Strauj\u0161 kritums un masveida likvid\u0101cijas<\/p>\n
Pag\u0101ju\u0161aj\u0101 piektdien\u0101 Bitcoin piedz\u012bvoja strauju kritumu l\u012bdz 60 000 ASV dol\u0101ru atz\u012bmei, kas bija zem\u0101kais l\u012bmenis vair\u0101k nek\u0101 gada laik\u0101. \u0160is notikums izrais\u012bja aptuveni 2,6 miljardu dol\u0101ru v\u0113rtu kriptoval\u016btu likvid\u0101ciju, un ba\u017eu un alkt\u012bbas indekss (Fear and Greed Index) nokrit\u0101s zem 9 punktiem. Tom\u0113r l\u012bdz sestdienas vakaram Bitcoin v\u0113rt\u012bba jau bija atjaunojusies, un anal\u012bti\u0137i, neskatoties uz s\u0101kotn\u0113jo \u0161oku, neprognoz\u0113 katastrof\u0101lu scen\u0101riju.<\/p>\n
Dienas laik\u0101 Bitcoin zaud\u0113ja 17% v\u0113rt\u012bbas, bet ned\u0113\u013cas laik\u0101 kritums sasniedza 23,2%. P\u0113d\u0113jo reizi \u0161\u0101di v\u0113rt\u012bbas samazin\u0101jumi tika re\u0123istr\u0113ti 2025. gada ruden\u012b. \u0160\u012b cenu sv\u0101rst\u012bba izrais\u012bja vair\u0101k nek\u0101 2,1 miljarda dol\u0101ru ilgtermi\u0146a poz\u012bciju (longs) likvid\u0101ciju, savuk\u0101rt \u012bstermi\u0146a poz\u012bciju (\u0161orts) tur\u0113t\u0101ji zaud\u0113ja v\u0113l 468 miljonus dol\u0101ru. Visvair\u0101k likvid\u0101ciju tika fiks\u0113ts tie\u0161i Bitcoin\u0101 \u2013 1,34 miljardi dol\u0101ru. Tam sekoja Ethereum ar vair\u0101k nek\u0101 560 miljoniem dol\u0101ru un Solana ar aptuveni 189 miljoniem dol\u0101ru. Kopum\u0101 diennakts laik\u0101 cieta vair\u0101k nek\u0101 570 000 tirgot\u0101ju, un liel\u0101k\u0101 atsevi\u0161\u0137\u0101 likvid\u0101cijas orderis p\u0101rsniedza 12 miljonus dol\u0101ru.<\/p>\n
Liel\u0101k\u0101s klienti zaud\u0113jumus re\u0123istr\u0113ja t\u0101das bir\u017eas k\u0101 Bybit (670 miljoni dol\u0101ru), Hyperliquid (630 miljoni dol\u0101ru) un Binance (406 miljoni dol\u0101ru). Bitcoin tirgus kapitaliz\u0101cija samazin\u0101j\u0101s l\u012bdz 1,29 triljoniem dol\u0101ru, bet visa kriptoval\u016btu tirgus kapitaliz\u0101cija \u2013 l\u012bdz 2,23 triljoniem dol\u0101ru. Paral\u0113li tam, lielie Bitcoin maki ar atlikumiem no 10 l\u012bdz 10 000 BTC asto\u0146\u0101s dien\u0101s p\u0101rdeva 81 068 Bitcoin par 5,3 miljardiem dol\u0101ru.<\/p>\n
Anal\u012bti\u0137u skat\u012bjums un makroekonomiskie faktori<\/p>\n
Anal\u012bti\u0137i kritumu skaidro ar makroekonomisko faktoru, sviras (leverage) samazin\u0101\u0161anas un \u0101rpus tirgus spiediena kombin\u0101ciju. K33 Research nor\u0101da, ka, lai gan dinamika atg\u0101dina 2018. un 2022. gada notikumus, 80% krituma scen\u0101rijs no p\u012b\u0137a ir maz ticams. Kop\u0161 2025. gada oktobra augst\u0101k\u0101 punkta jeb aptuveni 126 000 dol\u0101ru, Bitcoin ir samazin\u0101jies aptuveni par 40%. <\/p>\n
JPMorgan saglab\u0101 ilgtermi\u0146a pozit\u012bvu skat\u012bjumu un prognoz\u0113 266 000 dol\u0101ru atz\u012bmi, vienlaikus atz\u012bstot, ka t\u0101 tuv\u0101k\u0101 gada laik\u0101 nav sasniedzama. “Apst\u0101k\u013cos, kad noska\u0146ojums kriptoval\u016btu tirg\u016b ir tuvu v\u0113sturiskajiem minimumiem \u2013 un aptuveni l\u012bme\u0146os, kur kriptoval\u016btu tirgus veidojis dibenu 2018. un 2022. gad\u0101, rodas iespaids, ka iev\u0113rojama da\u013ca slikto zi\u0146u jau ir iek\u013cauta cen\u0101,” atz\u012bm\u0113 Bitwise galvenais inform\u0101cijas tehnolo\u0123iju speci\u0101lists (CIO) Mets Haugan. <\/p>\n
Bloomberg vec\u0101kais ETF anal\u012bti\u0137is \u0112riks Bal\u010dunas koment\u0113ja: “\u0160\u012b ir nepat\u012bkam\u0101 paties\u012bba l\u0101\u010diem, heiteriem un panikas zi\u0146u virsrakstu veidot\u0101jiem attiec\u012bb\u0101 gan uz akcij\u0101m, gan Bitcoin. Abiem ir 100% nevainojama rekorda atgrie\u0161an\u0101s p\u0113c kritieniem, sasniedzot jaunus v\u0113sturiskos maksimumus. Iesp\u0113jams, \u0161oreiz viss ir cit\u0101di, bet pagaid\u0101m tas ir neapstr\u012bdams fakts.”<\/p>\n
\u0100tra atg\u016b\u0161an\u0101s un Finan\u0161u ministrijas nost\u0101ja<\/p>\n
P\u0113c krituma nekav\u0113joties sekoja v\u0113rt\u012bbas atg\u016b\u0161an\u0101s. 6. febru\u0101r\u012b pulksten 18:00 Bitcoin jau tirgoj\u0101s aptuveni 69 000 dol\u0101ru v\u0113rt\u012bb\u0101, atg\u016bstot 14% jeb apm\u0113ram 8 500 dol\u0101ru maz\u0101k nek\u0101 14 stund\u0101s. Kop\u0161 krituma s\u0101kuma tirgus kapitaliz\u0101cija ir pieaugusi par 270 miljoniem dol\u0101ru, un 185 miljonu dol\u0101ru v\u0113rt\u012bb\u0101 tika likvid\u0113tas \u0161ortu poz\u012bcijas.<\/p>\n
\u0160aj\u0101 kontekst\u0101 ASV Finan\u0161u ministrija pazi\u0146oja, ka tai nav pilnvaru atbalst\u012bt Bitcoin kursu vai piespiest bankas invest\u0113t BTC. Finan\u0161u ministrija uzsv\u0113ra, ka valsts konfisc\u0113tie aptuveni 15 miljardu dol\u0101ru v\u0113rt\u012bb\u0101 eso\u0161ie Bitcoin nav bud\u017eeta l\u012bdzek\u013ci un netiks izmantoti tirgus stabiliz\u0113\u0161anai.<\/p>\n
N\u0101kotnes prognozes un tirgus noska\u0146ojums<\/p>\n
Saska\u0146\u0101 ar datiem no Alternative.me, ba\u017eu un alkt\u012bbas indekss nokrit\u0101s l\u012bdz zem\u0101kajam l\u012bmenim kop\u0161 2022. gada j\u016bnija. \u0160obr\u012bd, 9. febru\u0101r\u012b, galvenais jaut\u0101jums tirgum joproj\u0101m ir atkl\u0101ts: vai 60 000 dol\u0101ru atz\u012bme bija lok\u0101ls zem\u0101kais punkts, vai ar\u012b tirgus sv\u0101rst\u012bbas v\u0113l nav beigu\u0161\u0101s.<\/p>\n
Tom\u0113r l\u012bdz \u0161im notikus\u012b atg\u016b\u0161an\u0101s liecina, ka paniku ir nomain\u012bjusi piesardz\u012bga stabiliz\u0101cija, bet prognozes \u2013 attur\u012bgs optimisms. Raksta tap\u0161anas br\u012bd\u012b Bitcoin tika tirgots par aptuveni 70 000 dol\u0101ru.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Strauj\u0161 kritums un masveida likvid\u0101cijas Pag\u0101ju\u0161aj\u0101 piektdien\u0101 Bitcoin piedz\u012bvoja strauju kritumu l\u012bdz 60 000 ASV dol\u0101ru atz\u012bmei, kas…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":126253,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[16],"tags":[4234,77,76,5022,3351,35,39,38,36,37,34,6613,40,5543],"class_list":["post-128150","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-bizness","tag-bitcoin","tag-bizness","tag-business","tag-finansu-tirgus","tag-kriptovalutu-tirgus","tag-latvia","tag-latvian","tag-latviesu","tag-latviesu-valoda","tag-latviesuvaloda","tag-latvija","tag-likvidacijas","tag-lv","tag-tirgus-analize"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lv\/116051190999760775","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/128150","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=128150"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/128150\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/126253"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=128150"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=128150"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=128150"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}