{"id":103119,"date":"2026-01-13T13:59:07","date_gmt":"2026-01-13T13:59:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/103119\/"},"modified":"2026-01-13T13:59:07","modified_gmt":"2026-01-13T13:59:07","slug":"cenu-drama-aizpeld-pagatne-jaunais-gads-inflacijas-joma-bus-mierigaks-raksts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/103119\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00abCenu dr\u0101ma aizpeld pag\u0101tn\u0113\u00bb \u2013 Jaunais gads infl\u0101cijas jom\u0101 b\u016bs mier\u012bg\u0101ks \/ Raksts"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;Cenu dr\u0101ma aizpeld pag\u0101tn\u0113&#8221; un sagaid\u0101ms, ka 2026. gads infl\u0101cijas jom\u0101 b\u016bs mier\u012bg\u0101ks, to atz\u012bst ekonomisti, v\u0113rt\u0113jot jaun\u0101kos infl\u0101cijas datus, kas r\u0101da <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lsm.lv\/raksts\/zinas\/ekonomika\/13.01.2026-gada-inflacija-latvija-decembri-sabremzejusies-lidz-35-liela-ietekme-elektroenergijas-cenam.a629755\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">cenu k\u0101puma sabremz\u0113\u0161anos.<\/a>\u00a0K\u0101 nor\u0101d\u012bja &#8220;Luminor&#8221; bankas ekonomists P\u0113teris Strauti\u0146\u0161, &#8220;\u0161obr\u012bd nekas neliecina, ka 2026.\u00a0gada pat\u0113ri\u0146a cenu zi\u0146\u0101s b\u016bs kaut kripati\u0146as interesantuma&#8221;.<br \/>\n                Energoresursiem sam\u0113r\u0101 zems cenu l\u012bmenis<\/p>\n<p>Latvijas Bankas ekonomiste Ieva Opmane skaidroja, ka ir vair\u0101ki iemesli, kas liek dom\u0101t, ka infl\u0101cijas l\u012bkne\u00a0virz\u012bsies lejup.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Vispirms, pat neskatoties uz neseno naftas cenu pieaugumu, kas saist\u012bts ar ba\u017e\u0101m par t\u0101s pieg\u0101des apjomiem, \u0146emot v\u0113r\u0101 nestabilo situ\u0101ciju Ir\u0101n\u0101 un Venecu\u0113l\u0101, pa\u0161laik cenu l\u012bmenis gan naftai, gan dabasg\u0101zei, sal\u012bdzinot ar vid\u0113ja termi\u0146a datiem, ir sam\u0113r\u0101 zems,&#8221; skaidroja ekonomiste.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>P\u0113c vi\u0146as teikt\u0101, \u0161o resursu cenas b\u016btiski ietekm\u0113 ne tikai ener\u0123ijas cenas (cenu degvielai, elektr\u012bbai un dabasg\u0101zei pat\u0113r\u0113t\u0101jiem), bet ar\u012b netie\u0161\u0101 veid\u0101 rada izmaksas, kas tiek iek\u013cautas citu produktu gala cen\u0101s.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Augsto energocenu period\u0101 2022. gad\u0101 ener\u0123ijas cenu pieauguma rezult\u0101t\u0101, palielinoties transporta, uzglab\u0101\u0161anas un ra\u017eo\u0161anas izmaks\u0101m, papildus k\u0101pa cena ar\u012b p\u0101rtikai, r\u016bpniec\u012bbas prec\u0113m un pakalpojumiem. Lai gan past\u0101v riski, ka da\u017e\u0101du \u0123eopolitisku saasin\u0101jumu d\u0113\u013c ener\u0123ijas cenas var\u0113tu pieaugt, pa\u0161laik sp\u0113c\u012bga \u0161o cenu ietekme uz citu produktu cenu pieaugumu 2026. gad\u0101 nav gaid\u0101ma, nor\u0101d\u012bja Opmane.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Luminor&#8221; bankas ekonomists sac\u012bja, ka\u00a0ener\u0123ijas tirgu ietekme b\u016bs &#8220;\u013coti viegla un dr\u012bz\u0101k lejupv\u0113rsta&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0113c Strauti\u0146a teikt\u0101, atjaun\u012bgo resursu konkurence un lielie ieguld\u012bjumi infrastrukt\u016br\u0101 aizvad\u012bt\u0101 gada laik\u0101 iev\u0113rojami samazin\u0101ju\u0161i sa\u0161\u0137idrin\u0101t\u0101s g\u0101zes cenu.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Run\u0101jot par elektr\u012bbas cen\u0101m, katrs jaunais saules vai v\u0113ja vai akumulatoru parks ietekm\u0113 cenas lejupv\u0113rsti, bet risks ir pat\u0113ri\u0146a pieaugums Latvij\u0101, k\u0101 ar\u012b lielie ieguld\u012bjumi datu centros Zieme\u013cvalst\u012bs, kas strauji &#8220;ap\u0113d&#8221; to ra\u017eo\u0161anas jaudu p\u0101rpalikumu,&#8221; nor\u0101d\u012bja Strauti\u0146\u0161.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0101rtikas cenas piel\u0101gojas glob\u0101laj\u0101m izmai\u0146\u0101m\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Savuk\u0101rt p\u0101rtikas cenas p\u0113c krietna samazin\u0101juma novembr\u012b gada p\u0113d\u0113j\u0101 m\u0113nes\u012b nedaudz pak\u0101pu\u0161\u0101s, tom\u0113r kopum\u0101 p\u0101rtikas cenu pieaugums decembr\u012b ir neliels un maz\u0101ks, nek\u0101 sezon\u0101li ierasts \u0161aj\u0101 m\u0113nes\u012b, atz\u012bm\u0113ja Latvijas Bankas ekonomiste.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0113c vi\u0146as teikt\u0101, novembr\u012b p\u0101rtikas cenu kritumu var\u0113ja skaidrot ar b\u016btisku cenu akciju pieaugumu valsts sv\u0113tku period\u0101, un l\u012bdz\u012bgas tendences turpin\u0101j\u0101s ar\u012b decembr\u012b, kad da\u017ek\u0101rt mazumtirdzniec\u012bbas t\u012bklos pied\u0101v\u0101t\u0101s atsevi\u0161\u0137u produktu cenas \u0161\u0137ietami bija tik pievilc\u012bgas, ka var\u0113tu b\u016bt pat zem pa\u0161izmaksas.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;\u0160\u0137iet, beidzot \u0161\u012bs viet\u0113j\u0101s p\u0101rtikas cenu tendences vair\u0101k s\u0101ku\u0161as l\u012bdzin\u0101ties glob\u0101lo p\u0101rtikas cenu izmai\u0146\u0101m. Glob\u0101li p\u0101rtikas cenas pamaz\u0101m saruku\u0161as jau kop\u0161 p\u0113rn\u0101 gada vidus. Savuk\u0101rt Latvij\u0101 no 2026. gada j\u016blija atsevi\u0161\u0137iem p\u0101rtikas produktiem b\u016bs samazin\u0101ta pievienot\u0101s v\u0113rt\u012bbas nodok\u013ca (PVN) likme.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>T\u0101tad gan \u0101r\u0113jie faktori (glob\u0101l\u0101s p\u0101rtikas cenas), gan iek\u0161\u0113jie notikumi (PVN likmes samazin\u0101\u0161ana) liecina, ka ar\u012b p\u0101rtikas cenu straujais pieaugums 2026. gad\u0101 var\u0113tu pierimt,&#8221; sac\u012bja Opmane.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Strauti\u0146\u0161 piebilda, ka p\u0101rtikas cenas ietekm\u0113s krasais sviesta, k\u0101 ar\u012b da\u017eu eksotisko produktu b\u016btiskais cenu kritums kop\u0161 2025.\u00a0gada s\u0101kuma, kas iepriecin\u0101s atsevi\u0161\u0137u produktu pat\u0113r\u0113t\u0101jus.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Tas nenoz\u012bm\u0113, ka \u0161okol\u0101des cenas atgriez\u012bsies iepriek\u0161\u0113j\u0101 l\u012bmen\u012b &#8211; kakao pupi\u0146u cenas kop\u0161 augst\u0101k\u0101 punkta 2025. gada s\u0101kum\u0101 ir samazin\u0101ju\u0161\u0101s vair\u0101k nek\u0101 uz pusi, ta\u010du \u010detru gadu nogriezn\u012b joproj\u0101m ir augu\u0161as par 140 %. Citi bir\u017e\u0101s tirgotie ra\u017eojumi, kas ietekm\u0113 m\u016bsu p\u0101rtikas pamatproduktu cenas vai nu k\u013c\u016bst l\u0113t\u0101ki pak\u0101peniski (graudi, piena pulveris), vai daudz nemain\u0101s (ga\u013ca),&#8221; teica ekonomists.<\/p>\n<p>Cenu k\u0101pumu veicin\u0101s algu pieaugums<\/p>\n<p>P\u0113c vi\u0146as teikt\u0101, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lsm.lv\/raksts\/zinas\/ekonomika\/19.12.2025-latvijas-banka-korige-prognozes-inflacija-sogad-pieaugs-vel-straujak-ari-ikp-izaugsme-lielaka.a627139\/\" class=\"lsm-link\" data-type=\"article\" data-id=\"627139\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Latvijas Banka sav\u0101s jaun\u0101kaj\u0101s prognoz\u0113s nor\u0101d\u012bja<\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/Tom%C4%93r%20ar%C4%AB%202025.%20gada%20decembr%C4%AB%20public%C4%93taj%C4%81s%20Latvijas%20Bankas%20prognoz%C4%93s%20nor%C4%81d%C4%81m,%20ka%20saglab%C4%81sies%20faktori,%20kas%20cenu%20pieaugumu%20veicina.%20Galvenais%20no%20tiem%20%E2%80%93%20relat%C4%ABvi%20straujais%20algu%20pieaugums.%20Lai%20gan%20algu%20pieaugums%20nav%20vienm%C4%93r%C4%ABgs%20da%C5%BE%C4%81dos%20sektoros%20un%20profesij%C4%81s,%20tom%C4%93r%20vid%C4%93ji%20tas%20Latvij%C4%81%202025.%20gad%C4%81%20ir%20bijis%20notur%C4%ABgs.%20%C5%A0o%20algu%20pieaugumu%20da%C4%BC%C4%93ji%20un%20%C4%ABslaic%C4%ABgi%20var%C4%93tu%20finans%C4%93t%20ar%20uz%C5%86%C4%93mumu%20pe%C4%BC%C5%86as%20mar%C5%BEu%20samazin%C4%81jumu,%20tom%C4%93r%20parasti%20tas%20noz%C4%ABm%C4%93%20papildu%20izmaksu%20p%C4%81rnesi%20uz%20produktu%20gala%20pat%C4%93r%C4%93t%C4%81jiem.%20Vissp%C4%93c%C4%ABg%C4%81k%20tas%20izpau%C5%BEas%20k%C4%81%20pakalpojumu%20cenu%20strauj%C4%81ks%20pieaugums,%20tom%C4%93r%20tam%20ir%20ietekme%20ar%C4%AB%20uz%20citiem%20sektoriem,%20jo%20darbasp%C4%93ks%20ir%20vajadz%C4%ABgs%20jebkuru%20produktu%20ra%C5%BEo%C5%A1an%C4%81,%20at%C5%A1%C4%B7iras%20vien,%20cik%20liela%20ir%20%C5%A1%C4%AB%20darbasp%C4%93ka%20izmaksu%20komponente%20kop%C4%93j%C4%81%20produkta%20cen%C4%81.%20Kopum%C4%81%20sagaid%C4%81ms,%20ka%202026.%20gads%20infl%C4%81cijas%20jom%C4%81%20b%C5%ABs%20mier%C4%ABg%C4%81ks.%20Latvijas%20Bankas%20prognoz%C4%93tais%20cenu%20pieaugums%20%C5%A1im%20gadam%20ir%20zem%C4%81ks%20nek%C4%81%202025.%20gad%C4%81,%20tom%C4%93r,%20visticam%C4%81k,%20gada%20laik%C4%81%20cenu%20pieaugums%20b%C5%ABs%20nedaudz%20virs%203%20%.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">,<\/a> ka saglab\u0101sies faktori, kas cenu pieaugumu veicina.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Galvenais no tiem \u2013 relat\u012bvi straujais algu pieaugums. Lai gan algu pieaugums nav vienm\u0113r\u012bgs da\u017e\u0101dos sektoros un profesij\u0101s, tom\u0113r vid\u0113ji tas Latvij\u0101 2025. gad\u0101 ir bijis notur\u012bgs. \u0160o algu pieaugumu da\u013c\u0113ji un \u012bslaic\u012bgi var\u0113tu finans\u0113t ar uz\u0146\u0113mumu pe\u013c\u0146as mar\u017eu samazin\u0101jumu, tom\u0113r parasti tas noz\u012bm\u0113 papildu izmaksu p\u0101rnesi uz produktu gala pat\u0113r\u0113t\u0101jiem. Vissp\u0113c\u012bg\u0101k tas izpau\u017eas k\u0101 pakalpojumu cenu strauj\u0101ks pieaugums, tom\u0113r tam ir ietekme ar\u012b uz citiem sektoriem, jo darbasp\u0113ks ir vajadz\u012bgs jebkuru produktu ra\u017eo\u0161an\u0101, at\u0161\u0137iras vien, cik liela ir \u0161\u012b darbasp\u0113ka izmaksu komponente kop\u0113j\u0101 produkta cen\u0101,&#8221; atz\u012bm\u0113ja Latvijas Bankas ekonomiste.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0113c vi\u0146as sac\u012bt\u0101, kopum\u0101 sagaid\u0101ms, ka 2026. gads infl\u0101cijas jom\u0101 b\u016bs mier\u012bg\u0101ks. Latvijas Bankas prognoz\u0113tais cenu pieaugums \u0161im gadam ir zem\u0101ks nek\u0101 2025. gad\u0101, tom\u0113r, visticam\u0101k, gada laik\u0101 cenu pieaugums b\u016bs nedaudz virs 3\u00a0%.<\/p>\n<p>Strauti\u0146\u0161 piebilda, ka apst\u0101k\u013cos, kad importa ietekme uz cenu l\u012bmeni ir kopum\u0101 maznoz\u012bm\u012bga, bet atsevi\u0161\u0137\u0101s poz\u012bcij\u0101s lejupv\u0113rsta, par svar\u012bg\u0101ko infl\u0101cijas procesu uztur\u0113t\u0101ju k\u013c\u016bs pakalpojumi. To gada infl\u0101cija jau kop\u0161 2024.\u00a0gada vidus nesatricin\u0101mi turas 5,1\u00a0% l\u012bdz 6,3\u00a0% diapazon\u0101.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>&#8220;Straujais algu k\u0101pums l\u012bdz \u0161im un prognozes pa darba tirgu 2026.\u00a0gad\u0101 signaliz\u0113, ka pakalpojumu cenas turpin\u0101s augt, varb\u016bt tikai drusku piebremz\u0113jot,&#8221; teica &#8220;Luminor&#8221; bankas ekonomists.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>                    Valodas k\u013c\u016bda rakst\u0101?<\/p>\n<p class=\"d-none d-md-block\">Iez\u012bm\u0113jiet tekstu un spiediet Ctrl+Enter, lai nos\u016bt\u012btu labojamo teksta fragmentu redaktoram! Par faktu k\u013c\u016bd\u0101m l\u016bdzam zi\u0146ot e-past\u0101 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lsm.lv\/cdn-cgi\/l\/email-protection\" class=\"__cf_email__\" data-cfemail=\"cdbfa8a9aca6aea4a7ac8da1bea0e3a1bb\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">[email\u00a0protected]<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"d-md-none\">Iez\u012bm\u0113jiet tekstu un spiediet uz Zi\u0146ot par k\u013c\u016bdu pogas, lai nos\u016bt\u012btu labojamo teksta fragmentu redaktoram!<\/p>\n<p>\n                    Zi\u0146ot par k\u013c\u016bdu\n                <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"&#8220;Cenu dr\u0101ma aizpeld pag\u0101tn\u0113&#8221; un sagaid\u0101ms, ka 2026. gads infl\u0101cijas jom\u0101 b\u016bs mier\u012bg\u0101ks, to atz\u012bst ekonomisti, v\u0113rt\u0113jot jaun\u0101kos&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":103120,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[23,28,29,32,33,22,30,31,35,39,38,36,37,34,40,20,26,27,24,25,21],"class_list":{"0":"post-103119","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-latvija","8":"tag-aktualitates","9":"tag-breaking-news","10":"tag-breakingnews","11":"tag-featured-news","12":"tag-featurednews","13":"tag-headlines","14":"tag-latest-news","15":"tag-latestnews","16":"tag-latvia","17":"tag-latvian","18":"tag-latviesu","19":"tag-latviesu-valoda","20":"tag-latviesuvaloda","21":"tag-latvija","22":"tag-lv","23":"tag-news","24":"tag-popularakas-zinas","25":"tag-popularakaszinas","26":"tag-top-stories","27":"tag-topstories","28":"tag-zinas"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lv\/115888151800918465","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103119","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=103119"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103119\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/103120"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=103119"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=103119"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=103119"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}