{"id":174470,"date":"2026-05-11T04:14:13","date_gmt":"2026-05-11T04:14:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/174470\/"},"modified":"2026-05-11T04:14:13","modified_gmt":"2026-05-11T04:14:13","slug":"karas-ukrainoje-wsj-geguzes-9-osios-paradas-isdave-putino-baimes-karo-eiga-pradeda-krypti-ukrainos-naudai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/174470\/","title":{"rendered":"Karas Ukrainoje. WSJ: Gegu\u017e\u0117s 9-osios paradas i\u0161dav\u0117 Putino baimes \u2013 karo eiga pradeda krypti Ukrainos naudai"},"content":{"rendered":"


\n \u201eKyiv Independent\u201c prognoz\u0117: stabilumas fronte pavasar\u012f gali tapti \u012f\u017eanga \u012f nauj\u0105 karo etap\u0105 \n <\/p>\n

\"\u201eShutterstock\u201c<\/a><\/p>\n

\u201eShutterstock\u201c nuotr.\/Karas Ukrainoje<\/p>\n

Nuo pat Rusijos plataus masto invazijos \u012f Ukrain\u0105 prad\u017eios informacin\u0117 erdv\u0117 yra aps\u0117sta apgaulingai paprasto klausimo ir nuolatini\u0173 atsakym\u0173 \u012f j\u012f paie\u0161k\u0173: kas laimi?<\/p>\n

Viena pus\u0117 pabr\u0117\u017eia, kad Rusija jau nugal\u0117ta, jos \u201em\u0117sos \u0161turmai\u201c yra kvaili bei bevilti\u0161ki, o tokiu tempu Ukrainai u\u017eimti prireikt\u0173 \u0161imtme\u010dio, ra\u0161o \u201eThe Kyiv Independent\u201c.<\/p>\n

Kita stovykla atkerta: Ukraina, kurios prie\u0161as turi akivaizd\u017ei\u0105 gyvosios j\u0117gos persvar\u0105, o parama i\u0161 JAV stringa, negali tik\u0117tis i\u0161silaikyti ilgiau u\u017e Rusij\u0105, tod\u0117l privalo pasira\u0161yti bet koki\u0105 taikos sutart\u012f dabar, nes laikas yra Maskvos pus\u0117je.<\/p>\n

Rimti analitikai nusiteik\u0119 atsargiau. Jie kalba apie teigiamas ar neigiamas tendencijas, bandydami suvokti mil\u017eini\u0161k\u0105 tokio masto karo sud\u0117tingum\u0105.<\/p>\n

Kad ir kok\u012f pa\u017eeminim\u0105 Maskva patirt\u0173 d\u0117l vieno ar kito \u012fvykio, kol vykdomas jos planas pasiekti pergal\u0119 l\u0117tai sekinant ma\u017eesnes Ukrainos ginkluot\u0105sias paj\u0117gas, pagrindo \u0161v\u0119sti n\u0117ra. Prana\u0161um\u0105 \u012fgis ta pus\u0117, kuri laim\u0117s ilg\u0105 sekinimo m\u016b\u0161\u012f.<\/p>\n

Skaud\u017eiausi ta\u0161kai<\/p>\n

Kad ir kokie teigiami b\u016bt\u0173 \u017eenklai fronto linijose, ne\u012fmanoma teigti, kad karo eiga l\u016b\u017eta, bent jau nepripa\u017einus akivaizd\u017ei\u0173 ir nuolatini\u0173 Ukrainos gynybos silpnybi\u0173.<\/p>\n

Pirma \u2013 geografija. Tai ne\u012ftik\u0117tinai sud\u0117tinga u\u017eduotis ginti daugiau nei t\u016bkstan\u010dio kilometr\u0173 fronto linij\u0105 prie\u0161 skaitlingesn\u012f prie\u0161\u0105, kai \u0161iame karo etape prakti\u0161kai n\u0117ra kovai paruo\u0161t\u0173 strategini\u0173 rezerv\u0173.<\/p>\n

\u017durnalist\u0173 teigimu, nesvarbu, kokia efektyvi b\u016bt\u0173 Ukrainos gynyba tankiai \u012ftvirtintame Donbase, Rusija i\u0161laiko geb\u0117jim\u0105 ie\u0161koti silpn\u0173 viet\u0173 fronte, jas spausti ir i\u0161naudoti. \u0160is pa\u017eeid\u017eiamumas ai\u0161kiai pasimat\u0117 2025 m., kai Ukrainai nust\u016bmus tam tikrus pietinio fronto ruo\u017eus \u012f antr\u0105j\u012f plan\u0105, Rusija pasiek\u0117 spar\u010di\u0173 laim\u0117jim\u0173 vietov\u0117se, kurias laik\u0117 vienos silpniausi\u0173 \u0161alies kovini\u0173 brigad\u0173.<\/p>\n

Dabar, kai pietinis frontas stabilizavosi (daugiausia d\u0117l skubaus ukrainie\u010di\u0173 \u0161turmo dalini\u0173 dislokavimo), spragos gali atsiverti kitur. Viena toki\u0173 silpn\u0173 viet\u0173 gali b\u016bti ilga \u0161iaurin\u0117 valstyb\u0117s siena Sum\u0173 ir Charkivo srityse, kur Rusijos kariai per pastaruosius kelis m\u0117nesius vis da\u017eniau j\u0105 kirto, galb\u016bt ruo\u0161dami dirv\u0105 didesniam puolimui.<\/p>\n

Technologin\u0117s lenktyn\u0117s ir i\u0161sek\u0119 resursai<\/p>\n

Rusija taip pat nestovi vietoje dron\u0173 dominavimo lenktyn\u0117se. Elitiniai rus\u0173 dron\u0173 daliniai, ypa\u010d pagars\u0117j\u0119s \u201eRubicon\u201c centras, toliau itin sunkina ukrainie\u010di\u0173 brigad\u0173 gyvenim\u0105: jie atkerta logistik\u0105 optinio pluo\u0161to FPV dronais, perima Ukrainos \u017evalgybos bei atakos dronus ore ir med\u017eioja pa\u010dias ukrainie\u010di\u0173 bepilo\u010di\u0173 \u012fgulas.<\/p>\n

Nepaisant grem\u0117zdi\u0161kos centralizuotos strukt\u016bros ir nes\u0117kmi\u0173 d\u0117l \u201eStarlink\u201c trikd\u017ei\u0173, Rusija toliau did\u017eiul\u0117mis l\u0117\u0161omis investuoja \u012f savo nepilotuojamas paj\u0117gas.<\/p>\n

Ta\u010diau gyvoji j\u0117ga i\u0161lieka rim\u010diausiu i\u0161\u0161\u016bkiu Ukrainos gynybai. Penktaisiais plataus masto karo metais nuostoliai, patirti stabdant masin\u0119 Rusijos karin\u0119 ma\u0161in\u0105, turi b\u016bti kompensuojami. Ta\u010diau Ukrainos gyventoj\u0173 skai\u010dius tik ma\u017e\u0117ja, o vidin\u0117 \u012ftampa, sukelta ilg\u0173 priverstin\u0117s mobilizacijos met\u0173, toliau auga.<\/p>\n

Leidinys prane\u0161a, kad \u0161iuo metu, nepaisant did\u0117jan\u010dios socialin\u0117s \u012ftampos ir pada\u017en\u0117jusi\u0173 i\u0161puoli\u0173 prie\u0161 karinius komisariatus, Ukrainos visuomen\u0117 nerodo noro kapituliuoti. Ta\u010diau jei nuostoliai did\u0117s, o mobilizacija stipr\u0117s, kompromisai, kuriuos Kyjivas bus priverstas daryti, taps tik skausmingesni.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \u201eKyiv Independent\u201c prognoz\u0117: stabilumas fronte pavasar\u012f gali tapti \u012f\u017eanga \u012f nauj\u0105 karo etap\u0105 \u201eShutterstock\u201c nuotr.\/Karas Ukrainoje Nuo…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":171387,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[25,30,31,34,35,24,32,33,37,39,36,38,40,23,22,44,28,29,26,27,74,75,76],"class_list":{"0":"post-174470","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-pasaulis","8":"tag-antrastes","9":"tag-breaking-news","10":"tag-breakingnews","11":"tag-featured-news","12":"tag-featurednews","13":"tag-headlines","14":"tag-latest-news","15":"tag-latestnews","16":"tag-lietuva","17":"tag-lietuviu","18":"tag-lithuania","19":"tag-lithuanian","20":"tag-lt","21":"tag-naujienos","22":"tag-news","23":"tag-pasaulis","24":"tag-populiariausios-naujienos","25":"tag-populiariausiosnaujienos","26":"tag-top-stories","27":"tag-topstories","28":"tag-world","29":"tag-world-news","30":"tag-worldnews"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lt\/116554004281280238","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/174470","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=174470"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/174470\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/171387"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=174470"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=174470"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=174470"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}