{"id":262489,"date":"2026-08-26T14:47:00","date_gmt":"2026-08-26T14:47:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/262489\/"},"modified":"2026-08-26T14:47:00","modified_gmt":"2026-08-26T14:47:00","slug":"uzimtumui-pasiekus-pika-analitikas-perspeja-politiku-iprotis-didinti-islaidas-turi-baigtis-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/262489\/","title":{"rendered":"U\u017eimtumui pasiekus pik\u0105 analitikas persp\u0117ja: politik\u0173 \u012fprotis didinti i\u0161laidas \u201eturi baigtis\u201c"},"content":{"rendered":"

\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t2026-08-26 12:552026-08-25 12:100<\/a>28\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n

Analitikams prognozuojant nuo kit\u0173 met\u0173 ma\u017e\u0117siant\u012f Lietuvos gyventoj\u0173 skai\u010di\u0173 ir u\u017eimtumui \u0161alyje pasiekus auk\u0161\u010diausi\u0105 lyg\u012f bei, tik\u0117tina, toliau nebedid\u0117siant, \u201eSwedbank\u201c analitikas persp\u0117ja, jog politik\u0173 \u012fprotis spar\u010diai didinti i\u0161laidas \u201eturi baigtis\u201c, pa\u017eadai kelti vie\u0161ojo sektoriaus atlyginimus ir socialines i\u0161mokas tur\u0117t\u0173 remtis realybe.<\/p>\n

Nerijus Ma\u010diulis prognozuoja, kad 2026-ieji yra paskutiniai metai, kai gyventoj\u0173 skai\u010dius dar did\u0117s ir grynoji imigracija bus didesn\u0117 u\u017e neigiam\u0105 nat\u016brali\u0105 kait\u0105.<\/p>\n

\u201eTur\u0117jome neblog\u0105 penkmet\u012f, kuomet ir grynoji migracija buvo teigiama, ir gyventoj\u0173 netgi skai\u010dius did\u0117jo nuo 2022 met\u0173, bet \u0161itas \u012f nugar\u0105 pu\u010diantis v\u0117jas jau baig\u0117si\u201c, \u2013 naujausi\u0173 ekonomikos prognozi\u0173 pristatyme teig\u0117 N. Ma\u010diulis.<\/p>\n

Pasak ekonomisto, mir\u0161tan\u010di\u0173 \u017emoni\u0173 bus daugiau nei gimstan\u010di\u0173, o tai lems gyventoj\u0173 skai\u010diaus ma\u017e\u0117jim\u0105 ateityje:\u00a0\u201eD\u0117l to prognozuojame, kad dirban\u010di\u0173j\u0173 asmen\u0173 skai\u010dius pasiek\u0117 pik\u0105 \u0161iuo metu \u2013 1,47 milijono asmen\u0173 ir labai tik\u0117tina, kad toliau \u0161is skai\u010dius nebedid\u0117s.\u201c<\/p>\n

\u201eV\u0117lgi, yra ir tam tikros implikacijos b\u016bsto rinkai, sunku tik\u0117tis ka\u017ekoki\u0173 b\u016bsto \u0161uoli\u0173. Didmies\u010diai gali pritraukti \u0161iek tiek daugiau gyventoj\u0173 i\u0161 region\u0173, bet nebus tokios stiprios paklausos augimo, koki\u0105 mat\u0117me pastaraisiais metais\u201c, \u2013 prid\u016br\u0117 jis.<\/p>\n

Anot jo, pastaraisiais metais d\u0117l u\u017eimtumo augimo, teigiamos grynosios migracijos ir atlyginim\u0173 augimo \u201eSodros\u201c pajamos kasmet augo beveik po 15 procent\u0173, o tai skatino didinti i\u0161laidas.<\/p>\n

\u201eAi\u0161ku, prie toki\u0173 pajam\u0173 augimo labai \u012fprasta didinti i\u0161laidas (\u2026) ir atsiranda \u012fprotis labai spar\u010diai didinti i\u0161laidas visokioms sritims, bet tas turi baigtis, nes jau mes turime ir gyventoj\u0173 skai\u010diaus pik\u0105, ir u\u017eimtumo pik\u0105\u201c, \u2013 kiek v\u0117liau \u017eurnalistams sak\u0117 N. Ma\u010diulis.<\/p>\n

Jo \u00a0teigimu, politiniai pa\u017eadai didinti vie\u0161ojo sektoriaus atlyginimus ir socialines i\u0161mokas tur\u0117t\u0173 \u201eatsispirti nuo realyb\u0117s\u201c.<\/p>\n

\u201eTuo pa\u010diu metu biud\u017eeto deficitas visi\u0161kai yra atsir\u0117m\u0119s \u012f ribas. Dar daugiau skolintis einam\u0173j\u0173 poreiki\u0173 finansavimui galimybi\u0173 tiesiog n\u0117ra\u201c, \u2013 teig\u0117 analitikas.<\/p>\n

Bankas prognozuoja, kad nedarbo lygis \u0161iemet tur\u0117t\u0173 siekti 6,7 proc. (gegu\u017e\u0119 prognozuota 6,8 proc.), kit\u0105met \u2013 6,9 proc. (6,8 proc.). Vidutinis atlyginimas Lietuvoje \u0161iemet tur\u0117t\u0173 augti 8,6 proc. (8 proc.), o kitais metais augimas sul\u0117t\u0117s iki 7 procent\u0173 (6,7 proc.).<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"2026-08-26 12:552026-08-25 12:10028 Analitikams prognozuojant nuo kit\u0173 met\u0173 ma\u017e\u0117siant\u012f Lietuvos gyventoj\u0173 skai\u010di\u0173 ir u\u017eimtumui \u0161alyje pasiekus auk\u0161\u010diausi\u0105 lyg\u012f…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":262490,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[17],"tags":[81,1348,37,39,36,38,40,22199,46],"class_list":["post-262489","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-verslas","tag-business","tag-darbas","tag-lietuva","tag-lietuviu","tag-lithuania","tag-lithuanian","tag-lt","tag-uzimtumas","tag-verslas"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lt\/117162361044178662","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/262489","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=262489"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/262489\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/262490"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=262489"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=262489"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=262489"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}