{"id":6027,"date":"2025-09-28T19:47:15","date_gmt":"2025-09-28T19:47:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/6027\/"},"modified":"2025-09-28T19:47:15","modified_gmt":"2025-09-28T19:47:15","slug":"treciasis-pasaulinis-karas-tampa-neisvengiamu-ekspertai-skambina-pavojaus-varpais-laukia-tragedija","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/6027\/","title":{"rendered":"Tre\u010diasis pasaulinis karas tampa nei\u0161vengiamu: ekspertai skambina pavojaus varpais, laukia tragedija"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u201eKalbant apie fronto linij\u0105 \u2013 ten d\u017ei\u016bgauti tikrai n\u0117ra d\u0117l ko\u201c, \u2013 atvirai pripa\u017eino Latvijos Nacionalini\u0173 ginkluot\u0173j\u0173 paj\u0117g\u0173 atsargos pulkininkas, Saeimos narys Igors Rajevs per TV24 laid\u0105 \u201ePar karu Ukrain\u0101 ar Igoru Rajevu\u201c.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Nors jis pabr\u0117\u017e\u0117, kad Donbaso regione dar neu\u017eimti nei Pokrovskas, nei Toreckas, jis taip pat prid\u016br\u0117: kalbos apie platesn\u012f teritorij\u0173 u\u017e\u0117mim\u0105 \u0161iuo metu neturi pagrindo.<\/p>\n

Pasak jo, kai kurie fronto ruo\u017eai, pavyzd\u017eiui, Kupjansko kryptis \u0161iaur\u0117je, \u0161iuo metu yra visi\u0161kai susting\u0119. Pietuose, prie Zapori\u017e\u0117s, tik retkar\u010diais pasirodo dron\u0173 sm\u016bgiai. Net Sum\u0173 srityje pastebimas \u017eenklus aktyvumo ma\u017e\u0117jimas.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Visa esmin\u0117 kova, anot karininko, \u0161iuo metu koncentruota Donbaso srityje.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201ePirminiai tikslai \u2013 Pokrovskas ir Konstantinovka. Viso pavasario-vasaros puolimo epicentras, tik\u0117tina, bus Slovjansko-Kramatorsko gynybos linija ir Limanas\u201c, \u2013 ai\u0161kino I. Rajevs.<\/p>\n

Ar Rusijai pavyks \u012fgyvendinti vasaros puolim\u0105?<\/p>\n

\"\"\/<\/p>\n

I. Rajevs pripa\u017eino, kad daug kas abejoja, ar Rusijai pavyks \u012fgyvendinti planuojam\u0105 plataus masto vasaros puolim\u0105. Ta\u010diau atsakymas \u012f tai priklauso nuo reali\u0173 abiej\u0173 pusi\u0173 galimybi\u0173. \u010cia, anot jo, optimizmo taip pat tr\u016bksta.<\/p>\n

Pasak I. Rajevso, Ukrainos ginkluot\u0173j\u0173 paj\u0117g\u0173 vado Oleksandro Sirsko pateikti duomenys parod\u0117 ma\u017eesn\u012f Rusijos kari\u0173 skai\u010di\u0173, nei buvo manoma iki \u0161iol.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201eVisi kalb\u0117jo apie 800 t\u016bkstan\u010di\u0173 ir daugiau, bet O. Sirskis nurod\u0117, kad 2025 met\u0173 gegu\u017e\u0117s m\u0117nes\u012f Ukrainos teritorijoje yra apie 640 t\u016bkstan\u010di\u0173 kari\u0173.\u201c<\/p>\n

Laidoje demonstruota grafik\u0173 analiz\u0117 rodo, kad dar \u0161i\u0173 met\u0173 kov\u0105 j\u0173 buvo 620 t\u016bkst., o 2024 met\u0173 lapkrit\u012f \u2013 580 t\u016bkst. Tad tendencija ai\u0161ki, Rusija kas m\u0117nes\u012f prideda ma\u017edaug 10 t\u016bkst. nauj\u0173 kari\u0173.<\/p>\n

K\u0105 tai rei\u0161kia Ukrainai?<\/p>\n

\"\"\/<\/p>\n

Pasak I. Rajevso, tokia statistika tur\u0117t\u0173 kelti nerim\u0105 ne d\u0117l absoliutaus skai\u010diaus, o d\u0117l to, kokia kryptimi viskas juda.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201eJeigu kas m\u0117nes\u012f \u012f Ukrain\u0105 \u012fvedama 10 t\u016bkstan\u010di\u0173 papildom\u0173 kari\u0173, tai rei\u0161kia, kad Rusija sugeba mobilizuoti ir apmokyti daugiau kari\u0173 nei Ukraina sugeba eliminuoti m\u016b\u0161iuose \u2013 tiek su\u017eeistais, tiek \u017euvusiais.\u201c<\/p>\n

Ukrainai tai rei\u0161kia papildom\u0105 mobilizacijos poreik\u012f. Be to, anot karininko, b\u016btina strategi\u0161kai m\u0105styti, kaip sustabdyti \u0161\u012f augim\u0105.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201eJeigu per artimiausius \u0161e\u0161is m\u0117nesius Rusija tur\u0117s dar 60 t\u016bkstan\u010di\u0173 kari\u0173 daugiau, gali ateiti momentas, kai \u0161i\u0173 paj\u0117g\u0173 pakaks dideliam puolimui.\u201c<\/p>\n

I. Rajevso nuomone, tai n\u0117ra hipotetin\u0117s kalbos. Tai yra realus pavojus, kur\u012f Ukrainos gynybos planuotojai turi \u012fvertinti jau dabar. Jei dabartin\u0117 dinamika nesikeis, tuomet Rusijos spaudimas fronte tik did\u0117s.<\/p>\n

K\u0105 rodo skai\u010diai ir ko reik\u0117t\u0173 laukti toliau?<\/p>\n

\"\"\/<\/p>\n

I\u0161 pa\u017ei\u016bros, frontas atrodo tarsi \u012f\u0161al\u0119s, ta\u010diau tai iliuzija. Veiksmas pama\u017eu kaupiasi, o pagrindin\u0117 kryptis \u2013 Donbasas. Pokrovskas, Konstantinovka, Slovjanskas, Kramatorskas ir Limanas \u2013 tai ta\u0161kai, \u012f kuriuos krypsta d\u0117mesys.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Jei Rusija toliau didins savo gyv\u0105j\u0105 j\u0117g\u0105, o Ukraina nepasieks prover\u017eio nei fronte, nei diplomatin\u0117je arenoje, spaudimas taps per sunkus. I. Rajevs ai\u0161kiai \u012fsp\u0117jo, kad karas nesibaigia.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Jis tik kei\u010dia form\u0105, nuo staigi\u0173 puolim\u0173 iki i\u0161tempto ir resursus sekinan\u010dio konflikto. O jame nugal\u0117toju bus tas, kas sugeb\u0117s ilgiau i\u0161laikyti resurs\u0173 balans\u0105 ir motyvacij\u0105.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u201eKalbant apie fronto linij\u0105 \u2013 ten d\u017ei\u016bgauti tikrai n\u0117ra d\u0117l ko\u201c, \u2013 atvirai pripa\u017eino Latvijos Nacionalini\u0173 ginkluot\u0173j\u0173 paj\u0117g\u0173…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":6028,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[25,30,31,2567,34,35,24,815,32,33,1084,37,39,36,38,40,23,2643,22,2646,44,585,28,29,2644,218,26,27,2487,2647,2645,74,75,76],"class_list":{"0":"post-6027","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-pasaulis","8":"tag-antrastes","9":"tag-breaking-news","10":"tag-breakingnews","11":"tag-ekspertai","12":"tag-featured-news","13":"tag-featurednews","14":"tag-headlines","15":"tag-karas","16":"tag-latest-news","17":"tag-latestnews","18":"tag-laukia","19":"tag-lietuva","20":"tag-lietuviu","21":"tag-lithuania","22":"tag-lithuanian","23":"tag-lt","24":"tag-naujienos","25":"tag-neisvengiamu","26":"tag-news","27":"tag-pasaulinis","28":"tag-pasaulis","29":"tag-pavojaus","30":"tag-populiariausios-naujienos","31":"tag-populiariausiosnaujienos","32":"tag-skambina","33":"tag-tampa","34":"tag-top-stories","35":"tag-topstories","36":"tag-tragedija","37":"tag-treciasis","38":"tag-varpais","39":"tag-world","40":"tag-world-news","41":"tag-worldnews"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6027","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6027"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6027\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6028"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6027"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6027"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6027"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}