{"id":29881,"date":"2025-10-24T08:43:07","date_gmt":"2025-10-24T08:43:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/29881\/"},"modified":"2025-10-24T08:43:07","modified_gmt":"2025-10-24T08:43:07","slug":"eksperti-prognoze-vien-poziciju-apmainu-nevis-izskirosus-lemumus-lente-lv","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/29881\/","title":{"rendered":"Eksperti prognoz\u0113 vien poz\u012bciju apmai\u0146u, nevis iz\u0161\u0137iro\u0161us l\u0113mumus\u00a0\u2014\u00a0Lente.lv"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Gaid\u012bt\u0101s Trampa un Putina tik\u0161an\u0101s perspekt\u012bvas: Pesimisms valda pirms augsta l\u012bme\u0146a sarun\u0101m<\/p>\n<p>Neskatoties uz iepriek\u0161 izteiktaj\u0101m cer\u012bb\u0101m par potenci\u0101lu izr\u0101vienu starptautiskaj\u0101 diplom\u0101tij\u0101, eksperti pau\u017e piesardz\u012bbu attiec\u012bb\u0101 uz gaid\u0101mo ASV prezidenta Donalda Trampa un Krievijas l\u012bdera Vladimira Putina tik\u0161anos Budape\u0161t\u0101. Lai gan pirms galvenaj\u0101m sarun\u0101m paredz\u0113tas ar\u012b abu valstu augsta l\u012bme\u0146a amatpersonu diskusijas, prognozes liecina, ka b\u016btiski un p\u0101rsteidzo\u0161i pazi\u0146ojumi nav gaid\u0101mi. Gaisotn\u0113 valda zin\u0101ms pesimisms, jo sarunu rezult\u0101ti var\u0113tu b\u016bt visai ierobe\u017eoti, sniedzot vien poz\u012bciju apmai\u0146u un sagatavo\u0161an\u0101s darbu turpm\u0101k\u0101m diskusij\u0101m.<\/p>\n<p>Augsta l\u012bme\u0146a amatpersonu sarunas \u2013 sagatavo\u0161an\u0101s vai iz\u0161\u0137ir\u0161an\u0101s br\u012bdis?<\/p>\n<p>Pirms Trampa un Putina potenci\u0101l\u0101s tik\u0161an\u0101s Budape\u0161t\u0101 pl\u0101not\u0101s augsta l\u012bme\u0146a amatpersonu sarunas tiek uzl\u016bkotas k\u0101 svar\u012bgs sagatavo\u0161an\u0101s posms. Tom\u0113r \u0122eopolitikas p\u0113t\u012bjumu centra direktors M\u0101ris And\u017e\u0101ns Latvijas Radio raid\u012bjum\u0101 \u201cLabr\u012bt\u201d nor\u0101d\u012bjis, ka no \u0161\u012bm sarun\u0101m nav sagaid\u0101mi lieli vai iz\u0161\u0137iro\u0161i l\u0113mumi. Vi\u0146\u0161 uzsv\u0113ris, ka lielie l\u0113mumi parasti tiek pie\u0146emti prezidentu un diktatoru l\u012bmen\u012b, un ir maz ticams, ka k\u0101ds cits pirms tam publiski paustu ko noz\u012bm\u012bgu Trampa viet\u0101. \u0160\u0101das sarunas dr\u012bz\u0101k kalpo k\u0101 poz\u012bciju apmai\u0146a un sagatavo\u0161an\u0101s darbs prezidentu gaid\u0101maj\u0101m sarun\u0101m. Tiek spekul\u0113ts ar\u012b par iesp\u0113jamu Ukrainas prezidenta Volodimira Zelenska pielai\u0161anu \u0161\u012bm sarun\u0101m, kas var\u0113tu pie\u0161\u0137irt diskusij\u0101m jaunu dinamiku, ta\u010du ar\u012b tas \u0161obr\u012bd ir tikai hipot\u0113tisks jaut\u0101jums.<\/p>\n<p>Trampa strat\u0113\u0123ija un Putina taktika \u2013 nenoteikt\u012bbas pilna sp\u0113le<\/p>\n<p>ASV prezidenta Donalda Trampa pieeja starptautiskajiem attiec\u012bb\u0101m bie\u017ei tiek rakturota k\u0101 \u201czigzaga ce\u013c\u0161\u201d, kur\u0101 vi\u0146a retorika un nost\u0101ja var strauji main\u012bties atkar\u012bb\u0101 no nesen\u0101kaj\u0101m sarun\u0101m un notikumiem. P\u0113c telefonsarunas ar Vladimiru Putinu, Tramps m\u0113dz paust optimistisk\u0101kus v\u0113rt\u0113jumus par attiec\u012bbu progresu, ta\u010du \u0161ie izteikumi vienm\u0113r j\u0101v\u0113rt\u0113 kritiski. M\u0101ris And\u017e\u0101ns nor\u0101da, ka Tramps var viegli main\u012bt virzienu, uzklausot Krievijas prezidenta argumentus, kas liecina par zin\u0101mu simp\u0101tiju pret Krieviju. \u0160\u0101da nenoteikt\u012bba padara prognoz\u0113\u0161anu par gaid\u0101mo tik\u0161anos izaicin\u0101jumu, jo nav skaidrs, k\u0101das tie\u0161i pras\u012bbas un pied\u0101v\u0101jumus Putins izkl\u0101s\u012bs un k\u0101 uz tiem rea\u0123\u0113s Tramps.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u201cLielus l\u0113mumus pie\u0146em prezidenti un diktatori. Trampa kungam \u012bpa\u0161i var\u0113tu nepatikt, ja k\u0101ds vi\u0146a viet\u0101 pazi\u0146otu kaut ko lielu,\u201d sprie\u017e And\u017e\u0101ns. \u201cT\u0101 b\u016bs tie\u0161\u0101m t\u0101da sagatavo\u0161an\u0101s un poz\u012bciju apmai\u0146a.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Budape\u0161ta k\u0101 diplom\u0101tiskais galds \u2013 cer\u012bbas un \u0161aubas<\/p>\n<p>Ung\u0101rijas galvaspils\u0113ta Budape\u0161ta k\u013cuvusi par potenci\u0101lu norises vietu gaid\u0101maj\u0101m Trampa un Putina sarun\u0101m. Lai gan Ung\u0101rijas premjerministrs Viktors Orb\u0101ns ir paudis atbalstu \u0161\u0101d\u0101m tik\u0161an\u0101s reiz\u0113m, uzskatot t\u0101s par \u201clielisku zi\u0146u pasaules miera cieno\u0161ajiem cilv\u0113kiem\u201d, Eiropas Savien\u012bbas (ES) l\u012bmen\u012b past\u0101v ba\u017eas. Jo \u012bpa\u0161i tiek uzsv\u0113rts Starptautisk\u0101s Krimin\u0101ltiesas (SKT) izdotais orderis par Vladimira Putina apcietin\u0101\u0161anu, kas rada juridiskas un politiskas dilemmas gad\u012bjum\u0101, ja vi\u0146\u0161 ierastos ES dal\u012bbvalst\u012b. Da\u017ei eksperti, piem\u0113ram, politikas zin\u0101tnes doktors M\u0101rti\u0146\u0161 Hir\u0161s, pie\u013cauj, ka tie\u0161i \u0161\u012b iemesla d\u0113\u013c tik\u0161an\u0101s Eiropas teritorij\u0101 var\u0113tu netikt r\u012bkota, lai nerad\u012btu iespaidu par starptautisko likumu v\u0101jumu vai ES sankciju neefektivit\u0101ti. Tom\u0113r, \u0146emot v\u0113r\u0101 Ung\u0101rijas poz\u012bciju, kas nav izst\u0101jusies no SKT, bet nepl\u0101no pild\u012bt t\u0101s orderi, un Trampa neprognoz\u0113jam\u012bbu, ir gr\u016bti paredz\u0113t gal\u012bgo izn\u0101kumu.<\/p>\n<p>Tuv\u0101ko dienu notikumi \u2013 atliktas sarunas un sankciju spiediens<\/p>\n<p>Neskaidr\u012bba par Trampa un Putina tik\u0161anos pieauga, kad tika atlikta ASV valsts sekret\u0101ra Marko Rubio un Krievijas \u0101rlietu ministra Sergeja Lavrova saruna, kas s\u0101kotn\u0113ji bija pl\u0101nota pirms augst\u0101k\u0101 l\u012bme\u0146a diskusij\u0101m. \u0160is atliktais pas\u0101kums v\u0113l vair\u0101k pastiprin\u0101ja ba\u017eas par progresu miera sarun\u0101s ar Maskavu. Tikm\u0113r Eiropas Savien\u012bbas dal\u012bbvalstis ir vienoju\u0161\u0101s par jaun\u0101m sankcij\u0101m pret Krieviju, tostarp ierobe\u017eojot t\u0101s naftas un g\u0101zes importu. \u0160\u012bs sankcijas tika noteiktas dienu p\u0113c tam, kad tika atcelta pl\u0101not\u0101 Trampa un Putina tik\u0161an\u0101s Budape\u0161t\u0101, Va\u0161ingtonai pau\u017eot vil\u0161anos par progresa tr\u016bkumu pamiera sarun\u0101s. \u0160ie notikumi kopum\u0101 veido sare\u017e\u0123\u012btu un nenoteiktu \u0123eopolitisku ainu, kur\u0101 katrs solis tiek r\u016bp\u012bgi analiz\u0113ts, un cer\u012bbas uz \u0101tru risin\u0101jumu Ukrainas kr\u012bzei \u0161obr\u012bd ir visai nelielas.<\/p>\n<p>Secin\u0101jumi: \u201cEsam tikai beigu s\u0101kum\u0101\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Analiz\u0113jot pa\u0161reiz\u0113jo situ\u0101ciju un ekspertu prognozes, skaidrs k\u013c\u016bst, ka gaid\u0101m\u0101 Trampa un Putina tik\u0161an\u0101s Budape\u0161t\u0101, visticam\u0101k, neb\u016bs iz\u0161\u0137iro\u0161a vai piln\u012bb\u0101 transform\u0113jo\u0161a. T\u0101s dr\u012bz\u0101k b\u016bs k\u0101 turpin\u0101jums jau ies\u0101ktajam diplom\u0101tiskajam procesam, kur\u0101 virz\u012bba notiek l\u0113ni un ar daudziem \u0161\u0137\u0113r\u0161\u013ciem. K\u0101 uzsv\u0113ris M\u0101ris And\u017e\u0101ns, \u201cjoproj\u0101m esam tikai beigu s\u0101kum\u0101\u201d. Tas noz\u012bm\u0113, ka ce\u013c\u0161 l\u012bdz re\u0101lam mieram un stabilai situ\u0101cijai ir v\u0113l \u013coti gar\u0161 un sare\u017e\u0123\u012bts, piepild\u012bts ar diplom\u0101tiskiem manevriem, poz\u012bciju apmai\u0146u un politisk\u0101m sp\u0113l\u0113m. L\u012bdz \u0161im notiku\u0161\u0101s sarunas un atceltie pas\u0101kumi tikai pastiprina iespaidu, ka katra virz\u012bba uz priek\u0161u ir smagi izc\u012bn\u012bta, un tas liek ar lielu piesardz\u012bbu raudz\u012bties uz jebk\u0101d\u0101m cer\u012bb\u0101m par dr\u012bzu un visaptvero\u0161u risin\u0101jumu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Gaid\u012bt\u0101s Trampa un Putina tik\u0161an\u0101s perspekt\u012bvas: Pesimisms valda pirms augsta l\u012bme\u0146a sarun\u0101m Neskatoties uz iepriek\u0161 izteiktaj\u0101m cer\u012bb\u0101m par&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":29882,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[23,28,29,8403,3464,32,33,4125,22,30,31,35,39,38,36,37,34,40,20,26,27,24,25,9137,9138,21],"class_list":{"0":"post-29881","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-aktualitates","8":"tag-aktualitates","9":"tag-breaking-news","10":"tag-breakingnews","11":"tag-budapesta","12":"tag-diplomatija","13":"tag-featured-news","14":"tag-featurednews","15":"tag-geopolitika","16":"tag-headlines","17":"tag-latest-news","18":"tag-latestnews","19":"tag-latvia","20":"tag-latvian","21":"tag-latviesu","22":"tag-latviesu-valoda","23":"tag-latviesuvaloda","24":"tag-latvija","25":"tag-lv","26":"tag-news","27":"tag-popularakas-zinas","28":"tag-popularakaszinas","29":"tag-top-stories","30":"tag-topstories","31":"tag-trampa-un-putina-tiksanas","32":"tag-ukrainas-krize","33":"tag-zinas"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lv\/115428262176726664","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29881","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29881"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29881\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/29882"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29881"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29881"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29881"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}