Graph showing recent rise of long-term unemployment [Photo: US Bureau of Labor Statistics]<\/p>\n
The number of long-term unemployed in the United States has reached levels not seen since the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic, according to data released last week by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics. <\/p>\n
In August, more than 1.9 million had been out of work six months or longer, almost 26 percent of the total number of unemployed. This is the highest percentage since February 2022, near the ending of the pandemic lockdowns. That level of long-term unemployment has previously been seen only during periods of recession.<\/p>\n
According to the Washington Post, the average time to find a job is now six months, a period longer than before the pandemic. In addition, there are now more job seekers than there are job openings. <\/p>\n
The figures are the latest indication of the rising levels of economic distress that are fueling social tensions at the same time as the Trump administration is seeking to criminalize political opposition with troop deployments to US cities and the witch-hunt following the shooting of far right ideologue Charlie Kirk. <\/p>\n
Of significant note is the high percentage of the long-term unemployed who are college graduates, nearly one third of the total, compared to one fifth 10 years ago. In the past, holding a college degree tended to make someone more employable. Currently, the overall jobless rate for recent college graduates is 6.5 percent, well above the official unemployment rate of 4.3 percent.<\/p>\n
The difficulties that college graduates are encountering finding work are the product of a number of factors, including the rise in the number of graduates and a decline in the number of job postings that require applicants to possess a degree. Trump\u2019s slashing of federal jobs has disproportionately impacted the college educated. Automation, restructuring and the use of artificial intelligence are additional factors fueling this trend.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe data is signaling that there\u2019s some restructuring going on,\u201d said Andreas Mueller, an expert on long-term unemployment at the University of Zurich cited by the New York Times. \u201cPeople are losing jobs and can\u2019t find jobs in high-skilled occupations.\u201d<\/p>\n
Fox News reports that its recent survey found a mounting perception that Trump\u2019s economic policies are hurting workers. It reports \u201cmore voters say the Trump administration has made the economy worse (52 percent) rather than better (30 percent).\u201d<\/p>\n
The Times notes that long-term unemployment contributes to high levels of stress. In a survey of 200 long-term unemployed many expressed feelings of anxiety or depression. Some mentioned thoughts of suicide. Katie, an unemployed college graduates told the Times she had applied for more than 3,000 jobs. \u201cThe stress of rejection is unbearable,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n
Six months is a significant marker for many job seekers, since that is often the maximum length of time laid off workers can receive jobless benefits. Not only do financial pressures increase, but also psychological pressures. In fact, many workers stop looking for work altogether and are no longer counted in the official statistics. Employers are often more reluctant to hire the long-term unemployed.<\/p>\n
\u201cI’m on gap year to meet the qualifications for the teacher’s certification program, but I doubt that I’m able to pay for it,\u201d a young worker in northern California told the World Socialist Web Site. \u201cEverything related to education is attacked, from financial aid to mass firings. My old middle school is threatened with being closed despite it being considered a \u2018good\u2019 school. I\u2019m pressured to switch my career plans into healthcare, but even that\u2019s under assault. Everything is under attack really, and we have to do something about it.\u201d<\/p>\n
Posting on Reddit, workers noted their struggles with the impact of long-term unemployment. \u201c40 years in my industry, 18 months searching now, I\u2019m wiped out completely. My days are filled with depression, selling everything I own for food & electric (and I\u2019ve run out of things people will buy!!) and searching for work,\u201d wrote one older job seeker.<\/p>\n
Said another, \u201cIt\u2019s been seven months filled with a lot of anxiety. Right now, I\u2019m taking antidepressants. I had a fight with my boyfriend because of my anxiety, and we\u2019re no longer together. In two months, I\u2019ll be losing my apartment and running out of money.\u201d<\/p>\n
Another wrote, \u201cGrad student, worked two years for the state department, got doged and can\u2019t find a job. I\u2019m stuck doing uber and DoorDash. I can barely survive.\u201d<\/p>\n
The report on long-term unemployment comes on top of reports that weekly jobless claims are at the highest level since 2021 and that inflation is once again surging, due in large part to Trump\u2019s tariff war, further reducing workers living standards. Axios reports, \u201cVirtually all major grocery categories are now more expensive than they were a year ago, some substantially so.\u201d Prices rises have hit everything from apples to beef. Coffee prices are up a whopping 20 percent.<\/p>\n
The firing of BLS director Erika McEntarfer<\/a> by President Trump in August has done nothing so far to staunch the tide of bad economic reports. Earlier this month, the BLS issued revised data showing the US added 911,000 fewer jobs over the previous 12 months than had been initially reported. Only 22,000 new jobs were added in August and the unemployment rate reached 4.3 percent, the highest level in four years.<\/p>\n Noting the relation between the social structure of the US and the growth of authoritarian tendencies Ray Dalio, founder of mammoth hedge fund Bridgewater Associates, warned in a recent interview with the Financial Times that wealth inequality was fueling the breakdown of democratic institutions. \u201cI think that what is happening now politically and socially is analogous to what happened around the world in the 1930-40 period.\u201d He pointed to \u201cgaps in wealth\u201d and \u201cgaps in values,\u201d as militating toward \u201cmore extreme\u201d policies on both the right and the left. As an example of the latter, he noted the New York Democratic primary victory of Zohran Mamdani<\/a>, a member of the Democratic Socialists of America.<\/p>\n