{"id":464772,"date":"2026-05-02T10:15:13","date_gmt":"2026-05-02T10:15:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/464772\/"},"modified":"2026-05-02T10:15:13","modified_gmt":"2026-05-02T10:15:13","slug":"strong-gst-numbers-mask-weak-domestic-growth-import-surge-experts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/464772\/","title":{"rendered":"Strong GST numbers mask weak domestic growth, import surge: Experts"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>New Delhi [India], May 1 (ANI): India&#8217;s GST collections in April crossed the Rs 2 lakh crore mark once again, but experts say the growth was largely driven by import-linked revenues, even as domestic momentum remained modest.<\/p>\n<p>Gross GST collections in April stood at Rs 2,42,702 crore, marking an 8.7 per cent year-on-year increase.<\/p>\n<p>Reacting to the data, Saurabh Agarwal, Tax Partner at EY India, said, &#8216;The robust surge in GST collections underscores the fundamental resilience of the Indian consumption story.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>However, he flagged a divergence within the data, noting that &#8216;while the headline numbers are encouraging, the divergence between modest domestic GST growth and the significant uptick in import-linked collections warrants a strategic pivot.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>He added that in the current global environment, &#8216;we must critically re-examine our policy frameworks to further incentivize domestic manufacturing and ensure &#8216;Make in India&#8217; keeps pace with global supply chain shifts.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>On the policy side, Agarwal said, &#8216;The government&#8217;s proactive approach to processing domestic refunds is a welcome signal of its commitment to liquidity,&#8217; adding that this ensures &#8216;rate rationalization&#8211;and the resulting inverted duty structures&#8211;does not stifle industrial momentum.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>He also pointed to broader economic expansion, saying &#8216;seeing double-digit growth in regions like Arunachal Pradesh, Kerala, Odisha, and Lakshadweep is particularly heartening; it reflects a more holistic and inclusive economic expansion.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>Cautioning about the months ahead, Agarwal noted that &#8216;April&#8217;s record figures reflect the year-end push for targets by both industry and administrators,&#8217; adding that &#8216;we should anticipate a stabilization in the coming months, with collections likely seeing a sequential dip.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>Echoing similar trends, Vivek Jalan, Partner at Tax Connect Advisory Services LLP, said, &#8216;India&#8217;s GST collections in April 2026 once again crossed the Rs 2 lakh crore milestone, with net revenues rising 7.3% year-on-year to Rs 2.11 lakh crore.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>He highlighted that &#8216;the surge was powered by a 42.9% jump in net customs GST collections, reflecting higher import costs amid global supply chain disruptions and war-driven commodity movements.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>On domestic performance, Jalan said, &#8216;Gross domestic GST revenues stood at Rs 1.85 lakh crore, up 4.3% from April 2025, underscoring wider compliance coverage.&#8217; However, he added that &#8216;net domestic collections remained flat as refunds&#8211;primarily under the inverted duty structure&#8211;spiked by 54%.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>He further explained that &#8216;these refunds exclude the growing ITC accumulation on input services, which continues under GST 2.0&#8217;s deepened inverted duty framework,&#8217; adding that &#8216;this accumulation has maintained collections, it has simultaneously raised business expenses.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>Jalan also noted that &#8216;additional support to domestic collections came from pre-deposits linked to Section 74 orders for FY 2019-20 issued before March 31, 2026.&#8217;<\/p>\n<p>The experts&#8217; views suggest that while GST collections remain strong on the surface, underlying trends point to a growing dependence on imports and structural factors, with domestic demand showing relatively moderate growth. (ANI)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"New Delhi [India], May 1 (ANI): India&#8217;s GST collections in April crossed the Rs 2 lakh crore mark&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":464773,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[174],"tags":[24865,204135,79,8552,204137,7226,5781,179,18,19,17,32227,204138,204136],"class_list":{"0":"post-464772","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-adding","9":"tag-agarwal","10":"tag-business","11":"tag-collections","12":"tag-divergence","13":"tag-driven","14":"tag-economic","15":"tag-economy","16":"tag-eire","17":"tag-ie","18":"tag-ireland","19":"tag-surge","20":"tag-that-this","21":"tag-the-data"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@ie\/116504463276701832","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/464772","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=464772"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/464772\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/464773"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=464772"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=464772"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=464772"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}