{"id":48063,"date":"2025-09-06T22:26:08","date_gmt":"2025-09-06T22:26:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/48063\/"},"modified":"2025-09-06T22:26:08","modified_gmt":"2025-09-06T22:26:08","slug":"bitcoin-price-forecast-etf-flows-hit-1-3b-fed-cut-bets-rise-btc-usd-110k-support","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/48063\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Price Forecast – ETF Flows Hit $1.3B, Fed Cut Bets Rise BTC-USD $110K Support"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin (BTC-USD) Holds $110K as ETF Flows, Fed Policy, and Profit-Taking Collide<\/strong>
\nBTC-USD Near $110,751 Amid ETF Rotation<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bitcoin (BTC-USD<\/strong>) trades around $110,751<\/strong>, slipping 0.15% over the last 24 hours, while weekly gains stand near +1.4%<\/strong>. The move reflects an uneasy balance between surging ETF inflows, institutional positioning, and long-term holder profit-taking. Price action remains bound between $108,770 support<\/strong> and resistance near $113,400<\/strong>, levels that traders are watching closely as liquidity conditions shift.<\/p>\n

ETF Flows Show Divergence Across Providers<\/strong><\/p>\n

The most critical driver has been ETF demand. Bitcoin exchange-traded funds saw $1.3 billion in net inflows this week<\/strong>, led by BlackRock\u2019s IBIT<\/strong>, which absorbed $238 million in a single day<\/strong> and now manages over $70 billion in assets<\/strong>. In contrast, Fidelity\u2019s FBTC<\/strong> and Ark Invest\u2019s ARKB<\/strong> faced outflows of $117 million<\/strong> and $125 million<\/strong>, while Bitwise\u2019s BITB<\/strong> shed $66 million<\/strong>. Net flows across spot Bitcoin ETFs reversed after two days of inflows, finishing with $227 million in net outflows<\/strong> on September 4. Despite the mixed flows, shrinking exchange supply shows institutions are still accumulating \u2014 on-chain data confirms Bitcoin is being withdrawn from exchanges at 4x the pace of new coins mined<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Long-Term Holders Realize $2.46B in Profits<\/strong><\/p>\n

On September 5, long-term holders realized $2.46 billion<\/strong> in profits, the largest single-day realization since June. Roughly 7,636 BTC<\/strong> held for 3\u20135 years<\/strong> and 2,632 BTC<\/strong> held for 2\u20133 years<\/strong> were sold, showing a rotation from older wallets into new hands. Similar selling occurred at the end of August, but the intensity has now increased. Historically, large-scale profit-taking by long-term holders precedes short-term volatility, though it also often clears overhead supply for the next leg higher.<\/p>\n

Macro Tailwinds From Weak U.S. Jobs Data<\/strong><\/p>\n

The August U.S. nonfarm payrolls report added just 22,000 jobs<\/strong>, far below the 75,000 expected<\/strong>, while unemployment climbed to 4.3%<\/strong>. Treasury yields slid, the dollar index fell 0.7%, and markets fully priced in a 25bp Fed rate cut in September<\/strong>, with a 12% chance of a 50bp cut<\/strong>. Bitcoin responded immediately, climbing above $113,200<\/strong> before retracing gains. Historically, dovish Fed pivots and weaker labor markets have supported crypto rallies, particularly when combined with falling real yields.<\/p>\n

Technical Levels and Short-Term Momentum<\/strong><\/p>\n

On the 4-hour chart, BTC-USD<\/strong> is forming an ascending triangle<\/strong>, with higher lows since late August. Resistance sits at $113,400<\/strong>, a breakout of which would expose upside targets at $115,400<\/strong> and $117,150<\/strong>. Support remains firm at $108,770<\/strong>, aligned with the 50-SMA at $110,021<\/strong>. The 200-SMA near $112,606<\/strong> acts as the pivot. RSI at 50 shows consolidation, with mild bullish divergence. On a weekly timeframe, BTC remains inside a rising channel, with the next resistance near $134,500<\/strong>. Fibonacci projections put extended upside targets at $171,000<\/strong> and $231,000<\/strong>, while key structural support remains between $95,000 and $100,000<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Cycle Data and Analyst Disagreement<\/strong><\/p>\n

Cycle watchers highlight July as the historical bottom month in post-election years. Bitcoin bottomed in July 2017<\/strong> and July 2021<\/strong>, and some argue July 2025 repeated the pattern. That view suggests Q4 could deliver a major rally, potentially the start of the \u201cmania phase.\u201d Yet skeptics like analyst PlanC warn that relying on halving-cycle history is statistically flawed, noting that ETF adoption, treasury strategies, and institutional derivatives have structurally altered market behavior. Surveys show nearly 70% of traders expect BTC to revisit $105,000<\/strong> before testing higher levels, reflecting split sentiment between historical cycle believers and those focused on new institutional dynamics.<\/p>\n

\u00a0 <\/p>\n

Corporate Treasury and Institutional Accumulation<\/strong><\/p>\n

Corporate treasuries now hold over\u00a0840,000 BTC<\/strong>, led by Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) with\u00a0636,505 BTC<\/strong>\u00a0on its balance sheet. This level of accumulation underpins Bitcoin\u2019s role as a treasury reserve asset, particularly among U.S. companies hedging against inflation. Meanwhile, CME Bitcoin futures open interest has mirrored more than half of ETH ETF inflows, showing traditional finance is embedding deeper into the crypto derivatives complex. Businesses are absorbing Bitcoin faster than it is mined, further tightening float availability and amplifying the ETF-driven supply shock.<\/p>\n

Altcoin Rotation From ETF Flows<\/strong><\/p>\n

Analysts note that ETF-driven demand for Bitcoin often sparks rotations into altcoins. Aptos (APT<\/strong>) has been cited as a Layer-1 beneficiary, consolidating near\u00a0$4.68\u2013$5.15<\/strong>\u00a0with long-term targets at\u00a0$15\u2013$20<\/strong>. Jupiter (JUP<\/strong>) continues to lead DeFi aggregation on Solana, facing resistance at\u00a0$0.50<\/strong>\u00a0but positioned to push toward\u00a0$0.55\u2013$0.60<\/strong>. Even speculative projects like MAGACOIN Finance have gained attention after passing security audits, a reminder that Bitcoin\u2019s ETF inflows ripple across the broader digital asset market.<\/p>\n

That’s TradingNEWS<\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Bitcoin (BTC-USD) Holds $110K as ETF Flows, Fed Policy, and Profit-Taking Collide BTC-USD Near $110,751 Amid ETF Rotation…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":20984,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[175],"tags":[79,18,19,17,188],"class_list":{"0":"post-48063","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-markets","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-eire","10":"tag-ie","11":"tag-ireland","12":"tag-markets"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48063","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48063"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48063\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/20984"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48063"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48063"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48063"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}