{"id":89989,"date":"2026-01-23T07:49:32","date_gmt":"2026-01-23T07:49:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/89989\/"},"modified":"2026-01-23T07:49:32","modified_gmt":"2026-01-23T07:49:32","slug":"swedbank-didina-siu-metu-lietuvos-bvp-augimo-prognoze-iki-35-proc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/89989\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201eSwedbank\u201c didina \u0161i\u0173 met\u0173 Lietuvos BVP augimo prognoz\u0119 iki 3,5 proc."},"content":{"rendered":"\u201eSwedbank\u201c banko ekonomistai prognozuoja, kad Lietuvos bendrojo vidaus produkto (BVP) augimas \u0161iemet paspart\u0117s iki 3,5 proc. ir i\u0161liks spar\u010diausiu regione. Anot j\u0173, Estijos bei Latvijos ekonomikos po ilgos stagnacijos atsigauna \u2013 augimas ten sieks apie 2,5 procento.<\/p>\n
Pra\u0117jusi\u0173 met\u0173 lapkrit\u012f banko prognoz\u0117 \u0161iems metams buvo 3,2 proc.<\/p>\n
Tuo metu infliacija \u0161iemet sieks 3,5 proc.<\/p>\n
Pasak\u00a0\u201eSwedbank\u201c vyriausiojo ekonomisto Nerijaus Ma\u010diulio, pra\u0117jusiais \u0161alies ekonomik\u0105 d\u017eiugino ne tik fiksuotas 2,5 proc.\u00a0augimas, bet ir darbo rinkos, eksporto bei investicij\u0173 rodikliai.<\/p>\n
\u201eBe stabilaus ir spartaus BVP augimo pernai Lietuvoje mat\u0117me ir kit\u0173 d\u017eiugi\u0173 rekord\u0173. Dirban\u010di\u0173 asmen\u0173 skai\u010dius pakilo \u012f auk\u0161\u010diausi\u0105 lyg\u012f nuo pra\u0117jusio am\u017eiaus pabaigos. Auk\u0161tos prid\u0117tin\u0117s vert\u0117s paslaug\u0173 eksportas pasiek\u0117 10 mlrd. eur\u0173\u201c, \u2013 \u00a0prane\u0161ime cituojamas N. Ma\u010diulis.<\/p>\n
\u201eInvesticij\u0173 augimas vir\u0161ijo 15 proc. ir dabar sudaro ketvirtadal\u012f BVP \u2013 daugiausiai per beveik du de\u0161imtme\u010dius. Spar\u010diausiai augo investicijos \u012f vert\u0117s k\u016brimo potencial\u0105 \u2013 transporto priemones, gamybos \u012frengimus, programin\u0119 \u012frang\u0105, intelektin\u0119 nuosavyb\u0119, informacijos ir ry\u0161i\u0173 technologijas\u201c, \u2013 teigia jis.<\/p>\n
\u201eSwedbank\u201c ekonomistai prognozuoja, kad \u0161iemet investicijos toliau augs beveik de\u0161imtadaliu, o grynoji imigracija vis dar atsvers neigiamas nat\u016bralias demografines tendencijas.<\/p>\n
Prognozuojama, kad vidutinio darbo u\u017emokes\u010dio augimas sul\u0117t\u0117s iki 8 proc., ta\u010diau i\u0161liks gerokai spartesnis u\u017e kain\u0173 augim\u0105. Kit\u0105met vidutinis m\u0117nesio atlyginimas tur\u0117t\u0173\u00a0sul\u0117t\u0117ti iki 6,7 proc.<\/p>\n
Remiantis Valstyb\u0117s duomen\u0173 agent\u016bros ir \u201eSwedbank\u201c tyrim\u0173 duomenimis, nedarbo lygio \u0161alyje augimas tur\u0117t\u0173 i\u0161likti stabilus, siekti 7 proc., ir \u00a0toks pat i\u0161likti kit\u0105met.<\/p>\n
N. Ma\u010diulio teigimu, nors trumpuoju laikotarpiu \u0161alies ekonomika gali b\u016bti kuriama vidaus paklausos pagalba, vis tik negalima ignoruoti \u017eenkl\u0173, rodan\u010di\u0173 pramon\u0117s konkurencingumo ma\u017e\u0117jim\u0105.<\/p>\n
\u201eSpar\u010diai augan\u010dios darbo s\u0105naudos, didesni JAV importo muitai, did\u0117janti Kinijos konkurencija \u2013 visa tai lems daug l\u0117tesn\u012f pramon\u0117s augim\u0105 ateityje. Trumpuoju laikotarpiu Lietuvos ekonomika gali klest\u0117ti vien vidaus paklausos d\u0117ka, bet be eksportuojan\u010di\u0173 sektori\u0173 augimo ilgalaikis progresas yra ma\u017eai tik\u0117tinas\u201c, \u2013 teigia N. Ma\u010diulis.<\/p>\n
ECB bazini\u0173 pal\u016bkan\u0173 norm\u0173 \u0161iemet nema\u017eins\u00a0<\/p>\n
Anot \u201eSwedbank\u201c ekonomist\u0173, 2026 m. Europos Centrinis Bankas (ECB) bazini\u0173 pal\u016bkan\u0173 norm\u0173 nebema\u017eins \u2013 jos tur\u0117t\u0173 i\u0161likti ties 2 proc. riba bent iki kit\u0173 met\u0173 pabaigos.<\/p>\n
\u201eEuro zonoje infliacija, prie\u0161ingai nei JAV, neb\u0117ra problema ir artimiausiu metu nukris \u017eemiau 2 procent\u0173 kartel\u0117s. Vis tik tai turb\u016bt nebus pakankama prie\u017eastimi prad\u0117ti labiau skatinti euro zonos ekonomik\u0105 dar labiau ma\u017einant pal\u016bkanas. \u0160\u012f instrument\u0105 ECB pasiliks krizin\u0117ms situacijoms\u201c, \u2013 prognozuoja Nerijus Ma\u010diulis.<\/p>\n
Ekonomist\u0173 teigimu, nepaisant i\u0161\u0161\u016bki\u0173, euro zonos ekonomika i\u0161brido i\u0161 stagnacijos \u2013 augimas ir pra\u0117jusiais, ir \u0161iais metais vir\u0161ys 1 proc. bei dar labiau paspart\u0117s 2027.<\/p>\n
\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t ![](\"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/elta.png\"\/)
<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u201eSwedbank\u201c banko ekonomistai prognozuoja, kad Lietuvos bendrojo vidaus produkto (BVP) augimas \u0161iemet paspart\u0117s iki 3,5 proc. ir i\u0161liks…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":89990,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[17],"tags":[81,2233,37,39,36,38,40,46],"class_list":{"0":"post-89989","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-verslas","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-bvp","10":"tag-lietuva","11":"tag-lietuviu","12":"tag-lithuania","13":"tag-lithuanian","14":"tag-lt","15":"tag-verslas"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lt\/115943319990735541","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89989","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=89989"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/89989\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/89990"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=89989"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=89989"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lt\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=89989"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}