Finansi\u0101l\u0101s prognozes un riski<\/p>\n
Lai gan prognozes par m\u0101ksl\u012bg\u0101 intelekta (MI) att\u012bst\u012bbu sv\u0101rst\u0101s no utopisk\u0101m v\u012bzij\u0101m l\u012bdz nozaru sabrukumam, jaun\u0101k\u0101s anal\u012bzes nor\u0101da uz konkr\u0113tu finansi\u0101lu izaicin\u0101jumu, ar ko var saskarties uz\u0146\u0113mums OpenAI. Saska\u0146\u0101 ar pag\u0101ju\u0161aj\u0101 gad\u0101 public\u0113tu \u0101r\u0113jo zi\u0146ojumu, bija paredzams, ka OpenAI 2025. gad\u0101 \u00absadedzin\u0101s\u00bb 8 miljardus dol\u0101ru, bet l\u012bdz 2028. gadam \u0161is apjoms var\u0113tu pieaugt l\u012bdz 40 miljardiem dol\u0101ru. \u0145emot v\u0113r\u0101, ka uz\u0146\u0113mums, p\u0113c zi\u0146ojumiem, prognoz\u0113 rentabilit\u0101ti tikai ap 2030. gadu, finan\u0161u apr\u0113\u0137ini izskat\u0101s satrauco\u0161i.<\/p>\n
Situ\u0101ciju v\u0113l vair\u0101k sare\u017e\u0123\u012b OpenAI pl\u0101ni par datu centru izb\u016bvi, kuru izmaksas tiek l\u0113stas ap 1,4 triljoniem dol\u0101ru. K\u0101 atz\u012bm\u0113 ekonomists no Starptautisko attiec\u012bbu padomes (Council on Foreign Relations) Sebastians Mallabi, pat ja s\u0101kotn\u0113j\u0101s prognozes tiks p\u0101rskat\u012btas, uz\u0146\u0113mumam joproj\u0101m b\u016bs j\u0101p\u0101rvar iev\u0113rojama finansi\u0101la kr\u012bze.<\/p>\n
Milzu izmaksas un nenoteikt\u0101 n\u0101kotne<\/p>\n
Mallabi nav vien\u012bgais, kur\u0161 paudis ba\u017eas. Ar\u012b konsult\u0101ciju firmas Bain & Company pag\u0101ju\u0161\u0101 gada zi\u0146ojum\u0101 tika nor\u0101d\u012bts, ka pat optimistik\u0101kaj\u0101 scen\u0101rij\u0101 MI industrij\u0101 kopum\u0101 paliek vismaz \u00abmelna bedre\u00bb 800 miljardu dol\u0101ru apm\u0113r\u0101. Finan\u0161u eksperts uzsver, ka galvenais jaut\u0101jums nav par MI tehnolo\u0123isko nostiprin\u0101\u0161anos, bet gan par t\u0101 izstr\u0101des ekonomisk\u0101s j\u0113gpiln\u012bbas vid\u0113j\u0101 un ilgtermi\u0146\u0101.<\/p>\n
\u00abTeor\u0113tiski investoriem vajadz\u0113tu \u00abuzb\u016bv\u0113t tiltu\u00bb starp jaunas tehnolo\u0123ijas par\u0101d\u012b\u0161anos un n\u0101kotnes pe\u013c\u0146u,\u00bb atz\u012bm\u0113 anal\u012bti\u0137is. Ta\u010du daudzas MI uz\u0146\u0113mumi patlaban t\u0113r\u0113 naudu krietni strauj\u0101k, nek\u0101 sp\u0113j rad\u012bt ie\u0146\u0113mumus. Jauniem sp\u0113l\u0113t\u0101jiem situ\u0101cija ir v\u0113l sare\u017e\u0123\u012bt\u0101ka nek\u0101 \u00abvecajiem\u00bb uz\u0146\u0113mumiem k\u0101 Microsoft vai Meta, kuriem pirms MI par\u0101d\u012b\u0161an\u0101s jau bija ienes\u012bgi biznesi un kuri var at\u013cauties gaid\u012bt, l\u012bdz \u0161\u012bs tehnolo\u0123ijas s\u0101ks nest pe\u013c\u0146u.<\/p>\n
Lietot\u0101ju paradumi un finans\u0113juma \u00aburoboross\u00bb<\/p>\n
P\u0113c Mallabi teikt\u0101, liel\u0101k\u0101 da\u013ca lietot\u0101ju izmanto bezmaksas MI pakalpojumus un bez vilcin\u0101\u0161an\u0101s piev\u0113r\u0161as konkurentiem, ja ierastie r\u012bki s\u0101k pied\u0101v\u0101t rekl\u0101mas vai lieto\u0161anas ierobe\u017eojumus. \u0160o tendenci apstiprina pla\u0161ais pieejamo alternat\u012bvu kl\u0101sts da\u017e\u0101diem uzdevumiem.<\/p>\n
Mallabi ar\u012b atzin\u012bgi nov\u0113rt\u0113 OpenAI \u0123ener\u0101ldirektora Sema Altmana sp\u0113ju piesaist\u012bt 40 miljardus dol\u0101ru invest\u012bciju \u2013 summa, kas ir liel\u0101ka par jebkuru citu priv\u0101to finans\u0113juma k\u0101rtu v\u0113stur\u0113, pat apsteidzot Saudi Aramco 30 miljardus dol\u0101ru. At\u0161\u0137ir\u012bba ir t\u0101da, ka Saudi Aramco, l\u012bdz\u012bgi k\u0101 citi uz\u0146\u0113mumi p\u0113c s\u0101kotn\u0113j\u0101 publisk\u0101 pied\u0101v\u0101juma (IPO), jau bija izstr\u0101d\u0101ta biznesa modelis un rentabilit\u0101te \u2013 elementi, kas OpenAI pagaid\u0101m tr\u016bkst.<\/p>\n
MI finan\u0161u \u00aburoboross\u00bb izskat\u0101s gatavs \u00absako\u017e\u013cot savu asti\u00bb, ta\u010du past\u0101v arguments, ka zud\u012bsies tikai jaun\u0101k\u0101 da\u013ca. T\u0101d\u0101 gad\u012bjum\u0101 b\u016btu ironiski, ja MI tirgus zaud\u0113tu vienu vai vair\u0101kus sp\u0113l\u0113t\u0101jus, kas st\u0101v\u0113ju\u0161i pie t\u0101 pirms\u0101kumiem. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Finansi\u0101l\u0101s prognozes un riski Lai gan prognozes par m\u0101ksl\u012bg\u0101 intelekta (MI) att\u012bst\u012bbu sv\u0101rst\u0101s no utopisk\u0101m v\u012bzij\u0101m l\u012bdz nozaru…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":109162,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[8333,77,76,333,35,39,38,36,37,34,40,87,1463,25894],"class_list":{"0":"post-109529","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-bizness","8":"tag-analize","9":"tag-bizness","10":"tag-business","11":"tag-finansejums","12":"tag-latvia","13":"tag-latvian","14":"tag-latviesu","15":"tag-latviesu-valoda","16":"tag-latviesuvaloda","17":"tag-latvija","18":"tag-lv","19":"tag-maksligais-intelekts","20":"tag-openai","21":"tag-riskanti"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lv\/115927874414391585","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/109529","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=109529"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/109529\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/109162"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=109529"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=109529"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=109529"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}