AAE atst\u0101j OPEC: Kas to veicin\u0101ja un k\u0101das ir sekas?<\/p>\n
Apvienotie Ar\u0101bu Emir\u0101ti (AAE) no 1. maija izst\u0101jas no Naftas eksport\u0113t\u0101jvalstu organiz\u0101cijas (OPEC) un t\u0101s papla\u0161in\u0101t\u0101 form\u0101ta OPEC+, izbeidzot gandr\u012bz 60 gadus ilgu dal\u012bbu \u0161aj\u0101s ietekm\u012bgaj\u0101s organiz\u0101cij\u0101s. \u0160\u0101ds l\u0113mums pie\u0146emts glob\u0101l\u0101s nestabilit\u0101tes un pieaugo\u0161\u0101 spiediena uz naftas pieg\u0101d\u0113m fon\u0101. Anal\u012bti\u0137i nor\u0101da, ka \u0161is solis var\u0113tu b\u016btiski ietekm\u0113t pasaules naftas tirgu un rad\u012bt jaunu sv\u0101rst\u012bbu vilni. AAE ir viens no liel\u0101kajiem naftas ra\u017eot\u0101jiem OPEC+ grup\u0101, un t\u0101s izst\u0101\u0161an\u0101s liek aizdom\u0101ties par organiz\u0101cijas turpm\u0101ko sp\u0113ju ietekm\u0113t glob\u0101lo naftas cenu noteik\u0161anu.<\/p>\n
Galvenie iemesli AAE l\u0113mumam ir v\u0113lme p\u0113c liel\u0101kas br\u012bv\u012bbas naftas ieguves palielin\u0101\u0161an\u0101, atsakoties no kvot\u0101m, kas, p\u0113c AAE dom\u0101m, ierobe\u017eo valsts ekonomisk\u0101s iesp\u0113jas. T\u0101pat AAE p\u0101rv\u0113rt\u0113 savas starptautisk\u0101s alianses, jo ir neapmierin\u0101ta ar da\u017eu starptautisko organiz\u0101ciju nesp\u0113ju efekt\u012bvi rea\u0123\u0113t uz konfliktiem, piem\u0113ram, karu Ir\u0101n\u0101 un spriedzi ap Hormuza \u0161aurumu. Valsts ener\u0123\u0113tikas ministrs Suhails Mohamed al-Mazrouei uzsv\u0113ris, ka nacion\u0101lajai naftas politikai, pirmk\u0101rt, ir j\u0101kalpo valsts interes\u0113m main\u012bgaj\u0101 vid\u0113.<\/p>\n
Naftas tirgus reakcija un prognozes<\/p>\n
AAE izst\u0101\u0161an\u0101s var\u0113tu rad\u012bt haosu un v\u0101jin\u0101t OPEC k\u0101 organiz\u0101cijas kop\u0113jo ietekmi, \u012bpa\u0161i Sa\u016bda Ar\u0101bijas k\u0101 neform\u0101l\u0101s l\u012bderes poz\u012bcijas. Lai gan AAE apgalvo, ka l\u0113mums nav saist\u012bts ar t\u016bl\u012bt\u0113ju ra\u017eo\u0161anas palielin\u0101\u0161anu, t\u0101 br\u012bv\u012bba no kvot\u0101m teor\u0113tiski \u013cauj palielin\u0101t ieguves apjomus, kas ilgtermi\u0146\u0101 var\u0113tu stabiliz\u0113t vai pat samazin\u0101t naftas cenas. Tom\u0113r situ\u0101ciju sare\u017e\u0123\u012b past\u0101v\u012bg\u0101 spriedze ap Hormuza \u0161aurumu, kas ir kritiski svar\u012bgs naftas un g\u0101zes pieg\u0101\u017eu mar\u0161ruts. Trauc\u0113jumi \u0161aj\u0101 re\u0123ion\u0101 jau rada spiedienu uz cen\u0101m, un OPEC koordin\u0101cijas v\u0101jin\u0101\u0161an\u0101s var pastiprin\u0101t tirgus sv\u0101rst\u012bgumu.<\/p>\n
Da\u017ei anal\u012bti\u0137i uzskata, ka AAE solis var\u0113tu b\u016bt sava veida uzvara ASV prezidentam Donaldam Trampam, kur\u0161 iepriek\u0161 kritiz\u0113jis OPEC par naftas cenu m\u0101ksl\u012bgu paaugstin\u0101\u0161anu. Krievija, cita OPEC+ dal\u012bbvalsts, pagaid\u0101m nav main\u012bjusi savu nost\u0101ju un turpina piedal\u012bties alians\u0113. Paredzams, ka \u0161\u012b situ\u0101cija var\u0113tu rad\u012bt cie\u0161\u0101ku sadarb\u012bbu starp ASV un AAE.<\/p>\n
Ietekme uz degvielas cen\u0101m Latvij\u0101<\/p>\n
Lai gan degvielas cenas Latvij\u0101 tie\u0161i ietekm\u0113 pasaules naftas cenas, t\u0101s veido ar\u012b nodok\u013ci un tirgot\u0101ju uzcenojums. \u0160obr\u012bd, 2026. gada 1. maij\u0101, vid\u0113j\u0101 95. markas benz\u012bna cena Latvij\u0101 ir ap 1.77 EUR par litru, bet d\u012bze\u013cdegvielai \u2013 ap 1.91 EUR par litru. Sal\u012bdzinot ar kaimi\u0146valst\u012bm, Latvij\u0101 degvielas cenas ir nedaudz augst\u0101kas nek\u0101 Igaunij\u0101 un zem\u0101kas nek\u0101 Lietuv\u0101 attiec\u012bgi benz\u012bnam un d\u012bze\u013cdegvielai. Lai gan naftas cen\u0101m ir tendence sv\u0101rst\u012bties, degvielas mazumtirdzniec\u012bbas cenas Latvij\u0101, visticam\u0101k, neizjut\u012bs t\u016bl\u012bt\u0113ju un dramatisku kritumu vai pieaugumu tie\u0161i AAE izst\u0101\u0161an\u0101s d\u0113\u013c. Tirgus ir sare\u017e\u0123\u012bts un pak\u013cauts daudziem faktoriem.<\/p>\n
Naftas cenu izmai\u0146u rezult\u0101t\u0101 degvielas cenai degvielas uzpildes stacij\u0101s (DUS) vajadz\u0113tu main\u012bties par aptuveni 3-4%, pie\u0146emot, ka p\u0101r\u0113j\u0101s izmaksas nav main\u012bju\u0161\u0101s. Tom\u0113r j\u0101\u0146em v\u0113r\u0101, ka aptuveni 40% no degvielas cenas veido nodok\u013ci (akc\u012bzes nodoklis, PVN), bet p\u0101r\u0113jais ir tirgot\u0101ja izmaksas un uzcenojums. L\u012bdz ar to naftas cenu sv\u0101rst\u012bbas ne vienm\u0113r tie\u0161i atspogu\u013cojas degvielas cen\u0101s uzpildes stacij\u0101s.<\/p>\n
\u0122eopolitiskie riski un ener\u0123\u0113tisk\u0101 dro\u0161\u012bba<\/p>\n
AAE izst\u0101\u0161an\u0101s no OPEC notiek laik\u0101, kad re\u0123ion\u0101 saglab\u0101jas \u0123eopolitisk\u0101 nestabilit\u0101te, tostarp notikumi ap Hormuza \u0161aurumu, kas ir viens no svar\u012bg\u0101kajiem pasaules ener\u0123ijas transporta ce\u013ciem. \u0160\u0101di notikumi rada riskus ener\u0123\u0113tikas pieg\u0101\u017eu dro\u0161\u012bbai. Lai gan AAE izst\u0101\u0161an\u0101s var\u0113tu ilgtermi\u0146\u0101 veicin\u0101t cenu konkurenci starp ra\u017eot\u0101jiem, \u012bstermi\u0146\u0101 tirgus var k\u013c\u016bt neparedzam\u0101ks. Valst\u012bm, piem\u0113ram, Kiprai, kas ir stipri atkar\u012bgas no degvielas importa, tas noz\u012bm\u0113 nepiecie\u0161am\u012bbu pa\u0101trin\u0101t ener\u0123ijas avotu diversifik\u0101ciju un samazin\u0101t atkar\u012bbu no \u0101r\u0113j\u0101m pieg\u0101d\u0113m.<\/p>\n
Lai gan AAE apgalvo, ka tas nav l\u0113mums par ra\u017eo\u0161anas palielin\u0101\u0161anu, bet gan politisks l\u0113mums, kas pie\u0146emts \u012bstaj\u0101 laik\u0101, past\u0101v ba\u017eas par iesp\u0113jamo naftas ieguves apjomu pieaugumu neatkar\u012bgi no OPEC+ l\u0113mumiem. Tas var\u0113tu rad\u012bt turpm\u0101kas sv\u0101rst\u012bbas un nepiecie\u0161am\u012bbu pasaules valst\u012bm p\u0101rskat\u012bt savas ener\u0123\u0113tikas strat\u0113\u0123ijas.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"AAE atst\u0101j OPEC: Kas to veicin\u0101ja un k\u0101das ir sekas? Apvienotie Ar\u0101bu Emir\u0101ti (AAE) no 1. maija izst\u0101jas…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":192709,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[14],"tags":[35894,23,57,28,29,35895,3082,32,33,22,30,31,35,39,38,36,37,34,40,15318,20,21627,26,27,24,25,54,55,56,21,58],"class_list":["post-192708","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-zinas-no-arvalstim","tag-aae-opec-izstasanas","tag-aktualitates","tag-arvalstim","tag-breaking-news","tag-breakingnews","tag-degvielas-cenas-latvija","tag-energetikas-drosiba","tag-featured-news","tag-featurednews","tag-headlines","tag-latest-news","tag-latestnews","tag-latvia","tag-latvian","tag-latviesu","tag-latviesu-valoda","tag-latviesuvaloda","tag-latvija","tag-lv","tag-naftas-tirgus","tag-news","tag-opec","tag-popularakas-zinas","tag-popularakaszinas","tag-top-stories","tag-topstories","tag-world","tag-world-news","tag-worldnews","tag-zinas","tag-zinas-no-arvalstim"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lv\/116501234736496957","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/192708","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=192708"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/192708\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/192709"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=192708"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=192708"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=192708"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}