{"id":139014,"date":"2026-05-31T16:06:26","date_gmt":"2026-05-31T16:06:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/139014\/"},"modified":"2026-05-31T16:06:26","modified_gmt":"2026-05-31T16:06:26","slug":"turkey-seeking-benefit-from-iran-war-as-middle-east-order-shifts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/139014\/","title":{"rendered":"Turkey seeking benefit from Iran war, as Middle East order shifts"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>An article published in The Telegraph in the UK argues that Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan \u201cis the real winner of the Iran war.\u201d The argument is that Turkey\u2019s leader has been cracking down on its domestic opposition while the world is focused on the war with the Islamic Republic of Iran. This is an interesting argument. However, Turkey\u2019s benefit from the conflict \u2013 and how it may reshape Ankara\u2019s policy \u2013 is more complex than the issue of local opposition in Turkey.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/international\/article-897866\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Turkey<\/a> has sought to remain outside the Iran conflict. It\u2019s not clear whether Ankara is posing as neutral or seeking to portray itself as similar to most European and NATO powers, who also remained outside the war.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">In any case, it has not come in for criticism from the White House. This is in contrast to European countries, as well as Oman, which has been critiqued. Ankara is also not stepping up to play the mediation role that Pakistan and Qatar have sought.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">As such, Turkey is in a unique position, though this isn\u2019t new for Ankara, which has often set its own, independent policies. Even though Turkey is a member of NATO, it has remained outside major world conflicts since the end of World War I.<\/p>\n<p>It should be recalled that the Ottoman Empire entered that war on the side of Germany and Austria-Hungary. Among the initiatives that convinced the \u201cSublime Porte\u201d to enter the war was the dispatch of the German warships Breslau and Goeben to Turkey, replacing ships that the Turks had ordered from Britain. Ankara then joined what was to become the losing side in the war, which led to the collapse of the empire and the emergence of modern Turkey.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">Possibly due to this, modern Turkish nationalism has often sought to remain outside of major conflicts. It was able to avoid World War II. During the Cold War, Turkey became a member of NATO and a friend of the United States and the West. However, Turkey remained concerned about the direction of the Global War on Terror after 9\/11, wary of the US\u2019s 2003 invasion of Iraq.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">Since then, Turkey has been ruled by the Adalet ve Kalkinma Partisi (AKP) \u2013 Justice and Development Party \u2013 with Islamic and conservative roots and linked to the Muslim Brotherhood.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">This is in contrast to the secular nationalist Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi (CHP) \u2013 Republican People\u2019s Party \u2013 that led Turkey for much of the 80 years from 1923 to 2003.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan arrive for a joint press conference at the Presidential Palace in Ankara, Turkey, February 4, 2025.\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"822\" height=\"829\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" style=\"color:transparent\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/702383.jpeg\"\/>Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan arrive for a joint press conference at the Presidential Palace in Ankara, Turkey, February 4, 2025. (credit: REUTERS\/CAGLA GURDOGAN)<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">The AKP initially sought to make Turkey more economically successful and even entertained the concept of growing closer to the European Union. However, over time, the AKP became more authoritarian and more interventionist abroad. This peaked in the years 2015-2020, during the Syrian civil war.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">In recent years, Turkey has become slightly less aggressive abroad. It still has its interests in Syria and Libya and the Eastern Mediterranean, as well as a global posture that sees Ankara as a link between the Islamic and Turkish worlds. However, it views the changing world order and the attempts to exploit the power vacuum with apprehension.<\/p>\n<p>Turkey seeks ties to US as Trump administration zig-zags<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">Turkey\u2019s leader has sought to cultivate close ties with the Trump administration, though it can also see how the White House sometimes zig-zags on policy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">In 2025, the US administration was seeking to end the Israel-Hamas War and achieve peace deals. However, in 2026, it has become more interventionist, notably with the Iran war, as well as very critical of some of its traditional allies. The US is also very close to Israel, and Ankara is likely wary of this.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">Some articles have appeared in pro-Israel circles suggesting that Turkey is the \u201cnext\u201d Iran. This has raised eyebrows in Ankara, which appears to fear that Israel is seeking regional hegemony. As a NATO power with a large defense industrial base, Turkey can imagine a potential clash.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">How might the clash develop? It could develop over tensions in the Eastern Mediterranean. It could be in Syria. Ankara is aware of the realpolitik that leads regional powers to clash, and thus, it has sought to improve ties with Saudi Arabia and the Sunnis. This development has led to more concerns in Jerusalem that this Sunni bloc of countries might replace the Iranian-backed proxies or \u201cShia crescent.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">This is where Turkey is treading more carefully. Rather than bashing Israel \u2013 as Ankara did in 2024 \u2013 using the Israel-Hamas War as an excuse, Turkey\u2019s politicians are taking more of a \u201cwait and see\u201d approach.<\/p>\n<p>Ankara&#8217;s crackdown on domestic opposition is not new. The AKP has long sought to remove what it claims is a \u201cdeep state\u201d via mass arrests of the opposition. It has targeted Kurdish left-wing political groups, students, European-linked NGOs, and also now the CHP. The latest target is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/middle-east\/article-897796\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Ozgur Ozel<\/a>, leader of the CHP.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">\u201cTurkey is emerging as a long-term winner from the US-Israeli war against Iran, which has provided Recep Tayyip Erdogan, the Turkish president, room to accelerate an anti-democratic backslide with no global repercussions,\u201d The Telegraph says.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">\u201cNot only has he seized the moment to stage a crackdown on his opposition while the world\u2019s gaze was averted, but he has also managed to boost Turkey\u2019s standing on the global stage.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>US ambassador to Turkey may play role in US Iraq policy<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">There are many issues now for Turkey. Ankara is working on a potential deal with the Partiya Karkeren Kurdistane (PKK) \u2013 the Kurdistan Workers\u2019 Party \u2013 which would see that party dissolved.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">It is also working on a deal with Armenia. It is balancing its support for Ukraine while also working with Russia. Ankara is also seeking to help Syria emerge as a strong state.<\/p>\n<p>The US ambassador to Turkey, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/middle-east\/article-897868\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Tom Barrack<\/a>, was also the US envoy to Syria until that term expired recently. It appears that Barrack may play a role in US policy in Iraq. This would please Turkey as well. However, there are many critics of Barrack, including supporters of the Kurds in Syria and others.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cErdogan has led Turkey for nearly a quarter of a century, consolidating power at home, particularly in the periods immediately following political challenges \u2013 mass protests in 2013, and a military coup in 2016, both of which were halted by the authorities with deadly force,\u201d The Telegraph notes.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">\u201cMore recently, major demonstrations erupted in March 2025 after Mr. Erdogan\u2019s main political challenger, Ekrem Imamoglu, the mayor of Istanbul, was arrested. Under Mr Erdogan, Turkey \u2013 which boasts NATO\u2019s second-largest military after the US \u2013 has become the world\u2019s 11th largest arms exporter, particularly of drones, which have been shipped to numerous countries, from Ukraine to Libya.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>What comes next with the Iran conflict is not clear. Ankara is waiting to see what happens. US pressure on the Gulf countries and Turkey to join the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/international\/article-897249\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Abraham Accords<\/a> has certainly raised eyebrows in Ankara. Turkey has always said it could dial down rhetoric regarding Israel if the Gaza war ended and Israel moved to accept a two-state concept. This is also Saudi Arabia\u2019s view. Israel\u2019s current coalition government will never make this move. However, Turkey is willing to wait and see what elections may bring in Jerusalem.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-paragraph-section article-body-paragraph\">Turkey will also have elections, and the opposition could perform well. Nothing lasts forever, and the current policies of Jerusalem and Ankara may both change. The Iran war, therefore, may play out differently than expected.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"An article published in The Telegraph in the UK argues that Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan \u201cis the&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":121770,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[3],"tags":[11542,34,218,37,1486,3988,1591,3623,309,1176,51],"class_list":["post-139014","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-iran","tag-ankara","tag-iran","tag-iran-israel-war","tag-israel","tag-nato","tag-recep-tayyip-erdogan","tag-sunni","tag-tom-barrack","tag-trump-administration","tag-turkey","tag-united-states"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@iran\/116670050202408287","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/139014","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=139014"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/139014\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/121770"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=139014"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=139014"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=139014"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}