{"id":73251,"date":"2026-08-13T03:51:16","date_gmt":"2026-08-13T03:51:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/73251\/"},"modified":"2026-08-13T03:51:16","modified_gmt":"2026-08-13T03:51:16","slug":"japans-wholesale-inflation-stays-hot-bolstering-odds-of-september-boj-hike","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/73251\/","title":{"rendered":"Japan&#8217;s wholesale inflation stays hot, bolstering odds of September BOJ hike"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Japan&#8217;s annual wholesale inflation remained elevated in July, data showed on Thursday, highlighting broadening price pressures and reinforcing market expectations of an interest rate hike in September.<\/p>\n<p>The data came in the wake of growing hawkish communication from the Bank of Japan including a summary of opinions at its July meeting that showed some policymakers arguing for a faster pace of rate hikes to counter inflation risks.<\/p>\n<p>The producer price index rose 7.2 percent in July, slower than market forecasts for a 7.4 percent increase but staying near a 7.3 percent spike marked in June, BOJ data showed.<\/p>\n<p>On a month-on-month basis, the index edged up 0.1 percent in July, after a revised 0.5 percent increase in June, the data showed.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Wholesale inflation is expected to re-accelerate as renewed tension in the Middle East is pushing up crude oil prices, which will push up the cost of energy and other goods,&#8221; said Masato Koike, senior economist at Sompo Institute Plus.<\/p>\n<p>He said that further yen falls could also lift import prices, predicting the BOJ would raise interest rates in September.<\/p>\n<p>Thursday&#8217;s data showed that, despite a decline in oil-related costs in June, strong demand tied to the AI boom, elevated global metal prices and higher raw-material costs stemming from the Middle East conflict continued to drive price gains across a broad range of goods.<\/p>\n<p>Nonferrous metals prices surged 40.6 percent year-on-year in July after a 39.3 percent spike in June, the data showed.<\/p>\n<p>The price of chemical products rose 12.9 percent in July after a 15.1 percent gain in June.<\/p>\n<p>The yen-based import price index rose 29.1 percent in July from a year earlier, after a 30.1 percent surge in June, a sign the currency&#8217;s weakness was pushing up import costs and broader inflation.<\/p>\n<p>The BOJ kept policy steady last month but warned that underlying inflation could exceed its target on mounting price pressures, signalling the strong chance of a September rate hike.<\/p>\n<p>In a report issued in July, the BOJ highlighted the recent spike in wholesale inflation as a key sign of increasing inflation risks that could warrant additional rate hikes.<\/p>\n<p>The rising wholesale price impulse could lead to broad-based increases in consumer inflation, which stayed below the BOJ&#8217;s 2 percent target in recent months due to government subsidies aimed at curbing fuel costs, analysts say.<\/p>\n<p>Annual core inflation in Tokyo, seen as a leading indicator of nationwide trends, hit 1.9 percent in July, accelerating from the previous month in a sign companies were steadily passing on rising costs to households.<\/p>\n<p>Concerns within the BOJ over the weak yen&#8217;s impact on households and retailers through higher import costs have reinforced expectations for another rate increase, with analysts forecasting a move to 1.25 percent from 1 percent at its next September 17-18 policy meeting.<\/p>\n<p>Sources have told Reuters a recent joint Japan-US yen intervention and comments from US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent signalling his desire for an early rate hike have all but locked in a September rate hike.<\/p>\n<p>Reuters<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Japan&#8217;s annual wholesale inflation remained elevated in July, data showed on Thursday, highlighting broadening price pressures and reinforcing&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":73252,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[212,12,1045,1049,1044,1053,1047,1046,1048,8,1051,1052,1050,1043,1042,52,257],"class_list":["post-73251","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-tokyo","tag-breaking-news","tag-china","tag-english-daily","tag-finance","tag-free-newspaper","tag-headlines","tag-hong-kong-media","tag-hong-kong-news","tag-hong-kong-news-media","tag-japan","tag-latest-news","tag-sing-tao","tag-sports","tag-standard","tag-the-standard","tag-tokyo","tag-world"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73251","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=73251"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73251\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/73252"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=73251"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=73251"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/japan\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=73251"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}