Latvijas \u0100rpolitikas instit\u016bts prognoz\u0113 sare\u017e\u0123\u012btu 2026. gadu<\/p>\n
Latvijas \u0100rpolitikas instit\u016bts (L\u0100I) sagatavojis prognozes par 2026. gadu, uzsverot, ka valst\u012bm, tostarp Latvijai, ir j\u0101b\u016bt gatav\u0101m jebkuram att\u012bst\u012bbas scen\u0101rijam. K\u0101 zi\u0146o telekan\u0101ls TV3, instit\u016bta p\u0113t\u012bjum\u0101 par Latvijas \u0101r\u0113jo un dro\u0161\u012bbas politiku 2026. gad\u0101, ko redi\u0123\u0113 Una Aleksandra B\u0113rzi\u0146a-\u010cerenkova un K\u0101rlis Bukovskis, nor\u0101d\u012bts uz glob\u0101l\u0101s politikas main\u012bgumu un jaunas pasaules nek\u0101rt\u012bbas veido\u0161anos. Pag\u0101ju\u0161ais gads, 2025., tika raksturots k\u0101 sare\u017e\u0123\u012bts un neparedzams, kur notikumi main\u012bj\u0101s teju ik stundu. \u0160\u012b dinamika turpin\u0101sies, pieprasot pastiprin\u0101tu gatav\u012bbu no Latvijas.<\/p>\n
Glob\u0101l\u0101s un Eiropas dro\u0161\u012bbas izaicin\u0101jumi<\/p>\n
Satversmes aizsardz\u012bbas biroja (SAB) publiskotais 2025. gada darb\u012bbas p\u0101rskats atkl\u0101j, ka Krievijas rad\u012btie dro\u0161\u012bbas izaicin\u0101jumi Eirop\u0101 strauji pieaug, lai gan tie\u0161us milit\u0101rus draudus Latvijai pa\u0161laik nerada. Krievijas strat\u0113\u0123iskais m\u0113r\u0137is ir mazin\u0101t Rietumu ietekmi, pozicion\u0113jot sevi k\u0101 valsti, kas ir tie\u0161\u0101 konflikt\u0101 ar Rietumiem gan Ukrain\u0101, gan glob\u0101l\u0101 un ideolo\u0123isk\u0101 dimensij\u0101. \u0160\u012b draudu uztvere padara Eiropas dro\u0161\u012bbas situ\u0101ciju aizvien nestabil\u0101ku. Krievija turpina izmantot hibr\u012bdapdraud\u0113juma instrumentus un piel\u0101got jaunus, tostarp juridisko meh\u0101nismu izmanto\u0161anu, lai diskredit\u0113tu Latviju un rad\u012btu starptautisku spiedienu. Tiek prognoz\u0113ts, ka Krievija saglab\u0101s milit\u0101ru spiedienu pret kaimi\u0146valst\u012bm un NATO, un t\u0101s ekonomikas militariz\u0101cija turpin\u0101sies pat p\u0113c kara Ukrain\u0101 izbeig\u0161anas. Lai gan Latvijai tie\u0161u milit\u0101ru draudu nav, sabiedrotie uzsver nepiecie\u0161am\u012bbu stiprin\u0101t Latvijas dro\u0161\u012bbu un NATO sp\u0113ku kl\u0101tb\u016btni re\u0123ion\u0101. \u0100rlietu ministre Baiba Bra\u017ee uzsv\u0113rusi, ka Krievija ir ilgtermi\u0146a drauds eiroatlantiskajai dro\u0161\u012bbai, un Latvija turpin\u0101s izdar\u012bt maksim\u0101lu spiedienu uz Krieviju, lai pan\u0101ktu mieru caur sp\u0113ku, \u012bpa\u0161i izmantojot sankcijas. Vi\u0146a ar\u012b nor\u0101d\u012bja, ka Latvija, esot ANO Dro\u0161\u012bbas padom\u0113, izmantos \u0161o platformu, lai atsp\u0113kotu Krievijas dezinform\u0101ciju un izceltu Krievijas agresiju pret Ukrainu. Eiropas perspekt\u012bvas 2026. gad\u0101 ir sare\u017e\u0123\u012btas; tiek prognoz\u0113ts, ka Eiropas ekonomika saskarsies ar struktur\u0101liem spiedieniem, ko rad\u012bs augsts valstu par\u0101ds, l\u0113na produktivit\u0101tes izaugsme un demogr\u0101fisk\u0101 noveco\u0161an\u0101s. Papildus tam Eiropas r\u016bpniec\u012bba ciet\u012bs no augst\u0101m ener\u0123ijas izmaks\u0101m un konkurences no cit\u0101m pasaules valst\u012bm. Lai gan ASV un da\u013ca \u0100zijas valstu prognoz\u0113 dinamiski augst\u0101ku izaugsmi, Eiropai b\u016bs gr\u016bts piel\u0101go\u0161an\u0101s periods.<\/p>\n
Latvijas ekonomikas perspekt\u012bvas 2026. gad\u0101<\/p>\n
Par sp\u012bti glob\u0101lajiem izaicin\u0101jumiem, Latvijas ekonomikas perspekt\u012bvas 2026. gad\u0101 tiek v\u0113rt\u0113tas k\u0101 m\u0113reni pozit\u012bvas. P\u0113c 2025. gada stagn\u0101cijas prognoz\u0113ts, ka iek\u0161zemes kopprodukta (IKP) pieaugums sasniegs aptuveni 2,0%, samazinoties izaugsmes at\u0161\u0137ir\u012bbai ar Lietuvu, kas joproj\u0101m saglab\u0101s lab\u0101kus izaugsmes tempus (ap 2,5%). Igaunijas IKP pieaugums prognoz\u0113ts l\u012bdz\u012bgs Latvijas \u2013 ap 2,0\u20132,3%. Tiek prognoz\u0113ts, ka bezdarba l\u012bmenis saglab\u0101sies v\u0113sturiski zems, radot izaicin\u0101jumus darba tirg\u016b, kas var\u0113tu rosin\u0101t diskusijas par imigr\u0101cijas politikas mai\u0146u un darba tirgus atv\u0113r\u0161anu \u0101rvalstu darba \u0146\u0113m\u0113jiem. Gaid\u0101ms bruto algu pieaugums par aptuveni 6%, kas, paliekot zem\u0101kai infl\u0101cijai (ap 2%), uzlabos iedz\u012bvot\u0101ju pirktsp\u0113ju un stimul\u0113s iek\u0161\u0113jo pat\u0113ri\u0146u. Tom\u0113r j\u0101\u0146em v\u0113r\u0101 ar\u012b riski: ekonomikas atkar\u012bba no eksporta uz V\u0101ciju, kas pati saskaras ar struktur\u0101l\u0101m gr\u016bt\u012bb\u0101m, un nezi\u0146a par ASV tarifu ietekmi. Latvijas valsts bud\u017eets 2026.\u20132028. gadam pl\u0101nots ar defic\u012btu 3,3% apm\u0113r\u0101 no IKP, galvenok\u0101rt prioritiz\u0113jot aizsardz\u012bbas un dro\u0161\u012bbas jomu, ko at\u013cauj ES fisk\u0101lie nosac\u012bjumi. Vienlaikus paredz\u0113ti izdevumu samazin\u0101jumi cit\u0101s jom\u0101s, lai gan pl\u0101nots iev\u0113rojams \u0101r\u0113j\u0101 par\u0101da apkalpo\u0161anas izdevumu pieaugums.<\/p>\n
Politisk\u0101s un soci\u0101l\u0101s p\u0101rmai\u0146as<\/p>\n
2026. gad\u0101 pl\u0101nots ieviest b\u016btiskas soci\u0101l\u0101s jomas p\u0101rmai\u0146as, tostarp palielin\u0101tus pabalstus b\u0113rniem un aud\u017eu\u0123imen\u0113m, preciz\u0113t pensiju apr\u0113\u0137inus un soci\u0101l\u0101s apdro\u0161in\u0101\u0161anas sist\u0113mu. T\u0101pat paredz\u0113ts minim\u0101l\u0101s algas palielin\u0101jums, lai uzlabotu iedz\u012bvot\u0101ju dz\u012bves l\u012bmeni un stiprin\u0101tu soci\u0101lo dro\u0161\u012bbu. Tom\u0113r politisk\u0101 vide Latvij\u0101 joproj\u0101m saskaras ar izaicin\u0101jumiem. Nesaska\u0146ot\u012bbas \u0101rpolitikas jaut\u0101jumos, piem\u0113ram, attiec\u012bb\u0101 uz v\u0113stuli par ASV prezidenta Donalda Trampa Nobela Miera pr\u0113mijas kandidat\u016bru, liecina par politisk\u0101s elites sa\u0161\u0137elt\u012bbu un vienot\u012bbas tr\u016bkumu strat\u0113\u0123isko m\u0113r\u0137u defin\u0113\u0161an\u0101. Biju\u0161ais Saeimas priek\u0161s\u0113d\u0113t\u0101js Edvards Smilt\u0113ns nor\u0101d\u012bjis, ka \u0161\u0101da r\u012bc\u012bba bez pla\u0161\u0101kas saska\u0146o\u0161anas rada nevajadz\u012bgas skaidro\u0161an\u0101s un par\u0101da nesp\u0113ju vienoties par kop\u012bgiem strat\u0113\u0123iskiem m\u0113r\u0137iem, kas ir \u012bpa\u0161i svar\u012bgi valst\u012bm ar sare\u017e\u0123\u012btu \u0123eopolitisko st\u0101vokli. Savuk\u0101rt biju\u0161ais Valsts prezidents Egils Levits pau\u017e, ka Eiropai ir potenci\u0101ls k\u013c\u016bt par vienu no pasaules sp\u0113ka centriem, ta\u010du tas prasa radik\u0101las izmai\u0146as \u0101rpolitik\u0101 un gatav\u012bbu st\u0101ties pret\u012b agres\u012bviem, autokr\u0101tiskiem re\u017e\u012bmiem, p\u0101rejot no skat\u012bt\u0101ja lomas uz akt\u012bva sp\u0113l\u0113t\u0101ja lomu pasaules politik\u0101.<\/p>\n
Nobeigums: gatav\u012bba neparedz\u0113tajam<\/p>\n
Latvijas \u0100rpolitikas instit\u016bta prognozes 2026. gadam uzsver nepiecie\u0161am\u012bbu p\u0113c nep\u0101rtrauktas gatav\u012bbas jebkuram scen\u0101rijam, rea\u0123\u0113jot uz glob\u0101l\u0101s politikas un dro\u0161\u012bbas vides main\u012bgumu. Gan starptautiskaj\u0101 ar\u0113n\u0101, gan iek\u0161politik\u0101 Latvija saskarsies ar da\u017e\u0101diem izaicin\u0101jumiem, s\u0101kot no dro\u0161\u012bbas politikas l\u012bdz ekonomikas att\u012bst\u012bbai un soci\u0101laj\u0101m p\u0101rmai\u0146\u0101m. Pa\u0161reiz\u0113j\u0101 nestabil\u0101 situ\u0101cij\u0101 ir svar\u012bgi saglab\u0101t politisko vienot\u012bbu un strat\u0113\u0123isku skat\u012bjumu, lai veiksm\u012bgi virz\u012btos uz priek\u0161u un nodro\u0161in\u0101tu valsts un t\u0101s iedz\u012bvot\u0101ju labkl\u0101j\u012bbu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Latvijas \u0100rpolitikas instit\u016bts prognoz\u0113 sare\u017e\u0123\u012btu 2026. gadu Latvijas \u0100rpolitikas instit\u016bts (L\u0100I) sagatavojis prognozes par 2026. gadu, uzsverot, ka…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":115082,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[23,28,29,2760,32,33,26729,22,30,31,35,39,38,36,37,34,26728,1045,40,20,26,27,23077,24,25,21],"class_list":{"0":"post-115081","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-latvija","8":"tag-aktualitates","9":"tag-breaking-news","10":"tag-breakingnews","11":"tag-drosibas-politika","12":"tag-featured-news","13":"tag-featurednews","14":"tag-globala-situacija","15":"tag-headlines","16":"tag-latest-news","17":"tag-latestnews","18":"tag-latvia","19":"tag-latvian","20":"tag-latviesu","21":"tag-latviesu-valoda","22":"tag-latviesuvaloda","23":"tag-latvija","24":"tag-latvijas-arpolitikas-instituts","25":"tag-latvijas-ekonomika","26":"tag-lv","27":"tag-news","28":"tag-popularakas-zinas","29":"tag-popularakaszinas","30":"tag-prognozes-2026","31":"tag-top-stories","32":"tag-topstories","33":"tag-zinas"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lv\/115967624709524763","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/115081","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=115081"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/115081\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/115082"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=115081"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=115081"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=115081"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}