{"id":33391,"date":"2025-11-05T18:22:17","date_gmt":"2025-11-05T18:22:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/33391\/"},"modified":"2025-11-05T18:22:17","modified_gmt":"2025-11-05T18:22:17","slug":"sinoptikai-ragina-ruostis-oru-pokyciams-netrukus-lietuva-uzklups-ne-tik-saltis-bet-ir-sniego-lavina","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/33391\/","title":{"rendered":"Sinoptikai ragina ruo\u0161tis or\u0173 poky\u010diams: netrukus Lietuv\u0105 u\u017eklups ne tik \u0161altis, bet ir sniego lavina"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u0160i savait\u0117 Lietuvoje dar d\u017eiugina \u0161iluma, kuri, atsi\u017evelgiant \u012f lapkri\u010dio m\u0117nes\u012f, atrodo beveik kaip i\u0161imtis. Ta\u010diau jau dabar verta pasiruo\u0161ti \u2013 orai netrukus pasikeis, ir visai netik\u0117tai gali prireikti \u0161iltesn\u0117s striuk\u0117s ar net ledo grem\u017etuko automobiliui. Prognoz\u0117s ai\u0161kiai rodo: kit\u0105 savait\u0119 \u0161iluma pasitrauks, o vietoje jos sulauksime v\u0117sesni\u0173, \u017evarbesni\u0173 dien\u0173.<\/p>\n

Kol kas orai lepina: lapkri\u010dio prad\u017eiai b\u016bdingos 10 ar net 12 laipsni\u0173 \u0161ilumos dienomis, sausi orai ir net saul\u0117s pli\u016bpsniai, kuri\u0173 \u0161iuo met\u0173 laiku labai tr\u016bksta. Ta\u010diau tai, k\u0105 rodo pagrindiniai or\u0173 modeliai, leid\u017eia suprasti \u2013 tokia situacija ilgai nesit\u0119s. Nuo lapkri\u010dio 10-11 dienos \u0161ilumos burbulas ims trauktis, o i\u0161 \u0161iaur\u0117s ims pl\u016bsti \u0161altesnis oras.<\/p>\n

At\u0161alimas reik\u0161 ne tik kritusi\u0105 oro temperat\u016br\u0105, bet ir reali\u0105 galimyb\u0119 i\u0161vysti pirm\u0105sias snaiges. Nors kol kas sniego i\u0161veng\u0117me, art\u0117janti savait\u0117 gali visk\u0105 pakeisti. Naktimis temperat\u016bra kris \u017eemiau nulio, o dienomis pakils vos keliais laipsniais \u2013 tai ne dar \u017eiema, bet jau ir ne auksinis ruduo.<\/p>\n

Lapkri\u010dio \u0161iluma baigiasi<\/p>\n

\"\"\/<\/p>\n

Jeigu \u0161iuo metu gal\u0117jote d\u017eiaugtis dviej\u0173 skai\u010di\u0173 temperat\u016bra, tai kit\u0105 savait\u0119 tokios dienos bus retenyb\u0117. Pasak or\u0173 modeli\u0173 skai\u010diavim\u0173, Kauno mieste \u0161iluma i\u0161silaikys iki lapkri\u010dio 9 dienos.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Tuomet visos prognoz\u0117s rodo ai\u0161ki\u0105 krypt\u012f \u2013 \u017eemyn. Temperat\u016bra spar\u010diai kris ir dien\u0105, ir nakt\u012f. Vietoj dabartini\u0173 10-12 \u00b0C, teks tenkintis 2-5 \u00b0C, o kai kur rytais galimi ir \u0161alnos. Kaip matyti i\u0161 pateikto meteologix.com prognoz\u0117s grafiko, \u0161ilt\u0173 or\u0173 pikas pasiektas pirmoje savait\u0117s pus\u0117je.\u00a0<\/p>\n

V\u0117liau visas prognozi\u0173 linij\u0173 paketas leid\u017eiasi \u017eemyn \u2013 tai rodo, kad at\u0161alimas yra ne vieno modelio id\u0117ja, o bendras tendencijos \u012fvertinimas. Kai skirtingi modeliai sutaria, prognoz\u0117 tampa patikimesn\u0117.<\/p>\n

\u0160iauriniai v\u0117jai ir galimos snaig\u0117s<\/p>\n

Klimatinis virsmas vyks d\u0117l pasikeitusios oro masi\u0173 krypties. Iki \u0161iol Lietuv\u0105 \u0161ild\u0117 pietini\u0173 platum\u0173 srautai, ta\u010diau netrukus juos pakeis \u0161alti \u0161iauriniai v\u0117jai.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Tokia situacija da\u017enai lemia ne tik temperat\u016bros kritim\u0105, bet ir krituli\u0173 pob\u016bd\u017eio pasikeitim\u0105 \u2013 liet\u0173 gali pakeisti \u0161lapdriba, o ryte galima i\u0161vysti ir pirm\u0105j\u0105 plon\u0105 sniego plutel\u0119. Nors kol kas kalb\u0117ti apie rimt\u0105 \u017eiem\u0105 anksti, \u0161is pokytis \u2013 jau \u017eenklas, kad rudenin\u0117 \u0161iluma u\u017eleid\u017eia viet\u0105 \u017evarbesniam orui.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Tai taip pat rei\u0161kia, kad reik\u0117t\u0173 atitinkamai prisitaikyti: \u0161iltesni drabu\u017eiai, ankstyva automobilio prie\u017ei\u016bra ir atsargumas keliuose \u2013 visa tai taps aktualu artimiausiomis dienomis.<\/p>\n

K\u0105 rodo grafikas?<\/p>\n

\"\"\/<\/p>\n

Pateiktame grafike pavaizduota Kauno miesto temperat\u016br\u0173 prognoz\u0117, remiantis skirtingais meteorologiniais modeliais. Spalvotos linijos rodo \u012fvairi\u0173 \u0161altini\u0173 (pvz., ECMWF, ICON, GFS, UKMO ir kt.) skai\u010diavimus. Kuo linijos yra artimesn\u0117s viena kitai, tuo patikimesn\u0117 laikoma prognoz\u0117.<\/p>\n

Kaip matyti, iki lapkri\u010dio 10 dienos linijos juda auk\u0161tyn ir laikosi apie 10 \u00b0C rib\u0105, ta\u010diau po to \u2013 krenta ir stabilizuojasi \u017eemiau 5 \u00b0C, o kai kurie modeliai rodo net ir naktin\u012f -5 \u00b0C pasiekim\u0105. Tai rei\u0161kia, kad orai \u017eenkliai v\u0117s, o kai kuriose vietov\u0117se tik\u0117tinas net ir pirmasis \u0161lapdribos ar sniego pasirodymas.<\/p>\n

I\u0161vada: \u0161ilta dar \u0161i\u0105 savait\u0119, bet neilgai<\/p>\n

Jei dar nepasiruo\u0161\u0117te \u0161altajam sezonui \u2013 dabar puikus metas tai padaryti. Nors \u0161i savait\u0117 dar si\u016blo rami\u0105, saul\u0117t\u0105 ir palyginti \u0161ilt\u0105 rudenio atmosfer\u0105, tai greitai baigsis. Kitos savait\u0117s prad\u017eioje ateis or\u0173 l\u016b\u017eis \u2013 at\u0161alimas, pirmosios \u0161alnos, galb\u016bt ir sniegas.<\/p>\n

B\u016bkite pasiruo\u0161\u0119 poky\u010diams: pasikeis ne tik temperat\u016bra, bet ir kasdien\u0117 rutina. Gal\u0173 gale, tai nat\u016bralus per\u0117jimas \u012f tamsesn\u012f, \u0161altesn\u012f met\u0173 laik\u0105 \u2013 \u017eiem\u0105.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u0160i savait\u0117 Lietuvoje dar d\u017eiugina \u0161iluma, kuri, atsi\u017evelgiant \u012f lapkri\u010dio m\u0117nes\u012f, atrodo beveik kaip i\u0161imtis. Ta\u010diau jau dabar…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":33392,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[25,30,31,34,35,24,32,33,8453,37,39,36,38,40,23,234,22,5812,3606,28,29,2568,9411,7131,658,7841,26,27,2477],"class_list":{"0":"post-33391","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-antrastes","8":"tag-antrastes","9":"tag-breaking-news","10":"tag-breakingnews","11":"tag-featured-news","12":"tag-featurednews","13":"tag-headlines","14":"tag-latest-news","15":"tag-latestnews","16":"tag-lavina","17":"tag-lietuva","18":"tag-lietuviu","19":"tag-lithuania","20":"tag-lithuanian","21":"tag-lt","22":"tag-naujienos","23":"tag-netrukus","24":"tag-news","25":"tag-oru","26":"tag-pokyciams","27":"tag-populiariausios-naujienos","28":"tag-populiariausiosnaujienos","29":"tag-ragina","30":"tag-ruostis","31":"tag-saltis","32":"tag-sinoptikai","33":"tag-sniego","34":"tag-top-stories","35":"tag-topstories","36":"tag-uzklups"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lt\/115498486555838987","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33391","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33391"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33391\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/33392"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33391"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33391"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33391"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}