{"id":118250,"date":"2026-08-13T14:44:07","date_gmt":"2026-08-13T14:44:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/korea\/118250\/"},"modified":"2026-08-13T14:44:07","modified_gmt":"2026-08-13T14:44:07","slug":"north-korea-fires-ballistic-missiles-deepening-silence-fuels-analyst-speculation-the-diplomat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/korea\/118250\/","title":{"rendered":"North Korea Fires Ballistic Missiles, Deepening Silence Fuels Analyst Speculation \u2013 The Diplomat"},"content":{"rendered":"

North Korea fired what appeared to be a midrange ballistic missile toward the ocean east of the peninsula on August 12, its second launch in less than a week, according to South Korea\u2019s Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS).\u00a0<\/p>\n

The back-to-back launches came two days after South Korea and the United States announced their plans for joint drills. The annual Ulchi Freedom Shield exercise is set to begin on August 17. The allies describe the drills as defensive. but North Korea has for years denounced them as invasion rehearsals and has frequently responded with weapons tests timed around the training period.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The missile lifted off from the Wonsan area on North Korea\u2019s east coast around 6 a.m. and flew more than 700 kilometers, or about 435 miles, before falling into the sea. Authorities in South Korea, the United States, and Japan tracked the launch from its early stages and were still analyzing its exact specifications as of this writing. The JCS did not disclose the missile\u2019s type or flight angle, a departure from its usual practice of offering at least a preliminary classification within hours of a launch. By South Korea\u2019s count, it was Pyongyang\u2019s 11th ballistic missile launch of 2026.<\/p>\n

The test followed a shorter-range ballistic missile that North Korea fired from the same Wonsan area on August 6. That earlier test was Pyongyang\u2019s first ballistic weapons test in 48 days, breaking a lull that had persisted since its missile launch on June 25. Kim Jong Un, the autocratic leader of North Korea, was shown new missile systems that day, including a modular launcher developed as an analogue of the U.S. HIMARS rocket system.<\/p>\n

South Korea\u2019s presidential national security office convened<\/a> emergency meetings after both launches, calling them provocations that violate United Nations Security Council resolutions and urging Pyongyang to halt such tests immediately. Officials said the military would maintain readiness to respond to any further provocation in coordination with the United States.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The Japanese government also protested both launches. Defense Minister Koizumi Shinjiro told reporters the missile landed outside Japan\u2019s exclusive economic zone. He added that Tokyo had lodged a protest with Pyongyang through diplomatic channels in Beijing. Koizumi described the repeated launches<\/a> as \u201ca threat to the peace and security of Japan, the region, and the international community.\u201d<\/p>\n

The foreign ministries of South Korea, the United States, and Japan also held<\/a> a trilateral telephone call after the August 12 launch, where they \u201creaffirmed that ballistic missile launches by North Korea violate the relevant U.N. Security Council Resolutions and called on North Korea to cease such provocations that threaten the peace and security of the region and the international community.\u201d<\/p>\n

The U.S. Pacific Command said<\/a> after both launches that it was consulting closely with allies and partners. That assessment found no immediate threat to U.S. personnel, territory, or allies, and it reaffirmed Washington\u2019s defense commitment to the region.\u00a0<\/p>\n

North Korea has tested ballistic missiles regularly since the collapse of nuclear talks between Kim and U.S. President Donald Trump in 2019, expanding an arsenal barred under multiple U.N. Security Council resolutions. Wonsan, on the east coast, has become one of the launch sites North Korea uses most often. Firing toward the eastern ocean lets the military test range and altitude without sending debris over South Korean, Japanese, or Chinese territory. That geographic reality has made the area a default choice for routine tests.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The KN-23, part of North Korea\u2019s short-range arsenal, is a solid-fuel missile modeled<\/a> on the Iskander system built in Russia, with a maximum range of roughly 700 to 800 kilometers, close to the distance reported for the August 12 launch. However, South Korean officials said they needed more time to identify the type of missile fired on August 12.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The JCS\u2019s unusual reticence about its range and angle points to something beyond a routine short-range test. According to local media reports, the missile tested on August 6 showed flight characteristics that differed from a conventional ballistic trajectory. That raised the possibility North Korea tested the gliding profile of a short-range hypersonic system before firing a related missile to near-maximum range six days later.<\/p>\n

North Korea has not confirmed the launches at all, much less which specific missile was involved.<\/p>\n

Kim ordered a 2.5-fold increase in ballistic and cruise missile production during a visit to a missile industrial facility in early June and state media have since highlighted new systems such as the Hwasal-2 cruise missile and a submarine-launched variant called the Pulhwasal-3-31. The August 12 launch thus extended a pattern that has intensified since Kim ordered the scale-up in missile production.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Pyongyang has also deepened military cooperation with Russia amid the war in Ukraine, giving it added incentive to keep testing and refining its missile inventory even outside politically charged periods such as joint allied drills.<\/p>\n

Seen against that backdrop, the resumption of launches after the June 25 test looks less like an isolated reaction to any single event and more like a continuation of a production and testing cycle Kim set in motion earlier in the summer. The timing around Ulchi Freedom Shield gave Pyongyang an opportunity to fold a routine test into a familiar cycle of protest, not the other way around.<\/p>\n

Although North Korea seems to be focusing on developing its missile systems regardless of external actions, it does not mean the political calendar was incidental. The launch came within days of the announcement of Ulchi Freedom Shield. Pyongyang has a habit of pairing weapons development with a message of defiance toward Seoul and Washington. A single launch can serve both purposes, advancing a weapons program while reminding the allies that Pyongyang can respond to their exercises.<\/p>\n

North Korea typically confirms major missile tests through state media such as the Korean Central News Agency within a day, usually describing them as successful demonstrations of its defense capabilities. Neither launch had been acknowledged by North Korean media as of August 13, an unusual gap given Pyongyang\u2019s normal pattern of disclosure.<\/p>\n

However, state media has not reported on every test. North Korea has previously stayed silent about tests that it later described as routine work by its Missile Administration and affiliated defense science institutes, unrelated to regional developments. In light of that, the silence around this week\u2019s launches is consistent with tests folded into a preset development schedule rather than a public messaging campaign.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The launches may have involved a still-developing weapons system that Pyongyang is not ready to unveil yet. In local media reports, the lack of disclosure has also fed speculation that one or both tests may have failed.\u00a0<\/p>\n

With Ulchi Freedom Shield set to kick off, officials in Seoul and Tokyo are watching for additional launches during the drills \u2013 a period when Pyongyang has historically stepped up weapons tests to underscore its objections. Whether North Korea eventually breaks its silence on the recent ballistic missile launches may itself send a signal. It could show whether the launches were meant as routine progress on the missile program, a political statement aimed at the allies, or both at once.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"North Korea fired what appeared to be a midrange ballistic missile toward the ocean east of the peninsula…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":118251,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[1330,31,34,9095,12600,61140,29848,5055,57101],"class_list":["post-118250","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-north-korea","tag-east-asia","tag-korea","tag-north-korea","tag-north-korea-ballistic-missile-test","tag-north-korea-missile-launch","tag-north-korea-missile-production","tag-north-korea-missile-program","tag-security","tag-ulchi-freedom-shield"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/korea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/118250","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/korea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/korea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/korea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/korea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=118250"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/korea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/118250\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/korea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/118251"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/korea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=118250"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/korea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=118250"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/korea\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=118250"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}