{"id":278653,"date":"2026-09-05T01:14:20","date_gmt":"2026-09-05T01:14:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/278653\/"},"modified":"2026-09-05T01:14:20","modified_gmt":"2026-09-05T01:14:20","slug":"us-air-force-speeds-reaper-successor-timeline-after-iran-losses-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/278653\/","title":{"rendered":"US Air Force speeds Reaper successor timeline after Iran losses"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 bFwqVI body-paragraph body-paragraph\">The U.S. Air Force is accelerating its timeline for a cheaper, more expendable successor to the MQ-9A Reaper, officials said Sept. 3, after combat losses left the service unwilling to wait out the rest of the drone\u2019s life.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 bFwqVI body-paragraph body-paragraph\">Lt. Gen. Christopher Niemi, the Air Force\u2019s chief modernization officer, told reporters at the Pentagon that a follow-on was already under discussion as the MQ-9 aged out. <\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 bFwqVI body-paragraph body-paragraph\">\u201cAlthough we have plenty of MQ-9As today, we are going through them at a rate that is concerning to us,\u201d he said, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/breakingdefense.com\/2026\/09\/after-concerning-losses-air-force-pushes-to-replace-reaper-faster\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Breaking Defense<\/a>, which covered the briefing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 bFwqVI body-paragraph body-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensedaily.com\/meink-directs-mma-acceleration-usaf-eyes-10-million-unit-cost-for-air-vehicle-20-million-for-cca-air-vehicle\/air-force\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Defense Daily<\/a> reported that Air Force Secretary Troy Meink directed the acceleration, and that the fiscal 2031 target of 20 mission-ready aircraft could be pulled forward by about two years.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 bFwqVI body-paragraph body-paragraph\">In May, Lt. Gen. David Tabor told the Senate Armed Services Subcommittee on Airland <a href=\"https:\/\/www.airforcetimes.com\/news\/pentagon-congress\/2026\/05\/13\/air-force-mq-9-fleet-drops-to-135-aircraft-after-iran-combat-losses\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">the fleet was down to about 135 aircraft<\/a>, roughly 54 below the service\u2019s 189-aircraft floor. Niemi did not update the inventory. <\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 bFwqVI body-paragraph body-paragraph\">Backfilling the fleet is difficult. General Atomics shut down MQ-9A production in 2025, and Tabor said the service was pursuing a short-term buy of existing MQ-9A airframes in fiscal 2026. Niemi said Sept. 3 that budget constraints make buying a large number of upgraded MQ-9B SkyGuardians unrealistic. It is a misconception, he said, that the Air Force could write a check and take delivery of 100 aircraft.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 bFwqVI body-paragraph body-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.congress.gov\/crs_external_products\/IN\/PDF\/IN12692\/IN12692.2.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">A Congressional Research Service Insight<\/a> updated May 13 cited an April 9 news report of 24 Reapers lost since military operations against Iran began in February, and said it was unclear whether the Pentagon had given Congress an accounting. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/national-security\/2026\/08\/13\/us-military-has-lost-roughly-25-its-reaper-drones-iran-war-depletes-arsenal\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Washington Post reported Aug. 13<\/a>, citing three U.S. officials, that at least 45 had been lost, roughly 25% of the fleet.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 bFwqVI body-paragraph body-paragraph\">Niemi signed requirements in May for a cheaper, modular, mass-producible aircraft. <\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 bFwqVI body-paragraph body-paragraph\">That program, Massed Modular Aircraft, or MMA, opened as a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.militarytimes.com\/industry\/techwatch\/2026\/07\/08\/pentagon-to-explore-cheaper-replacements-for-the-mq-9-reaper\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Defense Innovation Unit competition July 7<\/a> with the Air Force as partner. The solicitation, which closed July 23, asked for a drone that could fly Reaper-class strike, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance, electronic warfare and communications-relay missions cheaply enough to absorb losses. It called for at least 2,800 pounds of payload and an 8,000-nautical-mile one-way ferry range.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 bFwqVI body-paragraph body-paragraph\">That is the aircraft Niemi now prices against Collaborative Combat Aircraft, or CCA. He put CCA air vehicles near $20 million and MMA at about half that, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensedaily.com\/meink-directs-mma-acceleration-usaf-eyes-10-million-unit-cost-for-air-vehicle-20-million-for-cca-air-vehicle\/air-force\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Defense Daily<\/a> reported. <\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 bFwqVI body-paragraph body-paragraph\">An Air Force spokesperson said those figures are for the air vehicle only, not a fully missionized aircraft, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/breakingdefense.com\/2026\/09\/after-concerning-losses-air-force-pushes-to-replace-reaper-faster\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Breaking Defense<\/a>. In May, Niemi told senators a Reaper with a full sensor package can cost up to $50 million. At the Sept. 3 briefing, he said the Air Force will probably field at least 180 MMA drones.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 bFwqVI body-paragraph body-paragraph\">Niemi argued the Reaper\u2019s value is not the airframe. <\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 bFwqVI body-paragraph body-paragraph\">\u201cWhat makes the MQ-9 special has nothing to do with the aircraft itself,\u201d he said, calling its speed, altitude and range decades-old technology. <\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 bFwqVI body-paragraph body-paragraph\">Initial MMA versions, he said, will rely on proven technology rather than new systems to hit the price. He described a long-aspect-wing turboprop in the \u201c4,000 miles-type class,\u201d farther and heavier than a CCA but slower. Officials did not say how that class relates to the 8,000-nautical-mile ferry range in the July notice. <\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 bFwqVI body-paragraph body-paragraph\">General Atomics is bidding a design it calls Wildfire, first reported by <a href=\"https:\/\/aviationweek.com\/defense\/aircraft-propulsion\/ga-asi-reveals-ambitious-design-options-new-wildfire-uas\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Aviation Week<\/a> in August. Spokesman C. Mark Brinkley told <a href=\"https:\/\/www.airandspaceforces.com\/general-atomics-wildfire-drone-pentagon-low-cost-mma\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Air &amp; Space Forces Magazine<\/a> it \u201cmeets every wish on the [MMA] list and exceeds most of them,\u201d but declined to give capabilities or cost. The company has not released images. <\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 bFwqVI body-paragraph body-paragraph\">Brinkley told <a href=\"https:\/\/www.twz.com\/air\/wildfire-is-general-atomics-successor-to-the-mq-9-reaper\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">The War Zone<\/a> in August that treating MMA as a Reaper replacement misses the immediate need for a backfill. Wildfire does not depend on winning the competition, he said, and \u201cwe can deliver Wildfires years earlier than the current schedule.\u201d <\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 bFwqVI body-paragraph body-paragraph\">He framed the design targets as considerations rather than specs, among them a 10,000-nautical-mile ferry range, four Long Range Anti-Ship Missiles and 100 aircraft under semi-autonomous control.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 bFwqVI body-paragraph body-paragraph\">Col. Todd Dye, senior materiel leader in the Air Force\u2019s medium-altitude intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance division, said awards for MMA concept refinement were expected in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, <a href=\"https:\/\/breakingdefense.com\/2026\/07\/air-force-plans-downselect-for-second-cca-batch-next-year\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Breaking Defense reported<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph-sc-1tqpf5s-0 bFwqVI body-paragraph body-paragraph\">Officials did not announce a new date at the Sept. 3 briefing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"default__BioWrapper-sc-cy7r53-0 eATlTY a-body2\">Michael Scanlon is a defense journalist covering air and space warfare. A former U.S. Air Force A-10 crew chief, he has supported land and sea programs for the U.S. Army, Navy, Marine Corps and Coast Guard.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The U.S. Air Force is accelerating its timeline for a cheaper, more expendable successor to the MQ-9A Reaper,&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":278654,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[3],"tags":[1726,2539,1530,1529,38919,7928,75917,2930,711,34,196,75967,38918,2540,212,75966,4671,2926],"class_list":["post-278653","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-iran","tag-air-force","tag-circulated-air-force-times","tag-circulated-defense-news","tag-circulated-military-times","tag-collaborative-combat-aircraft","tag-congressional-research-service","tag-defense-innovation-unit","tag-dn-dnr","tag-drone","tag-iran","tag-iran-war","tag-lt-gen-christopher-niemi","tag-lt-gen-david-tabor","tag-military-times","tag-operation-epic-fury","tag-reaper","tag-senate-armed-services-committee","tag-unmanned"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@iran\/117215786576074416","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/278653","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=278653"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/278653\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/278654"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=278653"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=278653"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=278653"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}