{"id":43263,"date":"2025-09-04T14:29:11","date_gmt":"2025-09-04T14:29:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/43263\/"},"modified":"2025-09-04T14:29:11","modified_gmt":"2025-09-04T14:29:11","slug":"hurricane-kiko-will-make-historic-direct-hit-on-hawaii-spaghetti-models-predict","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/43263\/","title":{"rendered":"Hurricane Kiko will make historic direct hit on Hawaii, spaghetti models predict"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">Hurricane Kiko&#8217;s course has shifted and the major storm is now headed straight for Hawaii in a rare weather event for the islands.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">New spaghetti models of the Category 2 hurricane project that the storm will strike <a style=\"font-weight: bold;\" target=\"_self\" class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/sciencetech\/article-15057917\/hurricane-Kiko-upgraded-pacific-storm-Hawaii.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Hawaii&#8217;s Big Island<\/a> by next week.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">Kiko has been building in strength in the eastern Pacific Ocean, with local meteorologists now predicting it will <a style=\"font-weight: bold;\" target=\"_self\" href=\"https:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/sciencetech\/article-15057917\/hurricane-Kiko-upgraded-pacific-storm-Hawaii.html\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">become major Category 3 hurricane Wednesday<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">The storm has sustained <a style=\"font-weight: bold;\" target=\"_self\" class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/sciencetech\/article-15019135\/Spirit-Airlines-passenger-jet-Hurricane-Erin.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">winds of more than 100 mph<\/a> after reaching hurricane status early Tuesday morning.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">The last major hurricane <a style=\"font-weight: bold;\" target=\"_self\" class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/sciencetech\/article-14955011\/ancient-warning-Hawaiian-beach-megaquake.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">to directly strike Hawaii<\/a> was Hurricane Iniki in September 1992.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">It struck as a Category 4 hurricane with sustained winds of 145 mph on September 11, resulting in six deaths, destroying over 1,400 homes, and causing an estimated $3 billion in damage.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">As forecasters in Hawaii feared, Kiko&#8217;s path appears to have shifted slightly to the right, taking it towards the US islands and away from turbulent air that would have broken up the hurricane&#8217;s structure.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">AccuWeather meteorologists agreed with the new spaghetti models, projecting that Kiko will make landfall in Hawaii at night on Tuesday, September 9.<\/p>\n<p>   <img decoding=\"async\" id=\"i-bbe86051aec0718b\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/101804585-15062451-image-a-20_1756917394613.jpg\" height=\"449\" width=\"634\" alt=\"Hurricane Kiko entered Wednesday as a Category 2 storm with sustained winds of more than 100 mph\" class=\"blkBorder img-share\" style=\"max-width:100%\" loading=\"lazy\" \/>   <\/p>\n<p class=\"imageCaption\">Hurricane Kiko entered Wednesday as a Category 2 storm with sustained winds of more than 100 mph<\/p>\n<p>   <img decoding=\"async\" id=\"i-70a916890efabc6b\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/101804583-15062451-New_prediction_models_for_Hurricane_Kiko_warn_that_the_storm_may-a-18_17569158029.jpeg\" height=\"661\" width=\"634\" alt=\"New prediction models for Hurricane Kiko warn that the storm may make a direct hit on Hawaii's Big Island in the coming days\" class=\"blkBorder img-share\" style=\"max-width:100%\" loading=\"lazy\" \/>   <\/p>\n<p class=\"imageCaption\">New prediction models for Hurricane Kiko warn that the storm may make a direct hit on Hawaii&#8217;s Big Island in the coming days<\/p>\n<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">Up to <a style=\"font-weight: bold;\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.accuweather.com\/en\/hurricane\/watching-hurricane-kiko-and-hurricane-lorena-for-impacts-to-the-us-mexico\/1811734\">eight inches of rain<\/a> could pound the eastern side of the Big Island (Hawaii Island) once the storm hits, with around two inches predicted for the rest of the state next week.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">Officials in Hawaii have not issued any hurricane warnings or alerts as of Wednesday morning.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">The weather team from <a style=\"font-weight: bold;\" class=\"\" rel=\"nofollow noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hawaiinewsnow.com\/2025\/08\/31\/first-alert-tropical-storm-kiko-forms-eastern-pacific\/\">Hawaii News Now<\/a> noted that it&#8217;s still too early to say for sure if the hurricane will make landfall on the Big Island, but the number of models projecting a direct hit have been growing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">A spaghetti model shows the different possible paths a tropical storm or hurricane might take, based on predictions from multiple weather computer programs.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">Each line represents one model&#8217;s guess about where the storm could go. If the lines are close together, it means most models agree on the path, and the prediction is more certain.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">Forecasters at NHC have projected that Kiko will continue to strengthen, churning into a major hurricane, until Saturday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">At that point, meteorologists expect the hurricane to weaken as it moves into\u00a0cooler waters closer to Hawaii and encounters more wind shear.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">That means Kiko is expected to run into stronger winds blowing at different heights in the atmosphere which can tear apart a hurricane&#8217;s structure.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>   <img decoding=\"async\" id=\"i-6765376c374c4069\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/101804633-15062451-image-a-19_1756917321184.jpg\" height=\"520\" width=\"634\" alt=\"The National Hurricane Center has revealed that Hurricane Kiko's path has shifted, putting it on a course for the Hawaiian Islands next week\" class=\"blkBorder img-share\" style=\"max-width:100%\" loading=\"lazy\" \/>   <\/p>\n<p class=\"imageCaption\">The National Hurricane Center has revealed that Hurricane Kiko&#8217;s path has shifted, putting it on a course for the Hawaiian Islands next week<\/p>\n<p>   <img decoding=\"async\" id=\"i-d1325adc7f707e64\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/101807949-15062451-image-a-29_1756920474112.jpg\" height=\"355\" width=\"634\" alt=\"The last major hurricane above Category 3 to directly strike Hawaii was Hurricane Iniki in 1992\" class=\"blkBorder img-share\" style=\"max-width:100%\" loading=\"lazy\" \/>   <\/p>\n<p class=\"imageCaption\">The last major hurricane above Category 3 to directly strike Hawaii was Hurricane Iniki in 1992<\/p>\n<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">Kiko is already the 11th named system in the eastern Pacific this year, and the Pacific hurricane season still has three months left to go.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">The season runs from May 15 until November 30, making it two weeks longer than the Atlantic hurricane season.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">Previously, the <a style=\"font-weight: bold;\" class=\"\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/graphics_ep1.shtml?start#contents\">National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration<\/a>\u00a0(NOAA) had predicted a &#8216;below-normal season&#8217; for the eastern Pacific, with 12 to 18 named storms, five to 10 hurricanes, and up to five major hurricanes.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">Another Pacific hurricane formed early Wednesday morning, Lorena, which is swirling off the coast of Mexico and could threaten states like Arizona and New Mexico this weekend.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">On the other side of the US, NOAA projected an &#8216;above average&#8217; season in the Atlantic which would likely more named storms than there were in 2024.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">Overall, NOAA predicted up to <a style=\"font-weight: bold;\" class=\"\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/\">19 named storms<\/a>, 10 hurricanes, and five major hurricanes affecting the US in 2025 .<\/p>\n<p class=\"mol-para-with-font\">NHC forecasters have been tracking the latest disturbance headed toward the East Coast, which now has a 70 percent chance of becoming a tropical depression by the end of the week, setting up the potential for the next named storm, Gabrielle.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Hurricane Kiko&#8217;s course has shifted and the major storm is now headed straight for Hawaii in a rare&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":43264,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[269],"tags":[118,18,440,8241,19,17,133,3601],"class_list":{"0":"post-43263","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-environment","8":"tag-dailymail","9":"tag-eire","10":"tag-environment","11":"tag-hawaii","12":"tag-ie","13":"tag-ireland","14":"tag-science","15":"tag-sciencetech"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43263","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43263"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43263\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/43264"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43263"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43263"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43263"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}