{"id":46163,"date":"2025-11-23T15:08:18","date_gmt":"2025-11-23T15:08:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/46163\/"},"modified":"2025-11-23T15:08:18","modified_gmt":"2025-11-23T15:08:18","slug":"pekinas-parenge-taivano-uzemimo-planus-respublika-lt","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/46163\/","title":{"rendered":"Pekinas pareng\u0117 Taivano u\u017e\u0117mimo planus – Respublika.lt"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"nuotr.\" 1 nuotr.<\/p>\n

Specialistai vis garsiau kalba apie tai, jog jau artimiausiais metais Kinija gali pam\u0117ginti \u201esusigr\u0105\u017einti\u201c Taivan\u0105, kuris nenusiteik\u0119s pasiduoti be kovos. EPA-Eltos nuotr.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201ePlanu A” siekiama priversti Taip\u0117j\u0173 kapituliuoti taikiai, be j\u0117gos panaudojimo. \u0160i strategija rei\u0161kia, jog Pekinas salos pozicij\u0105 padarys ekonomi\u0161kai, diplomati\u0161kai ir psichologi\u0161kai nepakeliam\u0105, kad derybos su Kinija tapt\u0173 vienintele perspektyvia galimybe.<\/p>\n

Tuo atveju, jeigu tai nesuveikt\u0173, paruo\u0161tas \u201eplanas B” – karinis perversmas. Pekinas sistemingai kuria tokias s\u0105lygas, esant kurioms \u201epilkosios zonos” veiksmai, tokie kaip ekonomin\u0117 prievarta ar politin\u0117 intervencija, tampa norma, ma\u017einanti tiesioginio konflikto tikimyb\u0119.<\/p>\n

Pekinas laiko Taivan\u0105 atsiskyrusia provincija, o Taip\u0117jus atmeta Kinijos pasi\u016blyt\u0105 \u201evienos \u0161alies – dviej\u0173 sistem\u0173” model\u012f.<\/p>\n

Liep\u0105 Taivanas sureng\u0117 karines pratybas, imituodamas Kinijos kariuomen\u0117s invazij\u0105.<\/p>\n

Salos vald\u017eia, JAV \u017evalgyba ir kai kurie ekspertai mano, kad tai gali \u012fvykti jau 2027 metais. Ta\u010diau galima invazija neb\u016bt\u0173 lengva: d\u0117l sezonini\u0173 muson\u0173 Kinijos kariuomen\u0117 tur\u0117t\u0173 tik dvi galimybes puolimui – baland\u017eio ir spalio m\u0117nesiais. Taivano kra\u0161tovaizdis taip pat apsunkina desanto i\u0161laipinim\u0105.<\/p>\n

Remiantis naujausia \u201eThe Military Balance 2025″ ataskaita, \u017eemynin\u0117 Kinija gerokai vir\u0161ija Taivan\u0105 tiek kariniu biud\u017eetu – 235 mlrd. JAV doleri\u0173, palyginti su 18,9 mlrd. JAV doleri\u0173 2024 m., tiek kariuomene – 2 mln., palyginti su 169 t\u016bkst. Ta\u010diau Taivane yra daug rezervist\u0173 (1,7 mln., palyginti su 510 t\u016bkst. Kinijoje), kurie gal\u0117t\u0173 b\u016bti mobilizuoti konflikto atveju.<\/p>\n

Po pilietinio karo, kuris baig\u0117si 1949 m. komunist\u0173 pergale, buvusi vyriausyb\u0117 persik\u0117l\u0117 i\u0161 \u017eemynin\u0117s Kinijos \u012f Taivan\u0105 ir toliau tvirtino, kad yra vienintel\u0117 teis\u0117ta vald\u017eia.<\/p>\n

Iki 1970 m. didel\u0117 tarptautin\u0117s bendruomen\u0117s dalis tam pritar\u0117: Kinijos Respublika (Taivanas) tur\u0117jo atstov\u0105 JT, dauguma \u0161ali\u0173 nepripa\u017eino Kinijos vyriausyb\u0117s.<\/p>\n

Ta\u010diau 1971 m. Taip\u0117jus prarado savo viet\u0105 Jungtin\u0117se Tautose ir laikui b\u0117gant, diplomatin\u0119 param\u0105.<\/p>\n

Dabar Taivano nepriklausomyb\u0119 pripa\u017e\u012fsta tik Vatikanas ir 11 nedideli\u0173 valstybi\u0173.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"1 nuotr. Specialistai vis garsiau kalba apie tai, jog jau artimiausiais metais Kinija gali pam\u0117ginti \u201esusigr\u0105\u017einti\u201c Taivan\u0105, kuris…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":46164,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[15],"tags":[25,1667,30,31,6809,34,35,24,223,479,32,33,37,39,36,38,40,23,11815,22,44,11814,10830,28,29,8213,1295,26,27,74,75,76],"class_list":["post-46163","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-pasaulis","tag-antrastes","tag-biudzetas","tag-breaking-news","tag-breakingnews","tag-diplomatija","tag-featured-news","tag-featurednews","tag-headlines","tag-jav","tag-kinija","tag-latest-news","tag-latestnews","tag-lietuva","tag-lietuviu","tag-lithuania","tag-lithuanian","tag-lt","tag-naujienos","tag-nepriklausomybe","tag-news","tag-pasaulis","tag-pekinas","tag-peremimas","tag-populiariausios-naujienos","tag-populiariausiosnaujienos","tag-strategija","tag-taivanas","tag-top-stories","tag-topstories","tag-world","tag-world-news","tag-worldnews"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lt\/115599645475598424","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46163","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46163"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46163\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/46164"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46163"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46163"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46163"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}