{"id":75112,"date":"2025-09-20T10:42:16","date_gmt":"2025-09-20T10:42:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/75112\/"},"modified":"2025-09-20T10:42:16","modified_gmt":"2025-09-20T10:42:16","slug":"could-a-july-fed-rate-cut-spark-a-rally-in-the-australia-200","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/75112\/","title":{"rendered":"Could a July Fed rate cut spark a rally in the Australia 200?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Australia 200 stocks<br \/>\nAviation stocks<\/p>\n<p>Virgin Australia, newly listed, opened at $3.14, which is 14% above its <a href=\"\">initial public offering (IPO)<\/a> price of $2.90, giving the airline a <a href=\"\">market valuation<\/a> of approximately A$2.32 billion. Further details regarding Virgin Australia&#8217;s IPO and return to the ASX are provided <a href=\"\">here<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Virgin now holds about 34.4% of the domestic market compared to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ig.com\/en-ch\/shares\/markets-shares\/qantas-airways-ltd-QAN-AU\" class=\"insight-link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Qantas<\/a> at 37.5%. Additionally, Virgin has <a href=\"\">hedged<\/a> most of its 2026 fuel needs with a Brent cap of $70 per barrel, even as\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ig.com\/en-ch\/shares\/markets-shares\/bain-capital-specialty-finance-inc\" class=\"insight-link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Bain Capital&#8217;s<\/a> ownership stake decreases to 39.4%.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ig.com\/en-ch\/shares\/markets-shares\/qantas-airways-ltd-QAN-AU\" class=\"insight-link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Qantas<\/a> rose 2.38% to $10.33,\u00a0following a 7% overnight drop in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ig.com\/en-ch\/commodities\/markets-commodities\/brent-crude\" class=\"insight-link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Brent crude oil<\/a>\u00a0prices<\/li>\n<li>Virgin Australia traded at $3.14<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Financial sector<\/p>\n<p>Heavyweight banks led the rally, pushing the financials sector up 1.76% to a fresh record high of 9511.<\/p>\n<p>Materials sector<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ig.com\/en-ch\/commodities\/markets-commodities\/iron-ore\" class=\"insight-link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Iron ore<\/a> miners added support after <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ig.com\/en-ch\/shares\/markets-shares\/rio-tinto-ltd-RIO-AU\" class=\"insight-link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Rio Tinto<\/a> announced plans to develop Hope Downs 2 with Hancock Prospecting.<\/p>\n<p>Energy sector<\/p>\n<p>Energy <a href=\"\">stocks<\/a> plunged as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ig.com\/en-ch\/commodities\/markets-commodities\/us-light-crude\" class=\"insight-link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">crude oil<\/a> fell 0.8% to $66.69 \u2013 around 15% below yesterday\u2019s peak of $78.40.<\/p>\n<p>Consumer stocks<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ig.com\/en-ch\/shares\/markets-shares\/collins-food-ltd-CKF-AU\" class=\"insight-link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Collins Foods<\/a> soared 18.8% to $8.63 after topping earnings expectations<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Australia 200 technical analysis<\/p>\n<p>After the Australia 200 hit a new record high of 8639 earlier this month, we noted that the <a href=\"\">relative strength index (RSI)<\/a> was at its most overbought level since December 2023 (which was followed by a 4% <a href=\"\">pullback<\/a>).<\/p>\n<p>The 2.5% pullback since then into yesterday&#8217;s 8421.1 low helped the <a href=\"\">index<\/a> work off overbought readings and was very orderly, even begrudging, which indicates the move lower has been a correction rather than the start of an impulsive move lower.<\/p>\n<p>In summary, provided the Australia 200 holds above <a href=\"\">support<\/a> at 8420\/8400 on a sustained basis, the view is that the correction from the 8639 high is complete at yesterday\u2019s 8421.1 low and that a retest and break of the 8639 high will likely be forthcoming.<\/p>\n<p>Australia 200 daily chart<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Australia 200 stocks Aviation stocks Virgin Australia, newly listed, opened at $3.14, which is 14% above its initial&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":75113,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[175],"tags":[79,18,19,17,188],"class_list":{"0":"post-75112","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-markets","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-eire","10":"tag-ie","11":"tag-ireland","12":"tag-markets"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75112","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=75112"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75112\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/75113"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=75112"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=75112"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=75112"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}