{"id":104598,"date":"2026-01-14T16:58:15","date_gmt":"2026-01-14T16:58:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/104598\/"},"modified":"2026-01-14T16:58:15","modified_gmt":"2026-01-14T16:58:15","slug":"ziemassvetku-davana-cenu-limena-kritums-decembri","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/104598\/","title":{"rendered":"Ziemassv\u0113tku d\u0101vana \u2013 cenu l\u012bme\u0146a kritums decembr\u012b"},"content":{"rendered":"

Oskars Niks M\u0101lnieks, Swedbank ekonomists<\/p>\n

\"Ziemassv\u0113tku<\/a><\/p>\n

Notikumiem gana bag\u0101tais gads infl\u0101cijas pasaul\u0113 nosl\u0113dzies sal\u012bdzino\u0161i mier\u012bgi. Jaun\u0101kie Centr\u0101l\u0101s statistikas p\u0101rvaldes dati liecina, ka vid\u0113jais pat\u0113ri\u0146a cenu l\u012bmenis decembr\u012b nedaudz sarucis (-0,1%, sal\u012bdzinot ar novembri). Pret decembri 2024. gad\u0101 cenas pieaugu\u0161as par 3,5%. Attiec\u012bgi p\u0113rn infl\u0101cija vid\u0113ji sasniegusi 3,7% atz\u012bmi, kas ir krietni virs 2024. gad\u0101 nov\u0113rotajiem 1,3%.<\/p>\n

Decembr\u012b, papildus ierastaj\u0101m sezon\u0101laj\u0101m cenu sv\u0101rst\u012bb\u0101m, negaid\u012bti liela noz\u012bme bija tie\u0161i akcij\u0101m. Ja t\u0101s p\u0101rtikas produktiem nav nek\u0101ds retums un teju katru m\u0113nesi sv\u0101rsta infl\u0101cijas datus, tad alkohola cenu l\u012bme\u0146a kritums par 3,3%, sal\u012bdzin\u0101jum\u0101 ar novembri, ir liel\u0101kais nov\u0113rojumu v\u0113stur\u0113. Sal\u012bdzinot ar decembri p\u0113rn, alkohols vid\u0113ji bija par 4,6% l\u0113t\u0101ks, sp\u012bt\u0113jot akc\u012bzes k\u0101pumam mart\u0101. \u0160eit j\u0101secina, ka august\u0101 ieviestie alkohola tirdzniec\u012bbas ierobe\u017eojumi mazumtirgot\u0101jiem un ra\u017eot\u0101jiem visdr\u012bz\u0101k ietekm\u0113 piepras\u012bjumu, jo mudin\u0101ju\u0161i tirgot\u0101jus b\u016btiski mazin\u0101t cenas.<\/p>\n

Jau iepriek\u0161 bija skaidrs, ka infl\u0101cija 2025. gad\u0101 Latvij\u0101 nenotur\u0113sies tik zem\u0101 l\u012bmen\u012b k\u0101 2024. gad\u0101 un ar\u012b p\u0101rsniegs ECB k\u0101roto 2% etalonu. Latvijai, k\u0101 ekonomikai, kas v\u0113l tiecas uz ES vid\u0113jo l\u012bmeni gan IKP, gan atalgojuma zi\u0146\u0101, vesel\u012bgas infl\u0101cijas apm\u0113rs ir ap 3%. Tom\u0113r p\u0113rn infl\u0101cija bija ne tikai strauj\u0101ka par eiro zonas m\u0113r\u0137i, bet ar\u012b strauj\u0101ka nek\u0101 Latvij\u0101 ilgtermi\u0146\u0101 vid\u0113ji v\u0113rots (2,7%). Turkl\u0101t ba\u017e\u012bgas (\u012bpa\u0161i zemo ien\u0101kumu) m\u0101jsaimniec\u012bbas dar\u012bja fakts, ka viens no galvenajiem dzinu\u013ciem bija strauj\u0161 p\u0101rtikas cenu k\u0101pums.<\/p>\n

Raksts turpin\u0101s p\u0113c rekl\u0101mas<\/p>\n

P\u0113rn p\u0101rtikas un bezalkoholisko dz\u0113rienu infl\u0101cija teju visu gadu p\u0101rliecino\u0161i notur\u0113j\u0101s virs 5% atz\u012bmes (2024. gad\u0101 ap 2,8%). K\u0101du da\u013cu no nov\u0113rot\u0101 cenu l\u012bme\u0146a k\u0101puma var\u0113j\u0101m skaidrot ar pasaules tirgos notieko\u0161o (piem\u0113ram, kafijas straujo cenu k\u0101pumu, c\u016bku m\u0113ri Eirop\u0101), citu \u2013 ar notur\u012bgo algu izaugsmi un ne tik veiksm\u012bgo pa\u0161m\u0101ju ra\u017eas sezonu. Tom\u0113r viet\u0113jo anal\u012bti\u0137u uzman\u012bbas centr\u0101 non\u0101ca ar ekonomiskajiem procesiem neizskaidrojam\u0101 infl\u0101cijas komponente. Ekonomikas ministrija ar atsevi\u0161\u0137iem mazumtirgot\u0101jiem parakst\u012bja memorandu ar amb\u012bciju nodro\u0161in\u0101t zemo cenu pre\u010du grozu veikalos. Nav pietiekami detaliz\u0113tu datu, lai pilnv\u0113rt\u012bgi un viennoz\u012bm\u012bgi analiz\u0113tu memoranda ietekmi. Iesp\u0113jams, ka b\u016btisk\u0101ka ietekme uz p\u0101rtikas cen\u0101m ilgtermi\u0146\u0101 b\u016bs p\u0113rn v\u0113rotajai akt\u012bv\u0101kajai r\u012bc\u012bbai no Konkurences padomes puses. Prognoz\u0113jam, ka p\u0101rtikas infl\u0101cija \u0161ogad visdr\u012bz\u0101k b\u016bs l\u0113n\u0101ka nek\u0101 p\u0113rn \u2013 tirgus apskatnieki prognoz\u0113, ka glob\u0101l\u0101s p\u0101rtikas cenas var\u0113tu mazin\u0101ties, un ar\u012b PVN samazin\u0101\u0161ana j\u016blij\u0101 atsevi\u0161\u0137\u0101m p\u0101rtikas produktu grup\u0101m uz neilgu laiku sniegs mazu veldzi p\u0101rtikas un kop\u0113jai infl\u0101cijai.<\/p>\n

Stop kr\u0101nu gr\u016bt\u0101k iedarbin\u0101t otrajai b\u016btiskajai kop\u0113j\u0101 cenu l\u012bme\u0146a pieauguma komponentei \u2013 pakalpojumu infl\u0101cijai. Galvenais iemesls, bez p\u0101rsteigumiem, ir notur\u012bgais algu k\u0101pums. No vienas puses, augo\u0161as algas ir laba zi\u0146a, jo t\u0101s turpina stiprin\u0101t iedz\u012bvot\u0101ju pirktsp\u0113ju, ta\u010du no otras \u2013 algu k\u0101pums turpina uztur\u0113t aug\u0161upv\u0113rstu spiedienu uz pre\u010du un \u012bpa\u0161i \u2013 pakalpojumu cen\u0101m. Iepriek\u0161 duso\u0161ais m\u0101jsaimniec\u012bbu pat\u0113ri\u0146\u0161, plicin\u0101jis uz\u0146\u0113mumu pe\u013c\u0146as mar\u017eas, t\u0101p\u0113c priv\u0101taj\u0101 sektor\u0101 algu k\u0101pums turpin\u0101s l\u0113n\u0101m rimt.<\/p>\n

\u0160\u012b gada pirmaj\u0101 pus\u0113 infl\u0101cija, visticam\u0101k, p\u0101rsvar\u0101 saglab\u0101sies virs 3% atz\u012bmes. PVN samazin\u0101jums atsevi\u0161\u0137iem p\u0101rtikas produktiem un ierastie sezon\u0101lie procesi pamaz\u0101m skald\u012bs infl\u0101cijas aisbergu, \u013caujot tai \u0161ogad vid\u0113ji sasniegt 3,0% un n\u0101kamgad nosl\u012bd\u0113t v\u0113l nedaudz zem\u0101k.<\/p>\n

Interes\u0113 \u0161\u012b t\u0113ma? S\u0101c sekot \u0161iem atsl\u0113gas v\u0101rdiem un sa\u0146em pazi\u0146ojumus, kad ir pieejams jauns saturs!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Oskars Niks M\u0101lnieks, Swedbank ekonomists Notikumiem gana bag\u0101tais gads infl\u0101cijas pasaul\u0113 nosl\u0113dzies sal\u012bdzino\u0161i mier\u012bgi. Jaun\u0101kie Centr\u0101l\u0101s statistikas p\u0101rvaldes…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":104599,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[23,28,29,32,33,22,30,31,35,39,38,36,37,34,40,20,26,27,24,25,21],"class_list":{"0":"post-104598","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-latvija","8":"tag-aktualitates","9":"tag-breaking-news","10":"tag-breakingnews","11":"tag-featured-news","12":"tag-featurednews","13":"tag-headlines","14":"tag-latest-news","15":"tag-latestnews","16":"tag-latvia","17":"tag-latvian","18":"tag-latviesu","19":"tag-latviesu-valoda","20":"tag-latviesuvaloda","21":"tag-latvija","22":"tag-lv","23":"tag-news","24":"tag-popularakas-zinas","25":"tag-popularakaszinas","26":"tag-top-stories","27":"tag-topstories","28":"tag-zinas"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lv\/115894517961976906","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104598","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=104598"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/104598\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/104599"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=104598"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=104598"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=104598"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}