{"id":103299,"date":"2026-01-13T16:29:23","date_gmt":"2026-01-13T16:29:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/103299\/"},"modified":"2026-01-13T16:29:23","modified_gmt":"2026-01-13T16:29:23","slug":"latvijas-bankas-ekonomistes-komentars-inflacija-pern-gada-nogale-pamazam-atkapas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/103299\/","title":{"rendered":"Latvijas Bankas ekonomistes koment\u0101rs: Infl\u0101cija p\u0113rn gada nogal\u0113 pamaz\u0101m atk\u0101p\u0101s"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"Koment\u0101ra autore: Ieva Opmane, Latvijas Bankas ekonomiste. Publicit\u0101tes foto.<\/p>\n

P\u0113c izteikti zema infl\u0101cijas perioda 2024. gad\u0101, 2025. gads atkal lika saros\u012bties, analiz\u0113jot un v\u0113rt\u0113jot, k\u0101p\u0113c cenu pieaugums k\u013cuva strauj\u0101ks. Jau kop\u0161 pag\u0101ju\u0161\u0101 gada s\u0101kuma infl\u0101cija tur\u0113j\u0101s virs 3\u00a0%, ruden\u012b pak\u0101pjoties pat l\u012bdz 4.3\u00a0%, bet gada nogal\u0113 atkal mazinoties. 2025.\u00a0gada decembr\u012b, sal\u012bdzinot ar situ\u0101ciju pirms gada, visp\u0101r\u0113jais cenu l\u012bmenis pieaudzis par 3.5\u00a0%, savuk\u0101rt, sal\u012bdzinot ar novembri, cenas vid\u0113ji saruku\u0161as par 0.1\u00a0%.<\/p>\n

P\u0113rn \u012bpa\u0161i tika piev\u0113rsta uzman\u012bba p\u0101rtikas cenu pieaugumam, tom\u0113r strauji augu\u0161as ar\u012b da\u017e\u0101du pakalpojumu cenas, un gada otraj\u0101 pus\u0113 k\u0101pu\u0161as cenas ar\u012b energoproduktiem.<\/p>\n

Vai decembra infl\u0101cijas dati liecina, ka nu situ\u0101cija ir main\u012bjusies un tuv\u0101kajos m\u0113ne\u0161os b\u016btu gaid\u0101ms infl\u0101cijas sarukums? Ir vair\u0101ki iemesli, kas liek dom\u0101t \u0161aj\u0101 virzien\u0101.<\/p>\n

Vispirms, pat neskatoties uz neseno naftas cenu pieaugumu, kas saist\u012bts ar ba\u017e\u0101m par t\u0101s pieg\u0101des apjomiem, \u0146emot v\u0113r\u0101 nestabilo situ\u0101ciju Ir\u0101n\u0101 un Venecu\u0113l\u0101, pa\u0161laik cenu l\u012bmenis gan naftai, gan dabasg\u0101zei, sal\u012bdzinot ar vid\u0113ja termi\u0146a datiem, ir sam\u0113r\u0101 zems. \u0160o resursu cenas b\u016btiski ietekm\u0113 ne tikai ener\u0123ijas cenas (cenu degvielai, elektr\u012bbai un dabasg\u0101zei pat\u0113r\u0113t\u0101jiem), bet ar\u012b netie\u0161\u0101 veid\u0101 rada izmaksas, kas tiek iek\u013cautas citu produktu gala cen\u0101s. Augsto energocenu period\u0101 2022. gad\u0101 ener\u0123ijas cenu pieauguma rezult\u0101t\u0101, palielinoties transporta, uzglab\u0101\u0161anas un ra\u017eo\u0161anas izmaks\u0101m, papildus k\u0101pa cena ar\u012b p\u0101rtikai, r\u016bpniec\u012bbas prec\u0113m un pakalpojumiem. Lai gan past\u0101v riski, ka da\u017e\u0101du \u0123eopolitisku saasin\u0101jumu d\u0113\u013c ener\u0123ijas cenas var\u0113tu pieaugt, pa\u0161laik sp\u0113c\u012bga \u0161o cenu ietekme uz citu produktu cenu pieaugumu 2026. gad\u0101 nav gaid\u0101ma.<\/p>\n

Savuk\u0101rt p\u0101rtikas cenas p\u0113c krietna samazin\u0101juma novembr\u012b gada p\u0113d\u0113j\u0101 m\u0113nes\u012b nedaudz pak\u0101pu\u0161\u0101s, tom\u0113r kopum\u0101 p\u0101rtikas cenu pieaugums decembr\u012b ir neliels un maz\u0101ks, nek\u0101 sezon\u0101li ierasts \u0161aj\u0101 m\u0113nes\u012b. Novembr\u012b p\u0101rtikas cenu kritumu var\u0113ja skaidrot ar b\u016btisku cenu akciju pieaugumu valsts sv\u0113tku period\u0101, un l\u012bdz\u012bgas tendences turpin\u0101j\u0101s ar\u012b decembr\u012b, kad da\u017ek\u0101rt mazumtirdzniec\u012bbas t\u012bklos pied\u0101v\u0101t\u0101s atsevi\u0161\u0137u produktu cenas \u0161\u0137ietami bija tik pievilc\u012bgas, ka var\u0113tu b\u016bt pat zem pa\u0161izmaksas. \u0160\u0137iet, beidzot \u0161\u012bs viet\u0113j\u0101s p\u0101rtikas cenu tendences vair\u0101k s\u0101ku\u0161as l\u012bdzin\u0101ties glob\u0101lo p\u0101rtikas cenu izmai\u0146\u0101m. Glob\u0101li p\u0101rtikas cenas pamaz\u0101m saruku\u0161as jau kop\u0161 p\u0113rn\u0101 gada vidus. Savuk\u0101rt Latvij\u0101 no 2026. gada j\u016blija atsevi\u0161\u0137iem p\u0101rtikas produktiem b\u016bs samazin\u0101ta pievienot\u0101s v\u0113rt\u012bbas nodok\u013ca (PVN) likme. T\u0101tad gan \u0101r\u0113jie faktori (glob\u0101l\u0101s p\u0101rtikas cenas), gan iek\u0161\u0113jie notikumi (PVN likmes samazin\u0101\u0161ana) liecina, ka ar\u012b p\u0101rtikas cenu straujais pieaugums 2026. gad\u0101 var\u0113tu pierimt.<\/p>\n

Tom\u0113r ar\u012b 2025. gada decembr\u012b public\u0113taj\u0101s Latvijas Bankas prognoz\u0113s<\/a> nor\u0101d\u0101m, ka saglab\u0101sies faktori, kas cenu pieaugumu veicina. Galvenais no tiem \u2013 relat\u012bvi straujais algu pieaugums. Lai gan algu pieaugums nav vienm\u0113r\u012bgs da\u017e\u0101dos sektoros un profesij\u0101s, tom\u0113r vid\u0113ji tas Latvij\u0101 2025. gad\u0101 ir bijis notur\u012bgs. \u0160o algu pieaugumu da\u013c\u0113ji un \u012bslaic\u012bgi var\u0113tu finans\u0113t ar uz\u0146\u0113mumu pe\u013c\u0146as mar\u017eu samazin\u0101jumu, tom\u0113r parasti tas noz\u012bm\u0113 papildu izmaksu p\u0101rnesi uz produktu gala pat\u0113r\u0113t\u0101jiem. Vissp\u0113c\u012bg\u0101k tas izpau\u017eas k\u0101 pakalpojumu cenu strauj\u0101ks pieaugums, tom\u0113r tam ir ietekme ar\u012b uz citiem sektoriem, jo darbasp\u0113ks ir vajadz\u012bgs jebkuru produktu ra\u017eo\u0161an\u0101, at\u0161\u0137iras vien, cik liela ir \u0161\u012b darbasp\u0113ka izmaksu komponente kop\u0113j\u0101 produkta cen\u0101.<\/p>\n

Kopum\u0101 sagaid\u0101ms, ka 2026. gads infl\u0101cijas jom\u0101 b\u016bs mier\u012bg\u0101ks. Latvijas Bankas prognoz\u0113tais cenu pieaugums \u0161im gadam ir zem\u0101ks nek\u0101 2025. gad\u0101, tom\u0113r, visticam\u0101k, gada laik\u0101 cenu pieaugums b\u016bs nedaudz virs 3\u00a0%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Koment\u0101ra autore: Ieva Opmane, Latvijas Bankas ekonomiste. Publicit\u0101tes foto. P\u0113c izteikti zema infl\u0101cijas perioda 2024. gad\u0101, 2025. gads…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":103300,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[23,28,29,32,33,22,30,31,35,39,38,36,37,34,40,20,26,27,24,25,21],"class_list":{"0":"post-103299","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-aktualitates","8":"tag-aktualitates","9":"tag-breaking-news","10":"tag-breakingnews","11":"tag-featured-news","12":"tag-featurednews","13":"tag-headlines","14":"tag-latest-news","15":"tag-latestnews","16":"tag-latvia","17":"tag-latvian","18":"tag-latviesu","19":"tag-latviesu-valoda","20":"tag-latviesuvaloda","21":"tag-latvija","22":"tag-lv","23":"tag-news","24":"tag-popularakas-zinas","25":"tag-popularakaszinas","26":"tag-top-stories","27":"tag-topstories","28":"tag-zinas"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lv\/115888741607309383","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103299","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=103299"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103299\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/103300"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=103299"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=103299"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=103299"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}