{"id":3196,"date":"2025-09-24T19:00:10","date_gmt":"2025-09-24T19:00:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/3196\/"},"modified":"2025-09-24T19:00:10","modified_gmt":"2025-09-24T19:00:10","slug":"itampa-del-galimo-karo-auga-putino-karo-scenarijus-siurpina-lietuvai-grestu-visuotinis-chaosas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/3196\/","title":{"rendered":"\u012etampa d\u0117l galimo karo auga: Putino karo scenarijus \u0161iurpina, Lietuvai gr\u0117st\u0173 visuotinis chaosas"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u201eBloomberg Economics\u201c atliko hipotetin\u0119 analiz\u0119, kuri, nors paremta prielaidomis, atskleid\u017eia bauginan\u010di\u0105 realyb\u0119, jei Rusijos prezidento Vladimiro Putino konfliktas su NATO peraugt\u0173 \u012f tiesiogin\u012f karin\u012f susid\u016brim\u0105.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Ekspertai paband\u0117 \u012fvertinti, koki\u0105 kain\u0105 pasaulis tur\u0117t\u0173 sumok\u0117ti u\u017e tok\u012f scenarij\u0173 ir tai ne tik ekonomin\u0117s pasekm\u0117s, bet ir politiniai, karin\u0117s infrastrukt\u016bros bei energetinio saugumo klausimai, kurie priverst\u0173 suabejoti \u0161i\u0173 dien\u0173 stabilumu.<\/p>\n

Pirmieji karo metai atne\u0161t\u0173 ne tik tiesioginius nuostolius kovos veiksm\u0173 zonoje, i\u0161kart smogt\u0173 energetikos tiekimo grandin\u0117s, pasaulio finans\u0173 rinkose i\u0161augt\u0173 nerimas, b\u016bt\u0173 nutrauktos svarbios prekybos jungtys.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\"\"\/<\/p>\n

Be to, visos NATO \u0161alys patirt\u0173 mil\u017eini\u0161kas i\u0161laidas karinei gynybai, tiek mobilizacijos, tiek technin\u0117s paramos forma. Remiantis \u201eBloomberg\u201c skai\u010diavimais, visa tai bendrai gal\u0117t\u0173 suma\u017einti pasaulio bendr\u0105j\u012f vidaus produkt\u0105 net 1,3 proc., o tai prilygt\u0173 ma\u017edaug 1,5 trilijono JAV doleri\u0173 nuostoliams per pirmuosius metus.<\/p>\n

Ypating\u0105 gr\u0117sm\u0119 tokiame konflikte patirt\u0173 Baltijos \u0161alys \u2013 Lietuva, Latvija ir Estija. D\u0117l savo geografin\u0117s pad\u0117ties ir tiesioginio pasienio su Rusija jos b\u016bt\u0173 pirmosios potencialaus karinio konflikto linijoje.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Bet koks bandymas \u012fsiver\u017eti \u012f \u0161ias teritorijas automati\u0161kai aktyvuot\u0173 NATO sutarties 5-\u0105j\u012f straipsn\u012f \u2013 kolektyvin\u0117s gynybos princip\u0105. Tai reik\u0161t\u0173 nei\u0161vengiam\u0105 vis\u0173 aljanso nari\u0173 \u012fsitraukim\u0105 ir pla\u010di\u0105 karin\u0119 reakcij\u0105.<\/p>\n

\"\"\/<\/p>\n

Tokio konflikto sukelti padariniai b\u016bt\u0173 daugiasluoksniai: nuo sutrikusio strategini\u0173 karini\u0173 priemoni\u0173 \u2013 laiv\u0173, radar\u0173, oro baz\u0117s \u2013 veikimo, iki energetikos kriz\u0117s, kuri i\u0161kart paveikt\u0173 tiek duj\u0173, tiek naftos tiekim\u0105 Europoje.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Tokiomis aplinkyb\u0117mis energetini\u0173 \u017ealiav\u0173 kainos \u0161oktelt\u0173, o tai smogt\u0173 tiek verslui, tiek gyventojams visame pasaulyje. Tuo pa\u010diu metu rinkose \u012fsivyraut\u0173 didelis nestabilumas, kur\u012f dar labiau stiprint\u0173 suma\u017e\u0117jusi investuotoj\u0173 pasitik\u0117jimo rizika.<\/p>\n

\u201eBloomberg\u201c pa\u017eymi, kad tokio konflikto sukelti finansiniai padariniai b\u016bt\u0173 net prilygintini arba pranokt\u0173 pilno masto Rusijos invazijos \u012f Ukrain\u0105 sukeltiems ekonominiams nuostoliams.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\"\"\/<\/p>\n

Jei karas per\u017eengt\u0173 Ukrainos ribas ir \u012ftraukt\u0173 kitas Europos \u0161alis, nuostoliai tik did\u0117t\u0173, tiek gyvybi\u0173 prasme, tiek infrastrukt\u016bros sunaikinimo, tiek ekonomikos gri\u016bties po\u017ei\u016briu.<\/p>\n

Skai\u010dius 1,5 trilijono doleri\u0173 pirmuosius karo metus gali atrodyti kaip abstrakti suma, bet ji rei\u0161kia real\u0173 pragyvenimo lygio smukim\u0105, darbo viet\u0173 praradim\u0105, logistikos chaos\u0105 ir net kasdienio vartojimo produkt\u0173 kain\u0173 \u0161uol\u012f visose pasaulio dalyse.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Tai b\u016bt\u0173 ne tik Europos, bet ir globali kriz\u0117, kurios padariniai t\u0119st\u0173si ne vienerius metus. Ekspertai pabr\u0117\u017eia, kad tokie scenarijai, nors ir ma\u017eai tik\u0117tini, negali b\u016bti ignoruojami.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Politin\u0117 \u012ftampa tarp Vakar\u0173 ir Rusijos i\u0161lieka, tod\u0117l b\u016btina analizuoti ir vertinti galimus padarinius, kad b\u016btume pasiruo\u0161\u0119 net ir blogiausiam atvejui.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u201eBloomberg Economics\u201c atliko hipotetin\u0119 analiz\u0119, kuri, nors paremta prielaidomis, atskleid\u017eia bauginan\u010di\u0105 realyb\u0119, jei Rusijos prezidento Vladimiro Putino konfliktas…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3197,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[25,1561,30,31,1569,1236,34,35,1560,1566,24,1568,1559,32,33,37,1565,39,36,38,40,23,22,44,28,29,1562,1563,1564,26,27,1567,74,75,76],"class_list":{"0":"post-3196","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-pasaulis","8":"tag-antrastes","9":"tag-auga","10":"tag-breaking-news","11":"tag-breakingnews","12":"tag-chaosas","13":"tag-del","14":"tag-featured-news","15":"tag-featurednews","16":"tag-galimo","17":"tag-grestu","18":"tag-headlines","19":"tag-itampa","20":"tag-karo","21":"tag-latest-news","22":"tag-latestnews","23":"tag-lietuva","24":"tag-lietuvai","25":"tag-lietuviu","26":"tag-lithuania","27":"tag-lithuanian","28":"tag-lt","29":"tag-naujienos","30":"tag-news","31":"tag-pasaulis","32":"tag-populiariausios-naujienos","33":"tag-populiariausiosnaujienos","34":"tag-putino","35":"tag-scenarijus","36":"tag-siurpina","37":"tag-top-stories","38":"tag-topstories","39":"tag-visuotinis","40":"tag-world","41":"tag-world-news","42":"tag-worldnews"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3196","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3196"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3196\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3197"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3196"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3196"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3196"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}