\u201cThis is a war that is supposedly being fought in our name. There\u2019s a lot of wish-casting and projection.\u201d<\/p>\n
The nearly 17 percentage point leap comes as the prospects that the Iranian regime will collapse seem to have dimmed<\/a>, the conflict\u2019s endgame becomes increasingly murky, and steady bombings have swelled the number of civilians killed.<\/p>\n Jamal Abdi, president of the nonprofit group that commissioned the poll, the National Iranian American Council, said the survey results show that the diaspora\u2019s feelings on the war are more complicated \u2014 and more negative \u2014 than pundits have suggested.<\/p>\n \u201cThis is a war that is supposedly being fought in our name,\u201d Abdi said. \u201cThere\u2019s a lot of wish-casting and projection and voices from the diaspora claiming that there is this mandate from our community, and it\u2019s not based on data or facts or reality. It\u2019s based on a campaign for regime change no matter what the cost is. It\u2019s dangerous for our community to be used like this.\u201d<\/p>\n NIAC has long been one of the major voices in the diaspora expressing skepticism about war with Iran. In days leading up to the February 28 strikes that started the war, however, figures such as Reza Pahlavi, the son of the country\u2019s former shah, were given prominent platforms to argue for regime change.<\/a><\/p>\n NIAC\u2019s March 24 to 27 poll, which has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points, is the second that the group has commissioned from Zogby Analytics. An earlier survey was conducted from February 27 to March 5, a period that coincided with the final hours of U.S.\u2013Iranian negotiations and the beginning of the conflict.<\/p>\n The survey results suggest that Iranian Americans are now more opposed to the war than Americans as a whole<\/a>, after being more supportive at its start.<\/p>\n Iranian Americans are a sliver of the U.S. population, about 0.2 percent<\/a>, making polling of the group more difficult than the general population. Abdi said that Zogby drew from a \u201csignificant list of contacts\u201d in the Iranian American community to conduct the survey.<\/p>\n One prominent Iranian American, Ahmad Batebi \u2014 an exiled dissident who thanked President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu after the war began<\/a> but has spoken out against<\/a> targeting civilian infrastructure \u2014 questioned the poll results.<\/p>\n We\u2019re independent of corporate interests \u2014 and powered by members. Join us. <\/p>\n Join Our Newsletter <\/p>\n Thank You For Joining! <\/p>\n \n Original reporting. Fearless journalism. Delivered to you. <\/p>\n Will you take the next step to support our independent journalism by becoming a member of The Intercept?\n <\/p>\n By signing up, I agree to receive emails from The Intercept and to the Privacy Policy<\/a> and Terms of Use<\/a>.<\/p>\n \u201cMy view is that the reported decline in support should be interpreted cautiously,\u201d Batebi said in an email, \u201cnot only because opinion may indeed be shifting in real time, but because the more basic question is whether this polling instrument can credibly be treated as representative of the broader Iranian-American community in the first place.\u201d<\/p>\n In the earlier survey, Iranian Americans showed nearly a 50-50 split in their position on going to war with Iran.<\/p>\n Iranian Americans now believe by a wide margin that President Donald Trump should end the conflict, according to the more recent numbers. 70 percent of respondents said that it was time to end the war. Only a quarter believed it should continue.<\/p>\n Trump is scheduled to give an address on the war Wednesday night, with officials giving mixed signals as to whether he will wrap up the conflict or expand it with a ground invasion.<\/p>\n
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