{"id":639536,"date":"2026-08-16T02:39:48","date_gmt":"2026-08-16T02:39:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/639536\/"},"modified":"2026-08-16T02:39:48","modified_gmt":"2026-08-16T02:39:48","slug":"temperate-forests-that-once-vanished-over-millennia-are-now-disappearing-in-decades-science","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/639536\/","title":{"rendered":"Temperate forests that once vanished over millennia are now disappearing in decades | Science"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"\">The concentration of carbon dioxide (CO\u2082) in the atmosphere has reached 600 parts per million (ppm). At first, it is a boon for plants: the greater availability of carbon dioxide (their food source) supercharges trees, which grow and grow without restraint. But that concentration of greenhouse gases continues to warm the planet. The atmosphere loses more and more moisture and must draw water from leaves, stems and trunks. <a href=\"https:\/\/english.elpais.com\/opinion\/the-global-observer\/2022-02-23\/why-we-drag-our-feet-when-it-comes-to-climate-change.html\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/english.elpais.com\/opinion\/the-global-observer\/2022-02-23\/why-we-drag-our-feet-when-it-comes-to-climate-change.html\">Plant mortality increases<\/a> dramatically, and forests begin to thin out. As this happens, more solar radiation and heat penetrate the understory, reinforcing the process. Temperate species are displaced by xerophytic (drought-resistant) and thermophilic (heat-loving) plants. Walnuts, elms and birches give way to palms and scrubland.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">This process occurred across the planet\u2019s mid and high latitudes 56 million years ago. But according to a new study published in Science, it bears an unsettling resemblance to what is happening to forests today.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">Geologists, paleobotanists and other scholars of Earth\u2019s past refer to that episode as the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM). Driven by rising levels of atmospheric CO\u2082, probably of volcanic origin, it triggered global warming that pushed temperatures up by more than 5\u00b0C. Its impact was so profound that it marks the end of one geological epoch, the Paleocene, and the beginning of another, the Eocene. It is also one of the examples climate-change deniers often cite to argue that the climate has always changed.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">Just as during the PETM, they would point out, atmospheric CO\u2082 levels continue to rise and have now reached 423 ppm. As 56 million years ago, droughts are becoming more frequent, with the atmosphere drier than it has been for centuries; countless plants and animals are dying, reshaping landscapes; and, as happened then, the oceans are becoming more acidic. What they do not mention is that the PETM unfolded over several millennia, whereas today\u2019s warming is occurring over mere decades. But apart from the speed and the cause \u2014anthropogenic now, volcanic then \u2014 the two <a href=\"https:\/\/english.elpais.com\/climate\/2026-06-26\/its-not-just-hot-its-climate-change-the-heatwave-scorching-europe-would-have-been-impossible-just-50-years-ago.html\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/english.elpais.com\/climate\/2026-06-26\/its-not-just-hot-its-climate-change-the-heatwave-scorching-europe-would-have-been-impossible-just-50-years-ago.html\">climate changes<\/a> bear striking similarities.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"\" decoding=\"auto\" class=\"_re lazyload a_m-h\" height=\"311\"  width=\"414\"  src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/UDQ4JKE4WZAYFNZETRQBFZHNTM.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" fetchpriority=\"low\"\/>A current view of what was once a forest of elm, birch, and walnut trees. The photo shows several of the study\u2019s authors during the excavation work.Marieke Dechesne, USGS<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">\u201cWe found that, during the PETM, Wyoming\u2019s forests [in the United States] experienced an average 35% decline in leaf area index [LAI],\u201d says Regan Dunn, a researcher at the Natural History Museum of Los Angeles County and the study\u2019s lead author, in an email. \u201cThat does not mean the forest disappeared, but that it lost about a third of the leaf cover that drives many of its ecological processes,\u201d she clarifies. \u201cMore sunlight reached the forest floor, temperatures rose, soils dried, less water returned to the atmosphere through transpiration, and the forest became less effective at regulating climate and storing carbon.\u201d <\/p>\n<p class=\"\">The decline of a forest that, during the <a href=\"https:\/\/english.elpais.com\/science-tech\/2023-09-25\/what-can-fossils-teach-us-about-biodiversity.html\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/english.elpais.com\/science-tech\/2023-09-25\/what-can-fossils-teach-us-about-biodiversity.html\">Paleocene<\/a>, had been dominated by Juglandaceae (the walnut and pecan family), Betulaceae (birches), and Cupressaceae such as junipers was not an isolated phenomenon in Wyoming, or even in what is now North America. It occurred across the planet\u2019s mid and high latitudes, which were dominated then \u2014 as they are now \u2014 by temperate forests. Gradually, these gave way to environments more akin to Mediterranean landscapes or the dry tropical regions of the world, such as the Amazonian cerrado. \u201cIn a way, the PETM landscape in Wyoming, U.S., would have resembled a mix of the structure of Spanish scrublands and the structure and species composition of Neotropical dry tropical forests,\u201d Dunn explains.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">The traditional fossil record shows the shift in plant life that took place between the end of the Paleocene and the beginning of the Eocene. But it does not capture particularly well what happened during the transition itself. Dunn and his colleagues have come up with an innovative way to do just that. \u201cWe reconstructed ancient tree canopies by measuring the shape of microscopic epidermal cells on leaves,\u201d Dunn explains. These cells change shape depending on the amount of sunlight they receive during growth. Leaves that develop in shade have longer, more elongated cells than those that grow in full sun. And that pattern could be seen in fossilized leaves, in their phytoliths.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"\" decoding=\"auto\" class=\"_re lazyload a_m-h\" height=\"290\"  width=\"414\"  src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/BPNEMULJDFCK7P3WJJKFN5FMHA.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" fetchpriority=\"low\"\/>The researchers compared the cuticle structure of modern leaves with that of fossil leaves to create a model of vegetation cover. Image of plant epidermis obtained using epifluorescence microscopy.Dr. Regan Dunn<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">After validating their idea by analyzing leaf litter from about 20 modern forests and jungles, they were able to estimate LAI, the amount of leaf cover in those Wyoming forests, and how it thinned during the PETM. \u201cThis contrasts with the multi\u2011layered wet forests before and after the PETM,\u201d the researcher says, adding: \u201cSpain also has some notable sites that preserve PETM\u2011period information, such as Zumaia, which documents changes in marine depths at that time, and terrestrial records in the Tremp\u2011Graus basin,\u201d a set of sedimentary strata exposed in the Pyrenees.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">Dunn says it \u201cis feasible that our new method could be applied to investigate those deposits in Spain.\u201d \u201cThe next extension of our work is to get a global view of how vegetation structure changed worldwide during this major climatic event,\u201d she adds. The end result of that climatic upheaval was a dramatic transformation of the landscape in Wyoming and many other regions at similar latitudes. Temperate forest species gave way to heat-loving woody plants such as Burseraceae (the family that includes palo santo), a variety of shrub species, sequoias, and all kinds of palms. The shift triggered a cascade of other changes, including the emergence of new animal <a href=\"https:\/\/english.elpais.com\/usa\/2021-07-16\/the-animals-are-shrinking-two-by-two.html\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/english.elpais.com\/usa\/2021-07-16\/the-animals-are-shrinking-two-by-two.html\">species better adapted<\/a> to the new environment.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">\u201cUnderstanding how forest structure changed during the PETM is crucial because it reveals how plant growth, biomass and productivity are affected by the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere,\u201d says Ellen Currano, a paleobotanist at the University of Wyoming and a coauthor of the study. \u201cExcess CO\u2082 is harmful to forests, since the warming and drought that accompany it weaken trees, causing many to die.\u201d <\/p>\n<p class=\"\">Currano sees clear similarities between the past and the present. \u201cOur work shows that during the PETM tree canopies became more open, with fewer large trees, and that this change affected climate, the nutrient cycle, weathering and, of course, the animals living in the forests,\u201d she says. \u201cWe are beginning to observe similar changes in today\u2019s forests, especially in the Amazon, and the plant fossil record from Wyoming gives us a sense of where Earth could be headed.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">Sign up for our <a href=\"https:\/\/plus.elpais.com\/newsletters\/lnp\/1\/333\/?lang=en\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">weekly newsletter<\/a> to get more English-language news coverage from EL PA\u00cdS USA Edition<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The concentration of carbon dioxide (CO\u2082) in the atmosphere has reached 600 parts per million (ppm). At first,&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":639537,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[77],"tags":[18,99552,19,17,133],"class_list":["post-639536","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-science","tag-eire","tag-flora","tag-ie","tag-ireland","tag-science"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@ie\/117102875734683255","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/639536","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=639536"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/639536\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/639537"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=639536"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=639536"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=639536"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}