{"id":16944,"date":"2026-05-04T15:10:16","date_gmt":"2026-05-04T15:10:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/16944\/"},"modified":"2026-05-04T15:10:16","modified_gmt":"2026-05-04T15:10:16","slug":"from-taipei-to-tokyo-u-s-retreat-redraws-indo-pacific-alliances","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/16944\/","title":{"rendered":"From Taipei to Tokyo: U.S. retreat redraws Indo-Pacific alliances"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"lead\">As U.S. attention drifts from the Indo-Pacific, Taiwan and its regional partners are recalibrating alliances, opening the door to deeper engagement with China and a reshaped balance of power, writes Hamza Zaman.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Cheng_Li-wun\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">CHENG LI-WUN<\/a>, the chairwoman of the Kuomintang (<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Kuomintang\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">KMT<\/a>), Taiwan&#8217;s primary opposition party, made a historic <a href=\"https:\/\/socialistchina.org\/2026\/04\/13\/kuomintang-chairwoman-visits-mainland\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">visit<\/a> to the People&#8217;s Republic of China.<\/p>\n<p>This was the first such visit by a KMT chair in the past decade, and the meeting between Cheng Li-wun and Chinese President <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Xi_Jinping\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Xi Jinping<\/a> suggested a potential diplomatic rapprochement.<\/p>\n<p>China announced a set of ten\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/asia.nikkei.com\/politics\/international-relations\/taiwan-tensions\/china-offers-10-incentives-to-taiwan-following-opposition-leader-s-visit\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">incentive<\/a> measures for Taiwan as an attempt to revive the bilateral relations and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/news\/2026\/4\/10\/taiwan-opposition-leader-calls-for-reconciliation-after-meeting-xi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">transcend<\/a> political confrontation and mutual hostility. This includes the reinstatement of tourist visits from Shanghai and Fujian province to Taiwan, <a href=\"https:\/\/asia.nikkei.com\/politics\/international-relations\/taiwan-tensions\/china-offers-10-incentives-to-taiwan-following-opposition-leader-s-visit\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">facilitation<\/a> of food sales, easing inspection standards for food and fish and exchange of dramas between the two nations.<\/p>\n<p>This cross-strait reconciliation, however, is not spurred by a domestic desire for reunification. The timing of this deepening convergence is juxtaposed with U.S. President Trump\u2019s drifting focus from the Indo-Pacific and Taiwan.<\/p>\n<p>  <a href=\"https:\/\/independentaustralia.net\/article-display\/australias-identity-crisis-in-asia-trust-fear-and-the-politics-of-belonging,20961\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/article-20961-thumb.jpg\" alt=\"Australia\u2019s identity crisis in Asia: Trust, fear and the politics of belonging\" class=\"w-100\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Since his return to the Oval Office, Trump has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eurasiantimes.com\/is-trump-killing-the-quad\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">limited<\/a> his reliance on the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Quadrilateral_Security_Dialogue\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Quad<\/a> as the predominant security arrangement to counter China in the Indo-Pacific, prioritising\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/china\/trumps-trade-war-with-china-2025-2025-10-13\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">tariffs<\/a> and export control regime for advanced chips.<\/p>\n<p>The American indifference towards its Indo-Pacific allies became evident during the U.S.-Israel conflict regarding Iran. The U.S.\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2026\/mar\/11\/redeployment-us-missiles-thaad-south-korea-middle-east-seoul-iran\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">transferred<\/a> its Terminal High Altitude Area Defence (<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Terminal_High_Altitude_Area_Defense\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">THAAD<\/a>) system from the Korean Peninsula to the Middle East to compensate for the depleted batteries and interceptors. It also <a href=\"https:\/\/www.stripes.com\/branches\/marine_corps\/2026-03-20\/more-marines-uss-boxer-deployment-iran-21129893.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">deployed<\/a> thousands of marines along with the USS Tripoli, an amphibious assault ship stationed in Japan, to the Middle East.<\/p>\n<p>This force posture diversion exacerbates the security <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dw.com\/en\/south-korea-uneasy-as-us-moves-air-defenses-to-middle-east\/a-76378551\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">concerns<\/a> of the American Indo-Pacific allies, including Japan, South Korea and Taiwan. The waning U.S. security umbrella implies that these Indo-Pacific allies can <a href=\"https:\/\/asia.nikkei.com\/politics\/defense\/south-korea-and-japan-on-edge-as-us-shifts-military-assets-to-iran-war\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">no longer rely<\/a> on American security assurances. The vulnerability of American extended deterrence was further exposed when the U.S. conclusively failed to safeguard its Gulf allies against Iranian drone and missile assaults.<\/p>\n<p>Trump\u2019s strategic priorities compel its Indo-Pacific allies to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/opinion\/articles\/2026-04-13\/iran-war-it-s-the-worst-time-to-be-an-american-ally?taid=69dcbd770c36d90001a22653&amp;utm_campaign=trueanthem&amp;utm_content=business&amp;utm_medium=social&amp;utm_source=twitter\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">reorient<\/a> their strategic direction. The unreliability of the American security assurances has forced the Quad members to seek strategic autonomy, as evidenced by growing strategic ties between Japan and Australia. Both nations signed a US$7 billion (AU$9.7 billion) warships <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/economy\/2026\/4\/19\/australia-and-japan-sign-contracts-for-7bn-warships-deal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">deal<\/a> amidst growing security concerns. Under this agreement, three stealth frigates will be built in Japan and eight in Western Australia.<\/p>\n<p>The upcoming <a href=\"https:\/\/reporter.anu.edu.au\/all-stories\/japanese-pm-takaichis-australia-visit-can-shore-up-energy-and-economic-security\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">visit<\/a> of Japanese PM <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Sanae_Takaichi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Sanae Takaichi<\/a> to Australia will further strengthen intra-Quad security and economic ties while alleviating reliance on the U.S. This indicates evolving Indo-Pacific alliances and priorities without overtly relying on American security assurances.<\/p>\n<p>The uncertainty of American extended deterrence and its role as a strategic protector is also prompting a strategic recalibration in Taiwan. The Taiwanese politicians are becoming increasingly sceptical of American assurances. They perceive the American <a href=\"https:\/\/www.chinausfocus.com\/peace-security\/is-taiwan-becoming-asias-ukraine\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">view<\/a> of Taiwan as analogous to Ukraine in the Indo-Pacific, where the U.S. continues to supply <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/articles\/c7095g45p1po\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">weapons<\/a> worth billions of dollars, propelling its military industrial complex, while fueling <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/news\/2022\/8\/2\/china-slams-pelosis-taiwan-visit-extremely-dangerous\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">discrepancies<\/a> between Taiwan and the PRC. \u00a0<\/p>\n<p>  <a href=\"https:\/\/independentaustralia.net\/article-display\/wongs-world-diplomacy-under-the-shadow-of-america,20422\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/article-20422-thumb.jpg\" alt=\"Wong\u2019s world: Diplomacy under the shadow of America\" class=\"w-100\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The Taiwanese leaders are realising that, much akin to Ukraine, the American elite will forget their woes in a few years, leaving them at the mercy of China. The hoax of the American strategic umbrella is becoming evident through President Trump\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifri.org\/en\/memos\/us-policy-toward-taiwan-beyond-donald-trump-mapping-american-stakeholders-us-taiwan-relations\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">indifference<\/a> towards his Indo-Pacific partners, especially Taiwan.<\/p>\n<p>President Trump has demanded that Taiwan\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/article\/2024\/jul\/17\/donald-trump-taiwan-pay-us-defence-china-national-convention\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">pay<\/a> the U.S. for defending it against China. In reality, the U.S. does not have any military presence on the island and cannot actively defend the country in case of a Chinese onslaught.<\/p>\n<p>President Trump signalled strategic detachment from Taiwan after <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/2026_United_States_intervention_in_Venezuela\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Operation Absolute Resolve<\/a> in Venezuela. President Trump asserted that, though the U.S. operation in Venezuela does not provide China a precedent, it is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/asia-pacific\/trump-says-venezuela-does-not-give-china-taiwan-precedent-its-up-to-xi-2026-01-08\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">up to President Xi<\/a> how he deals with Taiwan. President Trump\u2019s \u201cAmerica First\u201d approach gives the least importance to protecting Taiwanese sovereignty.<\/p>\n<p>The visit of the Kuomintang\u2019s chair to the People&#8217;s Republic of China demonstrates that Taiwan <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gmfus.org\/news\/taiwans-growing-distrust-united-states\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">recognises<\/a> shifting American priorities and no longer takes American security assurances for granted. Taiwan&#8217;s rapprochement with the PRC extends beyond conventional hedging; it signifies a transformation in regional alliances and exemplifies adaptive realism. It is not solely a political alignment but manifests Taiwan&#8217;s strategic necessity to transcend the <a href=\"https:\/\/quincyinst.org\/research\/taiwan-an-important-but-non-vital-u-s-interest\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">deception<\/a> of the U.S. military protection.<\/p>\n<p>The persisting American indifference towards its Indo-Pacific allies, including Taiwan, broadens the strategic space for China, allowing the CCP to extend its influence in the region. The <a href=\"https:\/\/thediplomat.com\/2026\/04\/vietnams-top-leader-concludes-4-day-state-visit-to-china\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">meeting<\/a> between President Xi and Vietnam&#8217;s communist chief <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/T%C3%B4_L%C3%A2m\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">T\u00f4 L\u00e2m<\/a>, right after the Xi-Wun meeting, indicates China\u2019s capitalisation of the strategic vacuum in the Indo-Pacific.<\/p>\n<p>China appears to be gaining ground in the region, placing it in a better <a href=\"https:\/\/thediplomat.com\/2026\/04\/how-china-is-positioning-itself-ahead-of-the-trump-xi-summit\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">position<\/a> for the upcoming Xi-Trump Summit. The PRC will utilise these gains and push for a more lucrative deal, thus consolidating its grip on the region. The drifting American focus in the Indo-Pacific has led to the abandonment of the American allies, forcing them to collaborate among themselves or seek reconciliation with their arch-nemesis \u2014 China.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/independentaustralia.net\/profile-on\/hamza-zaman,1687\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Hamza Zaman<\/a> is an Assistant Research Associate at the Islamabad Policy Research Institute, Pakistan.<\/p>\n<p class=\"noshow\">\n\t\t\tSupport independent journalism <a href=\"https:\/\/independentaustralia.net\/about-ia\/subscribe\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Subscribe<\/a>\u00a0to IA.\n\t\t<\/p>\n<p>\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/independentaustralia.net\/about-ia\/subscribe\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/sub-banner-wide.png\" class=\"img-fluid\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/independentaustralia.net\/about-ia\/donate-to-ia\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/ia-donate-pp.png\" class=\"img-fluid\"\/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Related Articles <\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"As U.S. attention drifts from the Indo-Pacific, Taiwan and its regional partners are recalibrating alliances, opening the door&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":16945,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[923,3197,12,13463,13468,3426,831,13,13473,13474,1180,6710,8,3194,13469,13467,13472,657,6649,488,13464,13470,52,550,13465,13466,13471,2537],"class_list":{"0":"post-16944","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-tokyo","8":"tag-australia","9":"tag-cheng-li-wun","10":"tag-china","11":"tag-cross-strait-relations","12":"tag-defence-agreements","13":"tag-deterrence","14":"tag-diplomacy","15":"tag-donald-trump","16":"tag-geopolitical-shift","17":"tag-hamza-zaman","18":"tag-indo-pacific","19":"tag-indo-pacific-security","20":"tag-japan","21":"tag-kuomintang","22":"tag-military-realignment","23":"tag-quad-alliance","24":"tag-regional-alliances","25":"tag-south-korea","26":"tag-strategic-autonomy","27":"tag-taiwan","28":"tag-taiwan-china-relations","29":"tag-thaad","30":"tag-tokyo","31":"tag-united-states","32":"tag-us-foreign-policy","33":"tag-us-strategic-drift","34":"tag-uss-tripoli","35":"tag-xi-jinping"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16944","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16944"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16944\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16945"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16944"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16944"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16944"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}