Konflikta ietekme uz Latvijas ekonomiku<\/p>\n
Konflikts Tuvajos Austrumos, \u012bpa\u0161i att\u012bstoties notikumiem Ir\u0101n\u0101, rada ba\u017eas par t\u0101 iesp\u0113jamo ietekmi uz Latvijas un visas eirozonas ekonomiku. Bankas “Citadele” apr\u0113\u0137ini nor\u0101da, ka spriedzes ilgums re\u0123ion\u0101 tie\u0161i ietekm\u0113s ener\u0123ijas cenas, infl\u0101ciju, iedz\u012bvot\u0101ju pirktsp\u0113ju un ekonomikas kop\u0113jo izaugsmi.<\/p>\n
Ja konflikta eskal\u0101cija b\u016bs \u012bslaic\u012bga, Latvija var\u0113tu piedz\u012bvot vien m\u0113renu satricin\u0101jumu. Ta\u010du ilgsto\u0161s konflikts var rad\u012bt j\u016btamas sekas gan uz\u0146\u0113mumiem, gan m\u0101jsaimniec\u012bb\u0101m.<\/p>\n
Ener\u0123ijas cenas un infl\u0101cijas prognozes<\/p>\n
Galven\u0101 ietekme uz Latvijas ekonomiku sagaid\u0101ma caur ener\u0123ijas cenu k\u0101pumu. Klimata un ener\u0123\u0113tikas ministrijas (KEM) valsts sekret\u0101re L\u012bga Kurevska skaidro, ka notikumi Tuvajos Austrumos jau rad\u012bju\u0161i ba\u017eas par energoresursu pieg\u0101d\u0113m, un dro\u0161\u012bbas apsv\u0113rumu d\u0113\u013c aptur\u0113ta vair\u0101ku naftas un g\u0101zes ra\u017eo\u0161anas objektu darb\u012bba.<\/p>\n
Lai gan Eiropa arvien vair\u0101k pa\u013caujas uz pieg\u0101d\u0113m no Amerikas Savienotaj\u0101m Valst\u012bm un cit\u0101m valst\u012bm, Kataras sa\u0161\u0137idrin\u0101t\u0101s dabasg\u0101zes eksports veido aptuveni 8% no Eiropas importa. Papildu riski saist\u012bti ar ku\u0123o\u0161anas ierobe\u017eojumiem Hormuza \u0161aurum\u0101. Jau \u0161obr\u012bd v\u0113rojams naftas cenu pieaugums par aptuveni 10-15%, dabasg\u0101zes cenas Eirop\u0101 \u2013 par 30-40%, bet d\u012bze\u013cdegvielas cenas \u2013 par 20-30%.<\/p>\n
Latvijas Bankas apl\u0113ses liecina, ka g\u0101zes cenai pieaugot no 30 l\u012bdz 60 eiro par megavatstundu, infl\u0101cija Latvij\u0101 var\u0113tu palielin\u0101ties par aptuveni 1,5 procentpunktiem. Naftas cenu k\u0101puma ietekme uz infl\u0101ciju vid\u0113j\u0101 termi\u0146\u0101 var\u0113tu b\u016bt m\u0113ren\u0101ka, palielinot to par aptuveni 0,5 procentpunktiem.<\/p>\n
Ekonomikas izaugsmes un pirktsp\u0113jas izaicin\u0101jumi<\/p>\n
Ilgsto\u0161a konflikta gad\u012bjum\u0101 Eiropas dabasg\u0101zes cena var\u0113tu saglab\u0101ties paaugstin\u0101t\u0101 l\u012bmen\u012b, potenci\u0101li sasniedzot 90 eiro par megavatstundu. Tas atst\u0101tu ietekmi uz elektroener\u0123ijas cen\u0101m un siltumapg\u0101des tarifiem, radot pla\u0161\u0101kas makroekonomisk\u0101s sekas.<\/p>\n
Lai gan Latvijas ekonomikas izaugsmes prognozes 2026. gadam sv\u0101rst\u0101s ap 2,0-3,2%, \u0123eopolitisk\u0101 nenoteikt\u012bba ir viens no galvenajiem riskiem. Lai gan infl\u0101cijai nosl\u012bdot zem 2% robe\u017eas un alg\u0101m turpinot k\u0101pt, iedz\u012bvot\u0101ju pirktsp\u0113ja uzlabojas, infl\u0101cijas pieauguma risks, ko veicina ener\u0123ijas cenu k\u0101pums, var\u0113tu to mazin\u0101t.<\/p>\n
Samazin\u0101ts risks no Hormuza \u0161auruma sl\u0113g\u0161anas<\/p>\n
Lai gan past\u0101v ba\u017eas par ku\u0123o\u0161anas ierobe\u017eojumiem Hormuza \u0161aurum\u0101, Latvijas Bankas p\u0101rst\u0101vji nor\u0101da, ka \u012bslaic\u012bgas kust\u012bbas ierobe\u017eo\u0161anas gad\u012bjum\u0101 cenas var piedz\u012bvot straujas sv\u0101rst\u012bbas, bet relat\u012bvi \u0101tri stabiliz\u0113ties. Situ\u0101cijas stabiliz\u0113\u0161an\u0101 ir ieinteres\u0113ta ar\u012b \u0136\u012bna un ASV, kas apliecina gatav\u012bbu nodro\u0161in\u0101t ku\u0123o\u0161anas dro\u0161\u012bbu \u0161aurum\u0101.<\/p>\n
Kopum\u0101, ja konflikts Tuvajos Austrumos neieilgs, paredzams, ka b\u016btiska negat\u012bva ietekme uz Latvijas ekonomiku nav gaid\u0101ma. Tom\u0113r papildu riski saist\u012bti ar augst\u0101k\u0101m apdro\u0161in\u0101\u0161anas un transporta izmaks\u0101m, k\u0101 ar\u012b glob\u0101l\u0101 tirgus aiz\u0146em\u0161an\u0101s izmaksu pieaugumu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Konflikta ietekme uz Latvijas ekonomiku Konflikts Tuvajos Austrumos, \u012bpa\u0161i att\u012bstoties notikumiem Ir\u0101n\u0101, rada ba\u017eas par t\u0101 iesp\u0113jamo ietekmi…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":185442,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[5],"tags":[23,28,29,3949,13703,32,33,22,550,30,31,35,39,38,36,37,34,1045,40,20,26,27,24,25,32182,21],"class_list":["post-185441","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-aktualitates","tag-aktualitates","tag-breaking-news","tag-breakingnews","tag-citadele","tag-energijas-cenas","tag-featured-news","tag-featurednews","tag-headlines","tag-inflacija","tag-latest-news","tag-latestnews","tag-latvia","tag-latvian","tag-latviesu","tag-latviesu-valoda","tag-latviesuvaloda","tag-latvija","tag-latvijas-ekonomika","tag-lv","tag-news","tag-popularakas-zinas","tag-popularakaszinas","tag-top-stories","tag-topstories","tag-tuvo-austrumu-konflikts","tag-zinas"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lv\/116451646175201809","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/185441","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=185441"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/185441\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/185442"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=185441"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=185441"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=185441"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}