Swedbank: Latvijas ekonomika 2025. gad\u0101 sasniegusi 1,7% izaugsmi, neskatoties uz neskaidr\u012bb\u0101m<\/p>\n
Neskatoties uz augsto neskaidr\u012bbu un glob\u0101l\u0101s tirdzniec\u012bbas sasp\u012bl\u0113jumiem 2025. gad\u0101, Latvijas ekonomika ir demonstr\u0113jusi notur\u012bbu, uzr\u0101dot 1,7% pieaugumu p\u0113c ilgsto\u0161as stagn\u0101cijas. \u0160is sasniegums ir apsveicams gan darba dev\u0113jiem, gan darba \u0146\u0113m\u0113jiem, radot optimistisk\u0101ku skat\u012bjumu uz tautsaimniec\u012bbas att\u012bst\u012bbu. Tom\u0113r gada s\u0101kums atnesis jaunu \u0123eopolitisko turbulenci un draudus tirdzniec\u012bbas kariem, kas var rad\u012bt papildu izaicin\u0101jumus.<\/p>\n
Izaicin\u0101jumi un izaugsmes virz\u012bt\u0101ji<\/p>\n
Lai gan pasaules tirdzniec\u012bbu kav\u0113jo\u0161ie tarifu kari samazin\u0101ja ar\u012b Latvijas eksporta izaugsmes iesp\u0113jas, iek\u0161\u0113jais piepras\u012bjums ir k\u013cuvis par galveno ekonomikas izaugsmes balstu. “Swedbank” ekonomikas apskat\u0101 nor\u0101d\u012bts, ka pakalpojumu eksports un kredit\u0113\u0161anas temps gada s\u0101kum\u0101 strauji palielin\u0101j\u0101s, k\u0101 ar\u012b apstr\u0101des r\u016bpniec\u012bba uzr\u0101d\u012bja izaugsmi. Tom\u0113r kopum\u0101 IKP att\u012bst\u012bba bijusi nedaudz v\u0101j\u0101ka nek\u0101 s\u0101kotn\u0113ji prognoz\u0113ts, un sagaid\u0101m\u0101 negat\u012bv\u0101 ietekme no tarifu kariem lika p\u0101rskat\u012bt izaugsmes prognozes. “Swedbank” s\u0101kotn\u0113ji prognoz\u0113ja 1,5% IKP pieaugumu 2025. gad\u0101, bet v\u0113l\u0101kais v\u0113rt\u0113jums liecina par 1,7% pieaugumu.<\/p>\n
Darba tirgus perspekt\u012bvas<\/p>\n
Darba tirgus situ\u0101cija Latvij\u0101 saglab\u0101jas stabila, ko raksturo ierobe\u017eots darbasp\u0113ka pied\u0101v\u0101jums un prognoz\u0113tais strauj\u0101ks algu k\u0101pums. “Swedbank” prognoz\u0113, ka algas pieaugs par 7,6% 2026. gad\u0101. Zems bezdarba l\u012bmenis un gr\u016bt\u012bbas atrast piem\u0113rotus darbiniekus liek uz\u0146\u0113m\u0113jiem pied\u0101v\u0101t augst\u0101kas darba algas, kas savuk\u0101rt veicina priv\u0101to pat\u0113ri\u0146u. Vienlaikus straujais darbasp\u0113ka izmaksu pieaugums rada izaicin\u0101jumus uz\u0146\u0113mumiem, un tas k\u013c\u016bst par galveno infl\u0101ciju palielino\u0161o faktoru.<\/p>\n
Infl\u0101cijas tendences un prognozes<\/p>\n
Infl\u0101cija Latvij\u0101 2025. gad\u0101 vid\u0113ji tiek prognoz\u0113ta 3,1% apm\u0113r\u0101, savuk\u0101rt 2026. gad\u0101 t\u0101 var\u0113tu sarukt l\u012bdz 2,7%. Tom\u0113r infl\u0101ciju paaugstino\u0161s faktors ir sp\u0113c\u012bg\u0101ks algu k\u0101pums, k\u0101 ar\u012b administrat\u012bvi regul\u0113jamo tarifu p\u0101rskat\u012b\u0161ana un vald\u012bbas l\u0113mumi. “Swedbank” prognoz\u0113, ka infl\u0101cija 2025. gadam ir nedaudz palielin\u0101ta l\u012bdz 3,9%, bet turpm\u0101kajos gados t\u0101 tiek prognoz\u0113ta 3-4% l\u012bmen\u012b.<\/p>\n
Invest\u012bciju vides att\u012bst\u012bba<\/p>\n
Lai gan \u0101r\u0113j\u0101s vides nenoteikt\u012bba un tarifu kari var\u0113tu negat\u012bvi ietekm\u0113t eksportu, invest\u012bcijas tiek prognoz\u0113tas k\u0101 viens no tautsaimniec\u012bbas atvese\u013co\u0161an\u0101s virz\u012bt\u0101jiem. Latvijas Invest\u012bciju un att\u012bst\u012bbas a\u0123ent\u016bra (LIAA) 2025. gad\u0101 piesaist\u012bjusi v\u0113sturiski liel\u0101ko invest\u012bciju apjomu \u2013 1,01 miljardu eiro. “Luminor Bank” galvenais ekonomists P\u0113teris Strauti\u0146\u0161 ir nov\u0113rt\u0113jis \u0161os rezult\u0101tus k\u0101 \u013coti iepriecino\u0161us un pozit\u012bvus, vienlaikus nor\u0101dot, ka vienm\u0113r ir iesp\u0113jams dar\u012bt vair\u0101k, \u012bpa\u0161i re\u0123ionu un straujas ekonomisk\u0101s izaugsmes kontekst\u0101. Tiek uzsv\u0113rts fokuss uz strat\u0113\u0123iski noz\u012bm\u012bgaj\u0101m nozar\u0113m un aizsardz\u012bbas jomas projektu \u012bsteno\u0161anu.<\/p>\n
N\u0101kotnes perspekt\u012bvas un riski<\/p>\n
2025. gads Latvijas ekonomikai ir bijis sare\u017e\u0123\u012bts, tom\u0113r veiksm\u012bgs, jo ir izdevies p\u0101rvar\u0113t iepriek\u0161\u0113jo gadu satricin\u0101jumus un pak\u0101peniski atgriezties pie izaugsmes. “Swedbank” prognozes liecina, ka 2026. gad\u0101 IKP izaugsme var\u0113tu uzlaboties l\u012bdz 2,5%, kad neskaidr\u012bba un procentu likmes var\u0113tu b\u016bt zem\u0101kas. Tom\u0113r augst\u0101 nenoteikt\u012bba un riski, kas saist\u012bti ar \u0123eopolitisko situ\u0101ciju un potenci\u0101liem tirdzniec\u012bbas konfliktiem, joproj\u0101m saglab\u0101jas un liek prognoz\u0113m b\u016bt lejupv\u0113rst\u0101m. Fisk\u0101l\u0101 politika sagaid\u0101ma atbalsto\u0161a, veicinot pat\u0113ri\u0146u un invest\u012bcijas, ko sekm\u0113s ar\u012b vald\u012bbas l\u0113mumi par papildu izdevumiem aizsardz\u012bbai.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Swedbank: Latvijas ekonomika 2025. gad\u0101 sasniegusi 1,7% izaugsmi, neskatoties uz neskaidr\u012bb\u0101m Neskatoties uz augsto neskaidr\u012bbu un glob\u0101l\u0101s tirdzniec\u012bbas…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":110664,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[77,76,4603,21084,550,35,39,38,36,37,34,1045,40,26085],"class_list":{"0":"post-110663","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-bizness","8":"tag-bizness","9":"tag-business","10":"tag-darba-tirgus","11":"tag-ikp-izaugsme","12":"tag-inflacija","13":"tag-latvia","14":"tag-latvian","15":"tag-latviesu","16":"tag-latviesu-valoda","17":"tag-latviesuvaloda","18":"tag-latvija","19":"tag-latvijas-ekonomika","20":"tag-lv","21":"tag-swedbank-prognoze"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lv\/115937425741105005","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110663","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=110663"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/110663\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/110664"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=110663"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=110663"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=110663"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}