{"id":43801,"date":"2026-03-30T23:14:27","date_gmt":"2026-03-30T23:14:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/43801\/"},"modified":"2026-03-30T23:14:27","modified_gmt":"2026-03-30T23:14:27","slug":"stock-market-winners-and-losers-one-month-into-us-israel-war-on-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/43801\/","title":{"rendered":"Stock market winners and losers one month into US-Israel war on Iran"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>    <img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/177b7171cef94c352cfbc21767bf0346.jpeg\" alt=\"Infographic chart showing the performance of WTI crude oil futures against selected indexes, up to March 26 and 27 at 03:55GMT.\" loading=\"eager\" height=\"558\" width=\"768\" class=\"yf-lglytj  loaded\"\/> Infographic chart showing the performance of WTI crude oil futures against selected indexes, up to March 26 and 27 at 03:55GMT.  \u00b7 AFP\/AFP    <\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">The US-Israel strikes against Iran have triggered a series of retaliations and military escalation in the Middle East that have sent shockwaves through global financial markets.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">The conflict, now more than a month old, has disrupted trade and energy markets, with stocks around the globe facing diverging effects based on how exposed they are &#8212; or how much they benefit from &#8212; the chaos.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Here are some of the winners and losers from the conflict so far.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">&#8211; Attracting investors: Oil and gas &#8211;<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Iran has imposed a virtual blockade on the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a fifth of global oil and gas supplies pass, causing energy prices to skyrocket.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">The price shock has also lifted the valuations of major energy producers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">These producers&#8217; profit margins have increased because as oil prices climb, the costs of extraction has remained relatively steady, said Jose Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">As a result, investors have poured money into companies that look set to profit from a sustained high-price environment.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">&#8220;They see the conflict continuing for a while,&#8221; Torres said. &#8220;That means oil prices are going to be structurally higher for the next year or two.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">In the European markets, BP led the surge with a gain of 22.3 percent in the one-month period from February 27 &#8212; the last trading day before strikes were launched &#8212; to March 27.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">TotalEnergies rose 16.7 percent and Shell climbed 13.3 percent in the same period.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">&#8211; Pulling back: Defense sector &#8211;<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Global conflict is usually a boon to defense contractors, and overall, 2026 has seen large gains for weapons makers.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">On a shorter timescale, several major defense companies have seen their stock prices slip since the Iran war began, as the market grapples with potential supply chain bottlenecks.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Though munitions are being deployed at a rapid pace, due to long lead-in times for procurement and production, there is a lag until any increased demand can be met.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Investors &#8220;don&#8217;t see a lot of new technology being produced,&#8221; said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA. &#8220;We are in a sense still using up a lot of residual bombs&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">German company Rheinmetall saw its shares tumble 17 percent between February 27 and March 27, while Thales dropped 6.7 percent and RTX &#8212; formerly Raytheon Technologies &#8212; fell 6.4 percent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">&#8211; Facing headwinds: Aviation &#8211;<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">The airline industry has emerged as one of the hardest-hit sectors, as the war forces mass flight cancellations and significant rerouting around contested airspace.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Compounding the operational difficulties is the surge in jet fuel prices, which has squeezed profit margins across the board.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">The increased cost of fuel is the top concern, but far from the only one, said Stovall.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">&#8220;Close behind is consumer confidence that is being affected by higher prices at the pump for their automobiles, higher prices when attempting to book summertime travel,&#8221; he told AFP.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Stovall also pointed to the long lines for security checks at US airports, and heightened travel safety concerns, as reasons that many people are cutting down on nonessential travel.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Lufthansa experienced a sharp decline of 19 percent, while International Airlines Group (IAG, which includes British Airways and Iberia) saw its shares fall 15.9 percent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Low-cost carrier Ryanair was also down 10.2 percent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">&#8211; Systemic pressure: Financial sector &#8211;<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Banking and financial services have also faced downward pressure as the conflict heightens global economic uncertainty, and the effects of rising fuel prices filter through the economy at all levels.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">Torres, of Interactive Brokers, noted a pattern in some countries lowering interest rates despite the jump in oil prices.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">&#8220;I think folks are increasingly worried about an economic slowdown, and they&#8217;re pricing in now more of the demand destruction effects of higher crude oil prices, as well as how higher interest rates make private credit situations worse,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">A recent boom in private credit lending, where non-bank institutions like private equity firms make loans to companies, has sparked concerns that growing rates of default on these loans would have knock-on effects across the economy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">HSBC, which maintains significant exposure to global trade routes and emerging markets, saw its stock price decline by 13.9 percent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">US banks JP Morgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, and Bank of America all saw share prices fall a few percentage points compared to the start of the war, as investors brace for a period of lower lending activity and increased credit risk.<\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\">cf\/aha\/bgs<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Infographic chart showing the performance of WTI crude oil futures against selected indexes, up to March 26 and&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":43802,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[33],"tags":[2276,18401,34,196,37,18400,261,18404,18402,18405,18403,3562],"class_list":{"0":"post-43801","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-israel","8":"tag-energy-markets","9":"tag-interactive-brokers","10":"tag-iran","11":"tag-iran-war","12":"tag-israel","13":"tag-jose-torres","14":"tag-oil-prices","15":"tag-profit-margins","16":"tag-sam-stovall","17":"tag-stock-price","18":"tag-stock-prices","19":"tag-wti-crude-oil"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@iran\/116320669840782179","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43801","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43801"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43801\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/43802"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43801"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43801"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43801"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}