{"id":70672,"date":"2025-12-27T12:33:16","date_gmt":"2025-12-27T12:33:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/70672\/"},"modified":"2025-12-27T12:33:16","modified_gmt":"2025-12-27T12:33:16","slug":"meteorologai-skelbia-pavoju-2026-uju-pradzia-europoje-gali-tapti-isbandymu-poliarinis-sukurys-skilo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/70672\/","title":{"rendered":"Meteorologai skelbia pavoj\u0173: 2026-\u0173j\u0173 prad\u017eia Europoje gali tapti i\u0161bandymu \u2013 poliarinis s\u016bkurys skilo"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Pasiruo\u0161kite \u017eiemines striukes ir didesn\u0117ms s\u0105skaitoms u\u017e \u0161ildym\u0105. Naujausi meteorologiniai duomenys rodo nerim\u0105 kelian\u010dius signalus stratosferoje. D\u0117l reto rei\u0161kinio \u2013 poliarinio s\u016bkurio skilimo \u2013 \u012f Europ\u0105 ver\u017eiasi arktinio \u0161al\u010dio mas\u0117, kuri, prognozuojama, niekur nesitrauks vis\u0105 saus\u012f.<\/p>\n<p>Tai nebus eilin\u0117 \u017eiemos savait\u0117. Analiz\u0117s rodo, kad stratosferoje (daugiau nei 30 km auk\u0161tyje) \u012fvyko did\u017eiulis sl\u0117gio anomalij\u0173 pokytis. Tai tiesioginis neseniai \u012fvykusio Staigaus stratosferos \u0161ilimo (SSW) rezultatas. Paprastai tariant \u2013 gamta atidar\u0117 \u0161aldytuvo duris ir jas u\u017eblokavo atviras.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/ChatGPT-Image-2025-12-27-10_12_46-e1766823198245.webp.webp\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-177913\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns=\" http:=\"\" alt=\"\u0160altas oras ver\u0161is \u012f Europ\u0105\" width=\"1500\" height=\"928\" data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/ChatGPT-Image-2025-12-27-10_12_46-e1766823198245.webp.webp\"\/><\/a>\u0160altas oras ver\u0161is \u012f Europ\u0105<br \/>\nKas nutiko vir\u0161 m\u016bs\u0173 galv\u0173?<\/p>\n<p>Poliarinis s\u016bkurys \u2013 tai did\u017eiulis ciklonas, besisukantis vir\u0161 a\u0161igali\u0173, kuris \u017eiem\u0105 veikia kaip \u0161al\u010dio \u201ekal\u0117jimas\u201c. Kai jis stiprus, \u0161altis lieka u\u017erakintas Arktyje, o mes d\u017eiaugiam\u0117s \u0161velnesne \u017eiema. Ta\u010diau \u0161\u012fkart \u012fvyko prie\u0161ingai.<\/p>\n<p>Lapkri\u010dio pabaigoje ir gruod\u017eio prad\u017eioje stratosferoje staiga pakilo temperat\u016bra ir sl\u0117gis. \u0160is rei\u0161kinys, vadinamas Staigiuoju stratosferos \u0161ilimu, sudav\u0117 sm\u016bg\u012f poliariniam s\u016bkuriui. U\u017euot buv\u0119s vientisas ir stiprus, s\u016bkurys buvo deformuotas ir galiausiai skilo.<\/p>\n<p>Dabar matome \u0161io \u012fvykio pasekmes: s\u016bkurio branduolys pasidalijo \u012f dvi dalis. Viena j\u0173 nuslinko link \u0160iaur\u0117s Amerikos, o kita \u2013 ir tai mums svarbiausia \u2013 tiesiai link Europos.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/winter-forecast-january-temperature-anomaly-europe-cold-polar-vortex.webp.webp\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-177912\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns=\" http:=\"\" alt=\"Prognoz\u0117 Europai sausio m\u0117nes\u012f\" width=\"1203\" height=\"808\" data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/winter-forecast-january-temperature-anomaly-europe-cold-polar-vortex.webp.webp\"\/><\/a>Prognoz\u0117 Europai sausio m\u0117nes\u012f<br \/>\nPrognoz\u0117 Europai: ilgas ir varginantis \u0161altis<\/p>\n<p>Sutrikdytas poliarinis s\u016bkurys nebegali sulaikyti arktinio oro, tod\u0117l \u0161is liejasi \u012f pietus. Prognozi\u0173 modeliai rodo, kad vir\u0161 Europos formuojasi \u017eemo sl\u0117gio sritis, kuri veiks kaip siurblys, traukiantis \u0161alt\u012f i\u0161 \u0161iaur\u0117s.<\/p>\n<p>K\u0105 tai rei\u0161kia mums?<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Sausio m\u0117nesio perspektyva: Duomenys rodo, kad \u0161altas periodas nebus trumpalaikis. Saus\u012f vir\u0161 Europos numatomas stabilus \u0161iaur\u0117s\u2013\u0161iaur\u0117s ryt\u0173 oro srautas.<\/li>\n<li>Temperat\u016bra: Prognozuojama \u017eemesn\u0117 nei \u012fprasta sausio m\u0117nesio temperat\u016bra did\u017eiojoje \u017eemyno dalyje. \u0160altis gali pasiekti net pietines Europos valstybes.<\/li>\n<li>Sniegas: Nors tikslias sniego prognozes savait\u0117ms \u012f priek\u012f numatyti sunku, tokia atmosferos konfig\u016bracija (\u0161altis plius \u017eemas sl\u0117gis) yra klasikinis receptas gausiam sniegui, jei tik pakaks dr\u0117gm\u0117s.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/forecast-january-500mb-pressure-pattern-ecmwf-europe-stratospheric-warming-polar-vortex-core.webp.webp\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-177911\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns=\" http:=\"\" alt=\"Sl\u0117gio poky\u010diai Europoje\" width=\"1202\" height=\"808\" data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/forecast-january-500mb-pressure-pattern-ecmwf-europe-stratospheric-warming-polar-vortex-core.webp.webp\"\/><\/a>Sl\u0117gio poky\u010diai Europoje<br \/>\nIstorija kartojasi?<\/p>\n<p>Toks ankstyvas ir stiprus poliarinio s\u016bkurio sutrikdymas yra retas rei\u0161kinys. Per pastaruosius 70 met\u0173 fiksuoti vos keli pana\u0161\u016bs atvejai.<\/p>\n<p>\u017dvelgiant \u012f istorinius duomenis, kai vyko pana\u0161\u016bs s\u016bkurio skilimai, sausio m\u0117nesiai Europoje beveik visada b\u016bdavo \u0161alti ir \u017evarb\u016bs. Nors vir\u0161utiniuose atmosferos sluoksniuose s\u016bkurys bando atsikurti, \u017eemesniuose sluoksniuose (kur formuojasi m\u016bs\u0173 orai) pa\u017eeidimas jau padarytas, ir \u0161altas oras toliau skverbsis \u012f \u017eemyn\u0105.<\/p>\n<p>Apibendrinant: 2026-\u0173j\u0173 prad\u017eia \u017eada b\u016bti gili ir r\u016bsti. Jei planavote \u017eiem\u0105 praleisti lengvai apsireng\u0119, meteorologiniai modeliai si\u016blo pagalvoti dar kart\u0105 \u2013 Europa stoja \u012f akistat\u0105 su tikra poliarine \u017eiema.<\/p>\n<p>\u0160altinis: https:\/\/www.severe-weather.eu\/global-weather\/polar-vortex-split-after-stratospheric-warming-january-winter-weather-united-states-canada-europe-fa\/<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Pasiruo\u0161kite \u017eiemines striukes ir didesn\u0117ms s\u0105skaitoms u\u017e \u0161ildym\u0105. Naujausi meteorologiniai duomenys rodo nerim\u0105 kelian\u010dius signalus stratosferoje. D\u0117l reto&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":70673,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[25,30,31,34,35,24,32,33,37,39,36,38,40,23,22,28,29,26,27],"class_list":{"0":"post-70672","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-lietuva","8":"tag-antrastes","9":"tag-breaking-news","10":"tag-breakingnews","11":"tag-featured-news","12":"tag-featurednews","13":"tag-headlines","14":"tag-latest-news","15":"tag-latestnews","16":"tag-lietuva","17":"tag-lietuviu","18":"tag-lithuania","19":"tag-lithuanian","20":"tag-lt","21":"tag-naujienos","22":"tag-news","23":"tag-populiariausios-naujienos","24":"tag-populiariausiosnaujienos","25":"tag-top-stories","26":"tag-topstories"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lt\/115791554338571425","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70672","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=70672"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/70672\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/70673"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=70672"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=70672"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=70672"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}