{"id":213271,"date":"2026-07-19T10:06:13","date_gmt":"2026-07-19T10:06:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/213271\/"},"modified":"2026-07-19T10:06:13","modified_gmt":"2026-07-19T10:06:13","slug":"battle-for-the-center-large-majority-of-israelis-already-know-how-theyll-vote-poll","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/213271\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8216;Battle for the center&#8217;: Large majority of Israelis already know how they&#8217;ll vote &#8212; poll"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Several months ahead of the October 27 national elections, the vast majority of Israelis have already decided whom they\u2019re voting for, according to poll results released on Sunday by the Jewish People Policy Institute.<\/p>\n<p>The latest JPPI survey, conducted this month, found that a majority (53%) of Israelis are already \u201ccompletely sure\u201d whom they\u2019re voting for, while a further 29% are \u201cfairly sure.\u201d Only 14% said they\u2019re still undecided, and the remaining 4% said they aren\u2019t going to vote.<\/p>\n<p>Among those who identified as on the left, 71% are already \u201ccompletely sure\u201d whom they\u2019ll vote for, while among those on the right, 58% are. By contrast, only 44% of centrist voters said the same.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIn other words, the campaign\u2019s real battlefield is focused on the center,\u201d JJPI said in a press release.<\/p>\n<p>Compared to the same survey a year ago, the results of this poll indicated a modest continuation of the Jewish Israeli public\u2019s rightward shift, with 66% of Jewish respondents identifying as on the right, compared to 63% in July 2025.<\/p>\n<p>\n\t\t\tGet The Times of Israel&#8217;s Daily Edition<br \/>\n\t\t\tby email and never miss our top stories\n\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\tBy signing up, you agree to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.timesofisrael.com\/terms\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">terms<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the share of Jewish voters who identified as \u201cexactly in the center\u201d grew from 10% in July 2025 to 13% in July 2026, while the share of those who identified as on the left shrank from 22% a year ago to just 19% this time.<\/p>\n<p>Strikingly, only 3% of Jewish respondents this year said they identified as on the left. None, or a negligible number, identified as \u201cfar left.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Among Arab respondents, about half identified as on the left, similar to last year, while the share of Arab voters who said they couldn\u2019t find any place for themselves on the political map went down from 21% last year to 15% this time.<\/p>\n<p>\t<a href=\"https:\/\/static-cdn.toi-media.com\/www\/uploads\/2026\/07\/F260713CG18.jpg\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-3863788\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/F260713CG18-640x400.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"375\"\/><\/a><br \/>\n\t\tMembers of the new political party A Place For Us All hold a press conference outside the Knesset in Jerusalem, July 13, 2026. (Chaim Goldberg\/Flash90)<\/p>\n<p>Asked what sort of coalition they\u2019d like to see in the next Knesset, a plurality (27%) opted for a \u201cchange bloc\u201d government that includes Arab parties. A further 8% opted for the \u201cchange bloc\u201d but without Arab parties.<\/p>\n<p>The \u201cchange bloc\u201d refers to the constellation of Zionist parties currently in the opposition who oppose sitting with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, 16% of respondents said they\u2019d opt for a right-wing bloc, along the lines of the current governing coalition, and 14% said they\u2019d support a bloc like the current government but with the addition of centrist parties.<\/p>\n<p>Sixteen percent said they\u2019d support a broad coalition with elements from both the current coalition and the \u201cchange bloc,\u201d but without Arab or ultra-Orthodox parties.<\/p>\n<p>Eight percent said they\u2019d prefer a left-right coalition that excluded Haredim but included Arabs; 5% percent of voters opted for a left-right coalition that included Haredim but excluded Arabs.<\/p>\n<p>It was not clear from the figures released on Sunday how the remaining 6% of respondents answered.<\/p>\n<p>Recent polls have shown that, if elections were held today, the current coalition would fail to form a government on its own; the Zionist opposition, composed of anti-Netanyahu parties but excluding Haredi and Arab ones, has consistently teetered on the edge of a majority.<\/p>\n<p>\t<a href=\"https:\/\/static-cdn.toi-media.com\/www\/uploads\/2026\/07\/F260718AVS01.jpg\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-3863785\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/F260718AVS01-640x400.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"375\"\/><\/a><br \/>\n\t\tDemonstrators protest against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his government at HaBima Square in Tel Aviv, July 18, 2026. (Avshalom Sassoni\/Flash90)<\/p>\n<p>The JPPI survey found diversity among voters\u2019 priorities going into the elections.<\/p>\n<p>Some 28% picked security, while 18% picked relations between the government and the judicial system, 15% picked Israel\u2019s progress as a more liberal state, and 13% picked unity and a reduction of internal fighting.<\/p>\n<p>How the remaining 26% voted was not clear from the figures included in the press release Sunday.<\/p>\n<p>Among right-wing voters, security and government-judicial relations were most important, at 40% and 30%, respectively.<\/p>\n<p>Among voters who selected the latter issue, 41% support a right-wing coalition like the one governing today, while 29% support a similar coalition with the addition of centrist parties, suggesting that the typical voter for whom this is a key issue is relatively aligned with the current coalition.<\/p>\n<p>\t<a href=\"https:\/\/static-cdn.toi-media.com\/www\/uploads\/2026\/07\/F260716YS35.jpg\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-3863786\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/F260716YS35-640x400.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"375\"\/><\/a><br \/>\n\t\tPrime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (right) and Justice Minister Yariv Levin (center) attend a vote at the plenum hall of the Knesset in Jerusalem, on July 16, 2026. (Yonatan Sindel\/Flash90)<\/p>\n<p>Among Arab respondents, 34% said security was the most important issue to them, while 26% picked the economy. The latter answer was far rarer among Jewish respondents, with only 5% of Jews saying the economy was the most important issue to them.<\/p>\n<p>The Arab community has been devastated by a violent crime wave in recent years.<\/p>\n<p>In a press release announcing the results of the poll, JPPI president Yedidia Stern said: \u201cIn previous surveys we published, we warned that the Israeli public saw the internal rift as its most central and dangerous enemy.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAs such, we must strive for as broad as possible a coalition after the election, that can establish \u2018rules of the game\u2019 and set guidelines for what\u2019s permitted and prohibited in the management of internal political conflicts,\u201d Stern said, advocating a \u201cthin constitution\u201d formulated by experts and advanced by JPPI.<\/p>\n<p>Currently, Israel lacks a formal written constitution, relying instead on a patchwork of quasi-constitutional Basic Laws.<\/p>\n<p>The July 2026 survey, which has not yet been released in full, was conducted primarily by the TheMadad.com panel, with Afkar Research surveying Arab respondents, and the results were weighted according to voting pattern and religiosity to make them representative of the Israeli public.<\/p>\n<p>The number of respondents and margin of error were not immediately available.<\/p>\n<p>&#13;<br \/>\n\t\t\t\tWe can&#8217;t do this work alone.\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img width=\"200\" height=\"200\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Untitled-design-4-200x200.jpg\" class=\"attachment-square size-square wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" title=\"\"\/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p>The war with Iran has been draining for all of us in Israel. But when I heard about a high casualty incident \u2013 ballistic missile impacts in Arad and Dimona that left nearly 200 people wounded \u2013 I drank a cup of coffee, packed a bag, and headed south.<\/p>\n<p>There, I spoke with Shilgit, the head of an after-school program for underprivileged youth. Standing outside her destroyed center, Shilgit said it was a miracle that no children were hurt and spoke about the community coming together in the hours since.<\/p>\n<p>As a Times of Israel reporter, I\u2019m committed to telling stories of resilience like Shilgit\u2019s. But my colleagues and I can&#8217;t do this alone. If you value work like this, please consider joining our reader support group, The Times of Israel Community. 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Sign in to stop seeing this<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Several months ahead of the October 27 national elections, the vast majority of Israelis have already decided whom&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":213272,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[33],"tags":[29674,12205,37,2742,7253,4030,10879],"class_list":["post-213271","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-israel","tag-2026-israeli-elections","tag-constitution","tag-israel","tag-israeli-politics","tag-jewish-people-policy-institute","tag-poll","tag-polls"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@iran\/116946088206317747","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/213271","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=213271"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/213271\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/213272"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=213271"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=213271"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=213271"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}