{"id":630322,"date":"2026-08-10T15:10:18","date_gmt":"2026-08-10T15:10:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/630322\/"},"modified":"2026-08-10T15:10:18","modified_gmt":"2026-08-10T15:10:18","slug":"factcheck-oecd-to-remove-bogus-statistic-that-tourism-in-ireland-fell-by-32","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/630322\/","title":{"rendered":"FactCheck: OECD to remove bogus statistic that tourism in Ireland fell by 32%"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/1786374615_703_.png\"  alt=\"\" class=\"alignnone inline-image\" \/><\/p>\n<p>THE INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS group, the OECD, has agreed to remove a misleading statistic they published which stated that tourist numbers to Ireland fell by 32% between 2019 and 2025.<\/p>\n<p>The statistic, which came from the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), has been widely cited online. However, the figures cited originally come from Ireland\u2019s Central Statistics Office (CSO), which changed how it counts tourist visitor numbers at the start of 2023.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe 32% figure is misleading because it\u2019s comparing two different surveys rather than showing a real fall in passenger numbers,\u201d Aaron Costello from the Tourism and Travel section of the CSO said in response to The Journal\u2019s inquiries.<\/p>\n<p>The correction, which will include removing a 32% drop in tourist numbers, will be officially issued in August, the OECD told The Journal.\u00a0\n<\/p>\n<p>A new series<\/p>\n<p>The CSO completely changed how it estimated tourists coming to Ireland in 2023 after the surveys it had relied on ended during the Covid pandemic. It now relies on a single passenger survey with stricter sampling rules. The new survey is also conducted by an interviewer rather than filled out by the passengers themselves.<\/p>\n<p>Costello told The Journal that there was no way to recreate the old results with current data.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSince the underlying data collection no longer exists, there\u2019s no way to reconstruct comparable figures,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>Did tourism drop?<\/p>\n<p>Many of the tourism groups in Ireland based their own reports on the CSO visitor data. However, there are other rough methods of estimating how tourism in Ireland changed between 2019 and 2025.<\/p>\n<p>One reliable data set comes from airport figures. Did arrivals drop between 2019 and 2025?<\/p>\n<p>On the contrary, Dublin Airport had a record-breaking year, with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dublinairport.com\/latest-news\/2026\/01\/16\/record-36.4-million-passengers-travelled-through-dublin-airport-in-2025\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">36.4 million passengers<\/a> in 2025. This is an increase of more than 10% over <a href=\"https:\/\/www.daa.ie\/dublin-airport-welcomed-32-9m-passengers-in-2019\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">2019 figures<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Another proxy is the use of hotels.<\/p>\n<p>There were reports that the average hotel occupancy rate was 78% in both <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ihf.ie\/content\/hotels-report-mixed-year-sector\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">2019 <\/a>and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.irishtimes.com\/business\/2026\/03\/31\/hotel-room-rates-jumped-3-in-2025-despite-fall-in-overseas-and-domestic-visitors\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">2025.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>However, while the percentage may have been the same, many more hotel rooms were available in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>According to F\u00e1ilte Ireland reports, the number of hotel rooms more than doubled in those years, from <a href=\"https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20210121182522\/https:\/\/www.failteireland.ie\/FailteIreland\/media\/WebsiteStructure\/Documents\/3_Research_Insights\/3_General_SurveysReports\/Accommodation-Capacity-2019.pdf\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">147,883 bed spaces in 2019<\/a>, to <a href=\"https:\/\/assets.failteireland.ie\/5608854e-b2c7-0144-a5f6-88a7e629b0a4\/7f4abe80-ece1-472a-9b7c-54b3dc7d7d29\/industry-insights-business-of-tourism-report-2026.pdf\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">359,250 in 2025.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>It should be noted that these figures \u2014 of airport numbers, of hotel spaces and of occupancy \u2014 should not be read as reliable estimates of the actual number of tourists in Ireland.<\/p>\n<p>They are, at best, a proxy. For example, airport figures include Irish people returning home, as well as business travellers. And the hotel figures are taken from different sources, which could be incompatible, much like the two CSO series were.<\/p>\n<p>However, we might expect to see some of these proxy numbers go down if there was really a 32% drop in tourism between 2019 and 2025. Instead, they rose.<\/p>\n<p>So, how did the claim that tourism in Ireland fell by 32% become prominent online?<\/p>\n<p>Tourism Trends<\/p>\n<p>The OECD published a report at the start of July entitled <a href=\"https:\/\/www.oecd.org\/content\/dam\/oecd\/en\/publications\/reports\/2026\/06\/oecd-tourism-trends-and-policies-2026_13326fe2\/3fd3cd75-en.pdf\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">OECD Tourism Trends and Policies 2026.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>This 325-page tome attempts to bring together \u201cinternationally comparable data on tourism\u201d looking at 53 countries.<\/p>\n<p>It includes a section on Ireland, but this does not mention a dramatic fall in tourist numbers.<\/p>\n<p>Instead, that figure comes from a table on page 24, \u201cInternational tourist arrivals in OECD and partner countries, 2019, 2023, 2024, 2025\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>The years here are presumably chosen to avoid data from the pandemic years that might distort long-term trends.<\/p>\n<p>Unfortunately, displaying these particular years looks as though Ireland simply never recovered from the pandemic slump (though 2025 does show a 2.3% increase in visitors over 2023, the first year of the new CSO series).<\/p>\n<p>The figures in this had already been used by Visual Capitalist, a website that makes graphics from data.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cRanked: The Countries Gaining and Losing the Most Tourists,\u201d their graphic reads, showing Israel in first place, with a reduction of 71% in international tourist arrivals in 2025, during Israel\u2019s war in Gaza, compared with 2019.<\/p>\n<p>Ireland features in second place, at 32%.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/1786374618_320_.jpeg\"  alt=\"OE The-Countries-Gaining-and-Losing-the-Most-Tourists_WEB\" class=\"alignnone inline-image\" \/><br \/>\n            The inforgraphic made using OECD figures that the OECD has agreed to amend.                    Visual Capitalist<\/p>\n<p>    <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.visualcapitalist.com\/ranked-the-countries-gaining-and-losing-the-most-tourists\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Visual Capitalist<\/a>\n<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s worth recapping here: the CSO had reformed how it counted tourists to be more precise. The OECD took the most reliable tourist numbers from CSO data in 2019 and 2025 (even though they were different series) and displayed them without comment. And Visual Capitalist represented this data as a graphic.<\/p>\n<p>None of these actions are typical of wrongdoing. Nevertheless, the end result was a misleading graphic that has since spread online.<\/p>\n<p>Social media<\/p>\n<p>Versions of the graphic were posted to Reddit eight times, with the submission to r\/Infographics garnering more than 4,050 upvotes.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhat\u2019s happening in Ireland?\u201d reads the top comment.<\/p>\n<p>Most of the top-voted responses mention the prices here \u2014 \u201cit\u2019s expensive\u201d, reads a response with 532 upvotes.<\/p>\n<p>However, other responses blamed Ukrainians or asylum seekers taking up hotel accommodation.<\/p>\n<p>A video viewed more than 54,000 times on Facebook and 21,000 times on YouTube, as well as receiving hundreds of likes on Instagram, blames non-nationals generally for the plunge in tourism (that likely never happened).<\/p>\n<p>Speaking to camera, the host complains that tourists might get their passport checked by a garda \u201chired from one of the local IPAS centres\u201d, and that taxi drivers and hotel workers serving them might also be from other countries.<\/p>\n<p>Grok, the AI chatbot embedded in the social media site X, responded to inquiries of whether the statistic was true.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYes, the OECD Tourism Trends and Policies 2026 data confirms it: Ireland\u2019s international tourist arrivals fell from 9.35 million in 2019 to 6.40 million in 2025 (-32%),\u201d it says, incorrectly.<\/p>\n<p>It continues, saying that the main drivers for the drop are high costs, weaker air access, and \u201ca slower post-COVID recovery than most peers\u201d \u2014 a response typical of many chatbots: confident, convicing, and fundamentally wrong.<\/p>\n<p>The Journal\u2019s FactCheck is a signatory to the International Fact-Checking Network\u2019s Code of Principles. You can read it <a title=\"http:\/\/www.thejournal.ie\/factcheck-thejournal-ie-fact-checking-code-of-principles-ireland-2987721-Sep2016\/\" href=\"http:\/\/www.thejournal.ie\/factcheck-thejournal-ie-fact-checking-code-of-principles-ireland-2987721-Sep2016\/\" data-testid=\"link-with-safety\" data-renderer-mark=\"true\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>. For information on how FactCheck works, what the verdicts mean, and how you can take part, check out our Reader\u2019s Guide <a title=\"http:\/\/www.thejournal.ie\/factcheck-a-readers-guide-to-how-it-works-and-how-you-can-take-part-2987611-Sep2016\/\" href=\"http:\/\/www.thejournal.ie\/factcheck-a-readers-guide-to-how-it-works-and-how-you-can-take-part-2987611-Sep2016\/\" data-testid=\"link-with-safety\" data-renderer-mark=\"true\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>. You can read about the team of editors and reporters who work on the factchecks <a title=\"http:\/\/www.thejournal.ie\/meet-the-team-thejournal-ie-factcheck-bios-4267874-Oct2018\/\" href=\"http:\/\/www.thejournal.ie\/meet-the-team-thejournal-ie-factcheck-bios-4267874-Oct2018\/\" data-testid=\"link-with-safety\" data-renderer-mark=\"true\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"THE INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS group, the OECD, has agreed to remove a misleading statistic they published which stated that&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":630323,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[73],"tags":[79,1412,18,42922,266319,19,17,9457,14956,5986],"class_list":["post-630322","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-business","tag-business","tag-central-statistics-office","tag-eire","tag-factcheck","tag-hotel-capacity","tag-ie","tag-ireland","tag-misinformation","tag-oecd","tag-tourism"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@ie\/117071855155499469","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/630322","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=630322"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/630322\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/630323"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=630322"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=630322"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=630322"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}