US operation against Iran yields opposite results, strengthening Tehran and complicating talks while raising risks for US presence in the region.<\/p>\n
The U.S. military operation against Iran has produced the opposite of its intended outcome: instead of weakening Tehran, it has reinforced its position while narrowing the space for negotiations. This assessment was shared with RIA Novosti by Rafik Ismailov, director of the Center \u00abFor Civil Society,\u00bb a PhD in history and political analyst.<\/p>\n
On\u00a0the night of\u00a0April 8, White House chief Donald Trump announced that an\u00a0agreement had been reached with Iran on\u00a0a\u00a0two-week ceasefire. Shortly afterward, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Arakchi confirmed the reopening of\u00a0the Ormuz Strait, a\u00a0critical route through which roughly 20% of\u00a0global supplies of\u00a0oil, petroleum products, and liquefied natural gas pass.<\/p>\n
According to\u00a0Ismailov, the U.S. operation ultimately backfired, eliminating any signs of\u00a0flexibility on\u00a0Tehran\u2019s\u00a0part and making future negotiations significantly more difficult. He\u00a0argued that this shift also introduces new risks for the broader U.S. presence in\u00a0the region.<\/p>\n
The analyst pointed out that, based on\u00a0reports in\u00a0American media and the views of\u00a0several experts, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had persuaded Trump that military action could trigger internal unrest in\u00a0Iran, potentially mobilizing domestic forces\u00a0\u2014 including national minorities\u00a0\u2014 to\u00a0overthrow the government. In\u00a0Ismailov\u2019s\u00a0view, that assumption proved misguided, reflecting a\u00a0poor understanding of\u00a0Iran\u2019s\u00a0internal dynamics. Rather than destabilizing the country, the conflict appears to\u00a0have strengthened the current leadership.<\/p>\n
He\u00a0added that while Tehran had previously been experiencing a\u00a0degree of\u00a0ideological uncertainty amid a\u00a0challenging socio-economic environment, it\u00a0now feels more confident. Ismailov suggested that Iran\u2019s\u00a0economic outlook may improve due to\u00a0a\u00a0de\u00a0facto easing of\u00a0oil sanctions, rising global oil prices, and its control over the Ormuz Strait.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"US operation against Iran yields opposite results, strengthening Tehran and complicating talks while raising risks for US presence…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":59984,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[34,60,22984,1137,22987,22986,69,10282,22985,2429,22983],"class_list":{"0":"post-59983","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-tehran","8":"tag-iran","9":"tag-iran-economy","10":"tag-iran-strengthened-position","11":"tag-middle-east-tensions","12":"tag-netanyahu-trump-iran","13":"tag-ormuz-strait-reopening","14":"tag-tehran","15":"tag-tehran-negotiations","16":"tag-trump-ceasefire-iran","17":"tag-us-foreign-policy","18":"tag-us-iran-operation"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@iran\/116376636133420615","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59983","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=59983"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59983\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/59984"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=59983"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=59983"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/iran\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=59983"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}