{"id":47928,"date":"2026-06-26T10:58:12","date_gmt":"2026-06-26T10:58:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/47928\/"},"modified":"2026-06-26T10:58:12","modified_gmt":"2026-06-26T10:58:12","slug":"does-ecuadors-shock-knock-germany-down-re-ranking-the-48-world-cup-teams-after-day-15","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/47928\/","title":{"rendered":"Does Ecuador\u2019s shock knock Germany down? Re-ranking the 48 World Cup teams after day 15"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ecuador dug deep to beat Germany and earn a World Cup knockout spot with another big shock, Japan set up a juicy round-of-32 tie with Brazil and the Netherlands are locked in to face 2022 semi-finalists Morocco.<\/p>\n<p>The United States suffered their first defeat of the tournament to Turkey but had already qualified as Group D winners, and we said goodbye to Curacao, who exited after losing to the Ivory Coast, having made history as the smallest nation to compete at football\u2019s most celebrated tournament.<\/p>\n<p>How did Thursday\u2019s action affect our rankings? Let\u2019s dive in.<\/p>\n<p>1. France<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 3<\/p>\n<p>\u27a1\ufe0f\u00a0(arrow depicts movement from our previous ranking)<\/p>\n<p>It is going to take something special to knock France off the top of our rankings, particularly as they seem to have\u00a0found their formula for success. Since the second half of their opening game against Senegal, Michael Olise has played in the No 10 role and he provided another two assists in the 3-0 win against Iraq, adding to his match-changing performance in the opening game.<\/p>\n<p>A storm stoppage in Philadelphia couldn\u2019t take the wind out of Kylian Mbappe\u2019s sails. He scored twice, for the second match in a row, as France booked their spot in the knockouts. A game against Norway on Friday awaits to see who tops the group. Manager Didier Deschamps <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7387498\/2026\/06\/23\/didier-deschamps-france-mother-world-cup\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">will miss that game following the death of his mother<\/a> but is expected to return for the knockouts.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theathletic.onelink.me\/eNRy\/radreh4f\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Get free access to the most comprehensive World Cup coverage in The Athletic app<\/a><\/p>\n<p>2. Argentina<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 1<\/p>\n<p>\u27a1\ufe0f<\/p>\n<p>Lionel Messi is regarded by many as the greatest player of all time, but did we see this coming? Complete domination by the 39-year-old, who has now scored all five of Argentina\u2019s goals in their two wins and became the World Cup\u2019s all-time leading scorer after his double against Austria.<\/p>\n<p>The defence will be pleased too after consecutive clean sheets, though Cristian Romero\u2019s substitution against Austria due to a knee injury is a concern.<\/p>\n<p>It might be beneficial for some of their other forward players to pick up form as Messi can\u2019t win the World Cup single-handedly. <a style=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7384022\/2026\/06\/22\/lionel-messi-argentina-world-cup-austria\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Or can he?<\/a><\/p>\n<p>3. Spain<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 2<\/p>\n<p>\u2b06\ufe0f\u00a01<\/p>\n<p>Responded to the humiliation of drawing against Cape Verde in their opener by producing one of the most one-sided performances of the tournament so far in beating Saudi Arabia 4-0. They had 22 shots, produced 2.85 xG and could easily have scored a few more.<\/p>\n<p>Lamine Yamal scored 10 minutes into his first World Cup start and got 45 minutes under his belt, while Mikel Oyarzabal overcame the embarrassment of not touching the ball for the first half-hour against Cape Verde by scoring twice.<\/p>\n<p>Now to complete the Group H job by beating Uruguay on Friday.<\/p>\n<p>4. Brazil<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 6<\/p>\n<p>\u2b06\ufe0f 1<\/p>\n<p>After their opening draw with Morocco, Brazil have gone from strength to strength, with two 3-0 wins over Haiti and Scotland.<\/p>\n<p>They have been comfortable letting the opposition have the ball and pouncing at the right moments, and have played with more of an edge since <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7377962\/2026\/06\/20\/brazil-matheus-cunha-ancelotti-endrick\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Manchester United\u2019s Matheus Cunha came in up front against Haiti<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Vinicius Jr is their star of the tournament, with four goals already, while <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7392661\/2026\/06\/24\/neymar-brazil-world-cup-analysis\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Neymar made a substitute appearance against Scotland<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Carlo Ancelotti\u2019s side topped Group C \u2014 but their round-of-32 opponents, Japan, won\u2019t be pushovers.<\/p>\n<p>5. Netherlands<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 8<\/p>\n<p>\u2b06\ufe0f\u00a02<\/p>\n<p>Ten goals in three games, with convincing wins over Sweden and Tunisia and a draw against Japan \u2014 the Netherlands made their group stage look pretty comfortable, with Brian Brobbey scoring three and Cody Gakpo and Crysencio Summerville adding two each.<\/p>\n<p>But they now face a challenging round-of-32 opponent \u2014 Morocco on Monday in Monterrey. We will soon find out whether they, and Ronald Koeman\u2019s coaching, stack up.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-7380150 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/GettyImages-2282511388-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"Brian Brobbey scores the Netherlands' second goal against Sweden\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1733\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>\n      Brian Brobbey scores the Netherlands\u2019 second goal against Sweden (Molly Darlington\/Getty Images)<\/p>\n<p>6. England<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 4<\/p>\n<p>\u27a1\ufe0f<\/p>\n<p>A dull, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7376802\/2026\/06\/23\/england-ghana-world-cup-result-pickford-foul\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">underwhelming performance and result<\/a> against lower-ranked opponents? England, you\u2019re back! After the excitement, goals and thrilling attacking football of their 4-2 victory over Croatia, the 0-0 draw against Ghana has stopped everyone shouting: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7151342\/2026\/06\/10\/england-world-cup-fans\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">\u201cIt\u2019s coming home.\u201d<\/a> Well, for a few days at least. Victory against Panama in their final group match will get England back on track as group winners.<\/p>\n<p>7. Germany<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 10<\/p>\n<p>\u2b07\ufe0f\u00a04<\/p>\n<p>Germany lost against Ecuador, but in fairness, they had already secured their spot as Group E winners, while Ecuador needed a win to progress. The worry is that they started with a near-enough strongest XI, before rotating with substitutes and buckling under the intensity.<\/p>\n<p>They take a drop in our rankings as the contenders above them are yet to lose a game, but Julian Nagelsmann\u2019s team still made light work of Curacao and beat a capable Ivory Coast.<\/p>\n<p>According to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/interactive\/fifa-mens-world-cup-2026-tracker\/group-knockout-chances-country\/germany\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">The Athletic\u2019s live predictor tool,<\/a> they have a 99 per cent chance of facing Paraguay in the round of 32.<\/p>\n<p>8. Morocco<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 7<\/p>\n<p>\u27a1\ufe0f<\/p>\n<p>So far, so good for Mohamed Ouahbi, who was hired as Morocco\u2019s manager in March, having led the nation to victory at the Under-20 World Cup in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>In Group C, they went toe-to-toe with Brazil before beating Scotland and Haiti rather convincingly. Using Ismael Saibari to lead the line has proved an inspired choice \u2014 he has scored one goal in every group game.<\/p>\n<p>Their round-of-32 draw hasn\u2019t been kind, though. They will be in Monterrey, facing another top 10 team in our rankings, the Netherlands.<\/p>\n<p>9. Norway<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 31<\/p>\n<p>\u2b06\ufe0f1<\/p>\n<p>The dark horses are galloping on to the knockouts and have to be taken more seriously after their 3-2 win over Senegal.<\/p>\n<p>Norway ran the (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7128044\/2026\/03\/18\/morocco-senegal-afcon-decision-column\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">stripped<\/a>) African champions\u2019 defence ragged. They had chances galore and forced mistakes from the opposition backline.<\/p>\n<p>Conceding late made the victory less emphatic, but seven goals in two games speak to their firepower. Key to that is Erling Haaland, who is proving unstoppable after another double. They have shown defensive vulnerability, but have been able to outscore their opposition.<\/p>\n<p>10. Mexico<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 13<\/p>\n<p>\u2b06\ufe0f 1<\/p>\n<p>The first team to collect three wins from three in the group stage. Mexico scored six goals and kept three clean sheets, beating the Czech Republic 3-0 with a rotated side on Wednesday.<\/p>\n<p>Several Mexico players caught the eye, including 17-year-old midfielder Gilberto Mora and forward <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7352858\/2026\/06\/12\/mexico-world-cup-quinones-danger\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Julian Quinones<\/a>, who has scored two goals.<\/p>\n<p>Winning Group A means they will stay in Mexico City for the round of 32 (and, if they make it through, the round of 16), with The Athletic\u2019s live prediction tool forecasting a 71 per cent chance of facing Ecuador.<\/p>\n<p>11. United States<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 17<\/p>\n<p>\u2b07\ufe0f 2<\/p>\n<p>The U.S. have been responsible for bringing great excitement to the tournament as one of the three co-hosts. Their positive and adventurous football has not been short of goals. But after rotating against Turkey, they lost some momentum, suffering a late 3-2 loss.<\/p>\n<p>Still, with an elite coach, Mauricio Pochettino, in the dugout, their fans are full of confidence entering the knockouts, asking, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7389421\/2026\/06\/24\/world-cup-united-states-pochettino-believe\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">\u2018Why not U.S.?\u2019<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Facing Bosnia and Herzegovina in the next round, they will fancy their chances of reaching the last 16.<\/p>\n<p>12. Colombia<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 14<\/p>\n<p>\u27a1\ufe0f<\/p>\n<p>A team of attacking talent and with willing runners aplenty, they have a 100 per cent record with two wins from two. Neither victory was wholly convincing, with a wobble against Uzbekistan and then <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7376804\/2026\/06\/24\/colombia-1-dr-congo-0-world-cup-analysis\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">an unnecessarily tight 1-0 victory over DR Congo<\/a>, but Colombia have achieved their first aim of the tournament by progressing to the knockout stages.<\/p>\n<p>To do it with a game to spare takes the pressure off their lip-licking game with Portugal this weekend, but they\u2019ll still want to top the group, which they can do with a draw.<\/p>\n<p>13. Portugal<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 5<\/p>\n<p>\u27a1\ufe0f<\/p>\n<p>Portugal put right the wrongs of their underwhelming opener against DR Congo with a much-needed 5-0 shellacking of Uzbekistan to get their tournament up and running.<\/p>\n<p>The fact <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7376801\/2026\/06\/23\/cristiano-ronaldo-portugal-uzbekistan-world-cup\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Cristiano Ronaldo scored twice<\/a> wasn\u2019t just an historic moment (he became the first man to score in six different World Cups) but important to quell the incessant noise about his place in the side, at least for a few days.<\/p>\n<p>However, given how overawed and inexperienced the Uzbek defence was, any excitement at Portugal\u2019s overall prospects should be tempered. Their clash with Colombia next up will tell us more.<\/p>\n<p>14. Switzerland<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 19<\/p>\n<p>\u27a1\ufe0f<\/p>\n<p>After starting with a draw against Qatar, Switzerland progressed to the knockout stages as Group B winners following victories over Canada and Bosnia and Herzegovina. An encouraging sign has been the performances of 20-year-old Freiburg midfielder Johan Manzambi, who has breathed new life into the team with three goals.<\/p>\n<p>After going undefeated, they look likely to have a fairly kind landing in the next phase, with Egypt (23 per cent), Iran (21 per cent) and Algeria (17 per cent) among their most likely opponents in the round of 32.<\/p>\n<p>15. Croatia<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 11<\/p>\n<p>\u27a1\ufe0f<\/p>\n<p>Survived a couple of real scares against Panama to edge a narrow 1-0 victory thanks to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7387634\/2026\/06\/23\/panama-croatia-world-cup-2026-score-results-takeaways-modric-budimir\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">substitute Ante Budimir\u2019s close-range finish<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>How far can Croatia\u2019s golden-olden generation take them in this tournament? The signs in their opening two matches haven\u2019t been great, but one thing we have learned from the finalists in 2018 and semi-finalists in 2022 is to never write them off.<\/p>\n<p>16. Japan<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 18<\/p>\n<p>\u2b06\ufe0f\u00a01<\/p>\n<p>A likeable team who have impressed in the groups playing an egoless, exciting brand of football, their style was exemplified in their final game, a 1-1 draw with Sweden, in which they took off their captain after 39 minutes and scored a well-crafted team goal.<\/p>\n<p>Japan\u2019s most impressive performance was the 4-0 win over Tunisia in their second group game. They will play Brazil in Houston in the round of 32, and not everyone would rule them out.<\/p>\n<p>17. Egypt<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 29<\/p>\n<p>\u2b07\ufe0f 1<\/p>\n<p>So far, so good.<\/p>\n<p>They were made to sweat by New Zealand and had to come from behind, but Egypt finally won a match at the World Cup for the first time, inspired by a goal and an assist from Mohamed Salah.<\/p>\n<p>You wouldn\u2019t say they\u2019ve offered much evidence that they can go deep in the tournament, but victory over Iran on Friday will mean they top Group G and would see them paired with a third-placed side in the round of 32.<\/p>\n<p>18. Ghana<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 73<\/p>\n<p>\u27a1\ufe0f<\/p>\n<p>It couldn\u2019t have gone much better. Victory over Panama was brilliantly backed up with a 0-0 draw against England in a resolute, organised performance.<\/p>\n<p>They could even have won via sporadic, pacy threats on the counter and, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7388402\/2026\/06\/23\/england-ghana-referee-decisions-var\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">if VAR hadn\u2019t gone for a coffee<\/a>, they might have had a penalty for Ezri Konsa\u2019s foul on Prince Kwabena Adu.<\/p>\n<p>Four points from two games essentially secures their progress to the knockout stages.<\/p>\n<p>19. Canada<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 30<\/p>\n<p>\u27a1\ufe0f<\/p>\n<p>Canada can be happy with their work in the group stages. They emphatically earned their first men\u2019s World Cup win with a 6-0 victory over Qatar as key player Jonathan David found form, scoring a hat-trick.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7375112\/2026\/06\/18\/ismael-kone-canada-world-cup\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Ismael Kone breaking his leg against Qatar was a dark cloud<\/a>, but Canada still progressed in second place. They had the chance to finish top and remain on home turf for the round of 32, but lost to Switzerland.<\/p>\n<p>Their opponents for the next round at SoFi Stadium? South Africa. It could be a lot worse.<\/p>\n<p>20. Ivory Coast<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 33<\/p>\n<p>\u2b06\ufe0f 2<\/p>\n<p>With a 2-0 win over Curacao, Ivory Coast reached the World Cup knockout stages for the first time. The level of their performances in the group phase shows promise to go further, with wingers Yan Diomande and Amad capable of troubling any defence.<\/p>\n<p>Their round-of-32 match-up will test that.\u00a0 They will face the runners-up of Group I \u2014 France or Norway.<\/p>\n<p>21. Belgium<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 9<\/p>\n<p>\u2b07\ufe0f 1<\/p>\n<p>That FIFA ranking might need updating to a more realistic number.<\/p>\n<p>Belgium\u2019s stats in their second match against Iran (23 shots, 1.82 xG, 70 per cent possession) tell you they dominated the game and should have won, but stats also tell you that Kevin De Bruyne is one of the Premier League\u2019s best ever players and Romelu Lukaku is the Belgian national team\u2019s record goalscorer, and right now those things don\u2019t mean too much.<\/p>\n<p>Belgium look like half a team. They have failed to beat Egypt and Iran, and even if they now beat New Zealand on Friday, how far can they realistically go in this tournament? They need Jeremy Doku back and firing, that\u2019s for sure.<\/p>\n<p>22. South Korea<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 22<\/p>\n<p>\u2b07\ufe0f 1<\/p>\n<p>South Korea suffered defeat against South Africa in their final group game, but they should still progress to the knockout stages as one of the best third-placed teams.<\/p>\n<p>They made a promising start with a 2-1 win over the Czech Republic, but didn\u2019t score again in their second, a loss to Mexico, or third match.<\/p>\n<p>The Athletic\u2019s live projection tool gives them a 64 per cent chance of making the round of 32, with Egypt (46 per cent) their most likely opponent.<\/p>\n<p>23. Sweden<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 38<\/p>\n<p>\u2b06\ufe0f 2<\/p>\n<p>After thrashing Tunisia and being thrashed by the Netherlands, Thursday\u2019s 1-1 draw against Japan evens them out as a solid-looking team. Sweden have wrapped up their spot in the knockouts as one of the eight best third-placed teams \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7396250\/2026\/06\/25\/sweden-confusing-anthony-elanga\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">despite Anthony Elanga\u2019s apparent confusion.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Elanga\u2019s curling strike in that Japan draw showed they have individuals capable of game-changing moments, along with Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyokeres.<\/p>\n<p>According to The Athletic\u2019s live prediction tool, there is a 99 per cent certainty they will face Group I\u2019s winners \u2014 France or Norway.<\/p>\n<p>24. Ecuador<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 24<\/p>\n<p>\u2b06\ufe0f 6<\/p>\n<p>Ecuador\u2019s victory over Germany took them through to the World Cup knockouts for the first time in 20 years. Had they not suffered a late defeat by the Ivory Coast, or been denied by Curacao goalkeeper Eloy Room\u2019s masterclass, they might have finished higher than third in Group E.<\/p>\n<p>They have continued the defensive strength they showed in qualifying, which bodes well for the round of 32, where they have a 71 per cent chance of facing Mexico.<\/p>\n<p>25. Australia<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 27<\/p>\n<p>\u2b06\ufe0f 2<\/p>\n<p>Progression as Group D runners-up marks a solid effort from Australia, and two clean sheets from three games helped them do it.<\/p>\n<p>Despite disappointing against the United States, their highlight was the performance against Turkey, producing a 2-0 win with only 28 per cent possession in a breakout game for 20-year-old Watford forward Nestory Irankunda.<\/p>\n<p>They will have to channel this solidarity and cutting-edge in the knockout stages, where they will face the runners-up of Group G.<\/p>\n<p>26. Uruguay<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 16<\/p>\n<p>\u2b07\ufe0f\u00a03<\/p>\n<p>Oh dear. Two matches, 44 shots, 3.88 xG, three goals\u2026 but only two points. And now they need a result against Spain to go through. Not what Marcelo Bielsa envisaged when plotting Uruguay\u2019s progress from Group H.<\/p>\n<p>We weren\u2019t quite sure what to expect from Uruguay pre-tournament; they had finished level on points with Brazil and Colombia in qualification and clearly have a high-quality midfield, but their form coming into the finals was dreadful.<\/p>\n<p>They\u2019ve carried that into the World Cup, and the fragile, porous two-man wall that allowed Cape Verde\u2019s free kick to sneak in sums up Uruguay so far.<\/p>\n<p>27. Algeria<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 28<\/p>\n<p>\u2b07\ufe0f 3<\/p>\n<p>Algeria showed they are a threat from set pieces, scoring both goals from corners in a turnaround win against Jordan. This could help them hurt superior opposition from limited chances. Riyad Mahrez came back into the starting line-up and was a creative spark in open play.<\/p>\n<p>Their game against Austria on Sunday will now determine who goes through in second place from Group J, but three points puts them in with a chance of a third-place progression. They have a minus-two goal difference, though, so have work to do.<\/p>\n<p>28. Senegal<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 15<\/p>\n<p>\u2b07\ufe0f 2<\/p>\n<p>No points on the board after two games. Senegal had a positive start to the tournament, with a good first-half showing against France, but since then they\u2019ve conceded six goals.<\/p>\n<p>The silver lining is Ismaila Sarr\u2019s double against Norway and Ibrahim Mbaye\u2019s goal against France, showing they are capable of breaching top teams.<\/p>\n<p>But against Norway, they made defensive errors and could have conceded more. Edouard Mendy produced top saves, but came off injured after an hour.<\/p>\n<p>Now, a comprehensive win against Iraq is needed on Friday to have a chance of sneaking through as one of the eight best third-placed teams. With a real risk of being knocked out, they take a large drop in the rankings.<\/p>\n<p>29. Austria<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 25<\/p>\n<p>\u2b07\ufe0f 1<\/p>\n<p>Ralf Rangnick tinkered with the starting line-up against Argentina, bringing Tottenham\u2019s Kevin Danso into the back line and PSV\u2019s Paul Wanner into midfield.<\/p>\n<p>The problem is that this team, despite having quality, doesn\u2019t have prolific forwards or a formidable defence (conceding to Jordan). It is unclear where their real strength to hurt better teams lies.<\/p>\n<p>After Algeria\u2019s win over Jordan, a meeting with them on Sunday will determine who progresses in second place in the group.<\/p>\n<p>30. Paraguay<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 40<\/p>\n<p>\u2b06\ufe0f 2<\/p>\n<p>Paraguay are almost certain to qualify as one of the best third-place teams after earning their fourth point in a 0-0 draw with Australia.<\/p>\n<p>They started their tournament disappointingly against the co-hosts, thrashed 4-1 by the USA, but held onto a win against Turkey after Matias Galarza\u2019s long-range strike two minutes in, despite Miguel Almiron being dismissed at the end of the first half for covering his mouth while speaking to an opponent, the first ever red card for this offence.<\/p>\n<p>Overall, they have not looked like a team that will threaten too much in the knockout stages, other than frustrate opponents and be defensively solid, particularly as they are practically guaranteed to face Germany.<\/p>\n<p>31. Iran<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 20<\/p>\n<p>\u2b07\ufe0f 2<\/p>\n<p>On the face of it, they achieved a great result against Belgium, against whom they created some excellent chances and had an intuitive free-kick goal narrowly ruled out for offside. But Iran are still waiting for their first win of the tournament and their hopes of progressing to the knockout stages against all odds are on a knife-edge.<\/p>\n<p>Drawing with New Zealand in their opening game may prove costly \u2014 as may not taking advantage of Belgium going down to 10 men \u2014 but Iran will hope Egypt may take their foot off the gas in their final Group G game on Friday.<\/p>\n<p>32. Bosnia and Herzegovina<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 64<\/p>\n<p>\u2b07\ufe0f 1<\/p>\n<p>Unlike the Czech Republic, Bosnia and Herzegovina didn\u2019t waste their chance after progressing through the European qualification play-offs, knocking out Italy in the final. A 3-1 win against Qatar earned their place in the World Cup\u2019s round of 32, adding to the point earned against Canada in their opening draw.<\/p>\n<p>Having finished third in Group B, they are set to face another host, the United States, in San Francisco next.<\/p>\n<p>33. South Africa<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 61<\/p>\n<p>\u27a1\ufe0f<\/p>\n<p>After South Africa\u2019s poor defeat in their opener against Mexico, few would have predicted the turnaround that has followed \u2014 and the big jump in our rankings.<\/p>\n<p>Manager Hugo Broos has tinkered with his line-up throughout the group stage, including dropping Burnley\u2019s Lyle Foster after the 2-0 Mexico loss, and the side looked more threatening on the break against South Korea on Wednesday in a dramatic 1-0 victory.<\/p>\n<p>As Group A runners-up, they progressed to the knockouts for the first time and their round-of-32 opponent is another host nation \u2014 they will face Canada in Los Angeles.<\/p>\n<p>34. Cape Verde<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 67<\/p>\n<p>\u27a1\ufe0f<\/p>\n<p>One of the stories of this World Cup. Unbeaten in two matches, claiming that shock draw against Spain in their opener and then backing it up with another famous result, drawing 2-2 with Uruguay, via a 40-yard free kick (the less said about the Uruguay wall, the better) and then a moment of ingenuity from substitute Helio Varela.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s two former world champions Cape Verde have held off, so how about their chances against Saudi Arabia next? Victory in that match would make Cape Verde the most unlikely knockout-stage team in the history of this tournament. Even a draw might do. Incredible.<\/p>\n<p>35. Scotland<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 41<\/p>\n<p>\u27a1\ufe0f<\/p>\n<p>Scotland\u2019s job in their final group game was to avoid a heavy defeat, so they left the game disappointed after a 3-0 loss. They were allowed possession by Brazil but made decisive errors at the back, and were punished.<\/p>\n<p>Despite beating Haiti in their opening game, they only scored one goal in the group stages and have looked relatively flat, while Scott McTominay has not got going.<\/p>\n<p>Their hopes of progression lie in other nations\u2019 hands and are becoming increasingly slimmer. The Athletic\u2019s live projection tool gives them a 12 per cent chance of reaching the round of 32 as one of the best third-placed teams.<\/p>\n<p>36. Saudi Arabia<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 60<\/p>\n<p>\u27a1\ufe0f<\/p>\n<p>After their spirited opening draw with Uruguay, Saudi Arabia were brought back down to earth with a 4-0 humbling by Spain. To be honest, it could have been much worse than four, given the Spaniards\u2019 complete dominance.<\/p>\n<p>However, if you\u2019d offered the Saudis the chance to beat Cape Verde and finish on four points in at least third position in Group H, they\u2019d have undoubtedly taken it. That is now their task.<\/p>\n<p>37. New Zealand<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 85<\/p>\n<p>\u27a1\ufe0f<\/p>\n<p>Just like in their previous World Cup appearance in 2010, they\u2019ve been stubborn and hard to beat. They drew all three matches 16 years ago, but succumbed to their first defeat at the tournament since their debut (and only other) in 1982 when losing 3-1 to Mohamed Salah\u2019s Egypt, despite taking a first-half lead through Finn Surman.<\/p>\n<p>New Zealand still have the opportunity to create history \u2014 beat a flagging Belgium team on Saturday to almost certainly reach the knockout stages for the first time.<\/p>\n<p>38. DR Congo<\/p>\n<p>\u27a1\ufe0f<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 46<\/p>\n<p>Again gave a good account of themselves against star-studded opposition, following up their shock 1-1 draw against Portugal with a narrow 1-0 defeat by Colombia. Defensively they look pretty handy and always carry a threat on the break through Yoane Wissa.<\/p>\n<p>Victory against Uzbekistan this weekend surely puts them through to the knockout stage with four points.<\/p>\n<p>39. Iraq<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 57<\/p>\n<p>\u2b06\ufe0f\u00a01<\/p>\n<p>Iraq haven\u2019t got near their opponents, who in fairness have boasted two of the best forwards in the world in Haaland and Mbappe. Their captain, Aymen Hussein, who scored against Norway, had to be replaced with an injury after 26 minutes in their loss to France, which didn\u2019t help matters.<\/p>\n<p>Beat Senegal comprehensively, and they could still progress. But the chances of that seem slim.<\/p>\n<p>40. Uzbekistan<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 50<\/p>\n<p>\u2b06\ufe0f\u00a01<\/p>\n<p>After a good showing against Colombia, Uzbekistan wilted against Portugal and Ronaldo, defending with naivety in a humbling 5-0 defeat that had star player Abdukodir Khusanov in tears at full time.<\/p>\n<p>Uzbekistan were not expected to earn a point from their two opening matches, but with their confidence and goal difference both having taken a hammering, they now need to beat DR Congo and get lucky with results elsewhere to progress as a third-placed team.<\/p>\n<p>It looks like a tall order.<\/p>\n<p>The eliminated teams41. Curacao<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 82<\/p>\n<p>\u2b07\ufe0f 2<\/p>\n<p>The smallest nation to compete at a World Cup came away with a point, earned against Ecuador thanks to the heroics of goalkeeper Eloy Room, and their first goal at the tournament scored by Livano Comenencia, but were eliminated following defeat by the Ivory Coast.<\/p>\n<p>After losing 7-1 to Germany in their first game, they recovered to give a good account of themselves overall.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-7380155 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/GettyImages-2282560519-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"Eloy Room pats the Curacao badge on his chest\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1706\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>\n      The outstanding Eloy Room (Charlotte Wilson\/Getty Images)<\/p>\n<p>42. Turkey<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 23<\/p>\n<p>\u2b06\ufe0f 5<\/p>\n<p>Possibly the most underwhelming team compared to their pre-tournament expectations at this year\u2019s World Cup. Most would have predicted Turkey to progress ahead of Australia and Paraguay. Instead, they were eliminated with a game to spare.<\/p>\n<p>They saved face in their final match, scoring their first goals and earning a 3-2 win against the United States, but it was too late to matter.<\/p>\n<p>43. Czech Republic<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 43<\/p>\n<p>\u2b07\ufe0f 1<\/p>\n<p>The Czech Republic go home disappointed, having left themselves needing a win against Mexico in their final group game and losing 3-0.<\/p>\n<p>Considering the fight they showed to beat the Republic of Ireland and Denmark in the European qualification play-offs to get here, they underwhelmed at this World Cup, earning just one point against South Africa and finishing bottom of Group A.<\/p>\n<p>44. Panama<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 34<\/p>\n<p>\u2b07\ufe0f 1<\/p>\n<p>Knocked out of the tournament with a game to spare having narrowly lost against Ghana (via a last-minute goal) and Croatia, both games finishing 1-0.<\/p>\n<p>There will be pride in how they performed, but also real regrets over missed chances and spurned opportunities.<\/p>\n<p>45. Jordan<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 63<\/p>\n<p>\u2b07\ufe0f 1<\/p>\n<p>Jordan have bowed out at their debut tournament after losses to Austria and Algeria. They scored in both games, but didn\u2019t do enough to stifle their opponents, something we have seen from other debut nations, mainly from standout goalkeeping performances.<\/p>\n<p>46. Haiti<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 83<\/p>\n<p>\u2b07\ufe0f 1<\/p>\n<p>They played with freedom against Morocco, knowing they were already eliminated, and even though they were beaten 4-2, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/athletic\/7382590\/2026\/06\/24\/morocco-haiti-world-cup-2026-score-results-takeaway\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sunderland\u2019s Wilson Isidor scored a memorable goal<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>After appearing in their first World Cup since 1974, they will hope to be luckier in their draw next time \u2014 and avoid two top-10-ranked nations in Morocco and Brazil.<\/p>\n<p>47. Qatar<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 56<\/p>\n<p>\u2b07\ufe0f 1<\/p>\n<p>Qatar were eliminated after a 3-1 loss to Bosnia and Herzegovina. Having earned a point against Switzerland in their opening match, manager Julen Lopetegui couldn\u2019t prevent them from one of the worst performances of the group stage with a 6-0 loss and two red cards against Canada in their second outing. They failed to build on that opening point.<\/p>\n<p>48. Tunisia<\/p>\n<p>FIFA ranking: 45<\/p>\n<p>\u27a1\ufe0f<\/p>\n<p>It has been a miserable tournament for Tunisia. After a 5-1 opening loss to Sweden, they sacked Sabri Lamouchi, but his replacement, Herve Renard, could not prevent further heavy defeats by Japan and the Netherlands.<\/p>\n<p>Finishing on a minus-ten goal difference, no team has a worse losing margin.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Ecuador dug deep to beat Germany and earn a World Cup knockout spot with another big shock, Japan&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":47929,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[12164,23899,923,15746,15745,5169,1368,29462,7171,5182,29352,29457,26608,26232,7072,15657,3668,2211,5181,29461,15658,14,29353,8,6596,26607,14444,5170,1493,5233,29460,5178,29458,16874,81,5174,29456,26609,1755,2773,657,2796,5180,7371,5177,29459,8564,29455,24559],"class_list":["post-47928","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-japan","tag-algeria","tag-argentina","tag-australia","tag-austria","tag-belgium","tag-brazil","tag-canada","tag-cape-verde","tag-colombia","tag-croatia","tag-curacao","tag-czech-republic","tag-ecuador","tag-egypt","tag-england","tag-fifa-mens-world-cup","tag-france","tag-germany","tag-ghana","tag-haiti","tag-international-football","tag-iran","tag-ivory-coast","tag-japan","tag-jordan","tag-mexico-mens-national-team","tag-morocco","tag-netherlands","tag-new-zealand","tag-norway","tag-panama","tag-paraguay","tag-portugal","tag-premier-league","tag-qatar","tag-saudi-arabia","tag-scotland","tag-senegal","tag-soccer","tag-south-africa","tag-south-korea","tag-spain","tag-sweden","tag-switzerland","tag-tunisia","tag-turkey","tag-uruguay","tag-us-mens-national-team","tag-uzbekistan"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47928","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47928"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47928\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47929"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47928"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47928"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47928"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}