August, when bitcoin fell nearly 10%. Yes, we might get a deeper drawdown\u2014and yes, I\u2019m buying heavily into it\u2014but the closer we get to the Fed meeting, the lower the chances the decline continues, especially if BTC breaks above $112,000,\u201d he said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Over the past 24 hours bitcoin has risen 1.6%. At the time of writing the asset trades at $111,500.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"601\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns=\" http:=\"\" alt=\"\u0421\u043d\u0438\u043c\u043e\u043a \u044d\u043a\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0430 2025-09-03 \u0432 14.54.03\" class=\"wp-image-265030\" data-lazy- data-lazy- data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Snimok-ekrana-2025-09-03-v-14.54.03-1024x601.png\"\/>Hourly BTC\/USDT chart on Binance. Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/ru.tradingview.com\/chart\/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">TradingView<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>For more on August\u2019s results for the first cryptocurrency, see ForkLog\u2019s monthly digest.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>A dissenting view\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Government-bond yields are rising ahead of the next Fed rate cut, signalling investor pessimism, noted the trader known as Doctor Profit.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The market is extremely Bearish!<\/p>\n<p>2024: Yields crashed -16% in weeks before the Fed\u2019s first cut. Markets rushed into bonds, betting big on lower rates. \u2014&gt; Effect is Bullish!<\/p>\n<p>2025: Yields are rising +5% into the next cut. Investors are dumping bonds, demanding higher payback to\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Doctor Profit \ud83c\udde8\ud83c\udded (@DrProfitCrypto) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DrProfitCrypto\/status\/1962992687235400012?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">September 2, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>In 2024, US monetary easing was accompanied by a 16% drop in yields and a rush into bonds, he stressed. Today, the debt market is behaving bearishly.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cBond yields have risen 5% ahead of the next cut. Investors are dumping them en masse, demanding higher compensation for risk,\u201d said Doctor Profit.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>He drew a parallel with the credit system: even as the Fed trims short-term rates, the cost of long-term borrowing for the government, companies and households keeps rising.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cThis means the Fed has lost control. [\u2026] The only ones who believe in a positive effect are retail investors. The regulator is cutting rates, but markets don\u2019t believe this will fix anything. Big players are rotating into bonds, demanding higher yields,\u201d he added.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Not everyone agreed with Doctor Profit. A user going by Eazi argued that the bond market is \u201csignalling not collapse, but a repricing of long-term premia\u201d.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-conversation=\"none\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">I don\u2019t buy the \u201cFed lost control\u201d narrative just yet the bond market isn\u2019t signaling collapse it\u2019s repricing long term risk premium after a decade of artificial suppression rising yields into cuts isn\u2019t purely bearish it\u2019s the market forcing a real cost of capital back into the\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Eazi of web3\u2a00\ud83c\udf5a \u26d3 (@eazibackup) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/eazibackup\/status\/1963001507260842135?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">September 2, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cRising yields into cuts is not purely bearish; it is the market forcing a real cost of capital back into the system. Historically, this resets frothy valuations before the next leg higher. What if this is not a crisis signal but a first step toward healthy, realistic market pricing?\u201d he wrote.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>In early September, an expert <a href=\"https:\/\/forklog.com\/en\/news\/analyst-identifies-rare-bitcoin-price-bottom-signal\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">identified<\/a> a rare bottom signal for bitcoin\u2019s price. Glassnode analysts described the current market structure as \u201cfragile\u201d.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u041f\u043e\u0434\u043f\u0438\u0441\u044b\u0432\u0430\u0439\u0442\u0435\u0441\u044c \u043d\u0430 ForkLog \u0432 \u0441\u043e\u0446\u0438\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u0441\u0435\u0442\u044f\u0445<\/p>\n<p>\u041d\u0430\u0448\u043b\u0438 \u043e\u0448\u0438\u0431\u043a\u0443 \u0432 \u0442\u0435\u043a\u0441\u0442\u0435? \u0412\u044b\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0438\u0442\u0435 \u0435\u0435 \u0438 \u043d\u0430\u0436\u043c\u0438\u0442\u0435 CTRL+ENTER<\/p>\n<p>\u0420\u0430\u0441\u0441\u044b\u043b\u043a\u0438 ForkLog: \u0434\u0435\u0440\u0436\u0438\u0442\u0435 \u0440\u0443\u043a\u0443 \u043d\u0430 \u043f\u0443\u043b\u044c\u0441\u0435 \u0431\u0438\u0442\u043a\u043e\u0438\u043d-\u0438\u043d\u0434\u0443\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0438\u0438!<\/p>\n<p>\t\t<script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A cut to the key rate at the the Fed would propel cryptocurrencies higher next quarter, said Crypto.com&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":41002,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[175],"tags":[79,18,19,17,188],"class_list":{"0":"post-41001","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-markets","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-eire","10":"tag-ie","11":"tag-ireland","12":"tag-markets"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41001","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41001"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41001\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/41002"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41001"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41001"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41001"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}