{"id":410825,"date":"2026-03-30T02:20:12","date_gmt":"2026-03-30T02:20:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/410825\/"},"modified":"2026-03-30T02:20:12","modified_gmt":"2026-03-30T02:20:12","slug":"open-questions-why-kenneth-rogoff-thinks-chinas-yuan-will-be-a-reserve-currency-in-the-next-5-years","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/410825\/","title":{"rendered":"Open Questions | Why Kenneth Rogoff thinks China\u2019s yuan will be a reserve currency \u2018in the next 5 years\u2019"},"content":{"rendered":"<p datatype=\"p\" data-qa=\"Component-Component\" class=\"e8zc9q40 css-1c6uqr6 ec74h0k1\">Professor Kenneth Rogoff of Harvard University has repeatedly warned that the US dollar is approaching a crisis of legitimacy. Having written extensively on the global recession in the late 2000s, Rogoff has turned his focus to the US currency\u2019s increasingly unstable place at the top of the world\u2019s financial hierarchy. A former chief economist at the International Monetary Fund and a chess grandmaster, he published Our Dollar, Your Problem in May last year.<\/p>\n<p datatype=\"p\" data-qa=\"Component-Component\" class=\"e8zc9q40 css-1c6uqr6 ec74h0k1\">In this interview, Rogoff elaborates further on the US dollar\u2019s competition from the yuan and euro, the race among global policymakers to reduce their dependency on the US currency, and how the rise of cryptocurrencies factors into future developments.<\/p>\n<p>This interview also appeared in SCMP Plus. For other interviews in the Open Questions series, <a target=\"_self\" class=\"e1yy41x40 ef9u0v01 css-1ankfgb ecgc78b0\" href=\"https:\/\/www.scmp.com\/news\/china\/series\/3256715\/open-questions?campaign=Open%20Questions%20%E2%80%93%20SCMP%20interviews%20with%20global%20opinion%20leaders&amp;module=series_section&amp;pgtype=series?module=inline&amp;pgtype=article\" title=\"\" data-qa=\"BaseLink-renderAnchor-StyledAnchor\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">click here<\/a>.<strong data-qa=\"ContentSchemaRender-defaultRenderMapFunctions-Component\" class=\"css-1mniedq ex3nmsa17\">You have argued that the US dollar\u2019s dominance is declining due to the rise of China, geopolitical tensions and the growing influence of cryptocurrencies. President Xi Jinping has called for<\/strong> <a target=\"_self\" class=\"e1yy41x40 ef9u0v01 css-1ankfgb ecgc78b0\" href=\"https:\/\/www.scmp.com\/economy\/china-economy\/article\/3341958\/china-strong-currency-mission-make-yuan-global-reserve-xi?module=inline&amp;pgtype=article\" title=\"\" data-qa=\"BaseLink-renderAnchor-StyledAnchor\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><strong data-qa=\"ContentSchemaRender-defaultRenderMapFunctions-Component\" class=\"css-1mniedq ex3nmsa17\">making the yuan a global reserve currency<\/strong><\/a><strong data-qa=\"ContentSchemaRender-defaultRenderMapFunctions-Component\" class=\"css-1mniedq ex3nmsa17\">. What is your take on this? How long would it take for the yuan to become a vital global reserve currency?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p datatype=\"p\" data-qa=\"Component-Component\" class=\"e8zc9q40 css-1c6uqr6 ec74h0k1\">The fact that the Chinese president recently and explicitly called for making the yuan a global reserve currency is an extremely important moment.<\/p>\n<p datatype=\"p\" data-qa=\"Component-Component\" class=\"e8zc9q40 css-1c6uqr6 ec74h0k1\">In my experience over a couple of decades, some of which I talk about in my book, China\u2019s technocrats have long wanted to make the yuan more independent of the US dollar. They have long recommended that, given China is a large country, it needs to have its own independent monetary policy.<\/p>\n<p datatype=\"p\" data-qa=\"Component-Component\" class=\"e8zc9q40 css-1c6uqr6 ec74h0k1\">However, at the very top, the president and the premier have typically opposed this. They did not want to take the risk of making a change in the US dollar policy simply because China was doing so well. Why change anything? Why rock the boat?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Professor Kenneth Rogoff of Harvard University has repeatedly warned that the US dollar is approaching a crisis of&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":410826,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[174],"tags":[79,381,129966,10119,124882,179,18,8140,1015,629,185127,17768,4202,19,17,185128,185129,11320,31815,13448],"class_list":["post-410825","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-china","tag-cips","tag-cryptocurrencies","tag-digital-yuan","tag-economy","tag-eire","tag-euro","tag-europe","tag-fed","tag-genius-act","tag-greenland","tag-hong-kong","tag-ie","tag-ireland","tag-kenneth-rogoff","tag-mbridge-project","tag-powell","tag-stablecoins","tag-swift"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@ie\/116315738849939677","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/410825","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=410825"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/410825\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/410826"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=410825"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=410825"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=410825"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}