\u0160oned\u0113\u013c Eiropas Centr\u0101l\u0101s bankas (ECB) Padome san\u0101k uz monet\u0101r\u0101s politikas s\u0113di, kuras laik\u0101 tiks lemts par b\u0101zes procentu likmju jaut\u0101jumu.<\/p>\n
Tirgus dal\u012bbnieki t\u0101l\u0101ku likmju samazin\u0101jumu negaida \u2013 vi\u0146i uzskata, ka pa\u0161reiz\u0113jais l\u012bmenis saglab\u0101sies vismaz l\u012bdz 2026. gada beig\u0101m. Tom\u0113r prakse r\u0101da, ka \u0161\u0101das prognozes nereti izr\u0101d\u0101s k\u013c\u016bdainas, t\u0101d\u0113\u013c p\u0101r\u0101k dro\u0161a pa\u013cau\u0161an\u0101s uz \u0161o scen\u0101riju var likt vilties.<\/p>\n
K\u0101p\u0113c tiek prognoz\u0113ts, ka ECB ietur\u0113s pauzi? <\/p>\n
\u0160\u012b gada j\u016bnij\u0101 Eiropas Centr\u0101l\u0101 banka samazin\u0101ja b\u0101zes procentu likmi l\u012bdz 2 %, tom\u0113r tirgus dal\u012bbnieki neparedz turpm\u0101kus samazin\u0101jumus. \u0160\u012bs prognozes balst\u0101s uz diviem galvenajiem faktoriem. Pirmk\u0101rt, pa\u0161reiz\u0113jais b\u0101zes likmju l\u012bmenis tiek uzskat\u012bts par neitr\u0101lu \u2013 tas vairs nebremz\u0113 ekonomikas izaugsmi, bet vienlaikus ar\u012b pal\u012bdz saglab\u0101t cenu stabilit\u0101ti. Otrk\u0101rt, eirozon\u0101 infl\u0101cijas pal\u0113nin\u0101\u0161an\u0101s ir apst\u0101jusies, un jaun\u0101kie ekonomiskie r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ji neliecina par turpm\u0101ku ekonomikas v\u0101jin\u0101\u0161anos. T\u0101p\u0113c past\u0101v uzskats, ka ECB ietur\u0113s ilg\u0101ku pauzi \u2013 turpm\u0101ka b\u0101zes likmju samazin\u0101\u0161ana eirozon\u0101 \u0161obr\u012bd \u0161\u0137iet maz ticama.<\/p>\n
Ko var ietekm\u0113t V\u0101cijas ekonomikas bremz\u0113\u0161an\u0101s? <\/p>\n
Tom\u0113r V\u0101cijas ekonomikas dati r\u0101da pret\u0113ju tendenci \u2013 valsts r\u016bpniec\u012bbas r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ji atkal s\u0101k v\u0101jin\u0101ties. Kravu p\u0101rvad\u0101jumu V\u0101cij\u0101 indekss, kas labi atspogu\u013co \u0161\u012b br\u012b\u017ea ra\u017eo\u0161anas aktivit\u0101ti, signaliz\u0113 par jaunu r\u016bpniec\u012bbas lejupsl\u012bdes posmu. Rodas jaut\u0101jums \u2013 vai tas ir tikai \u012bslaic\u012bgs pal\u0113nin\u0101jums p\u0113c tarifu \u0161oka vai tom\u0113r dzi\u013c\u0101kas konkur\u0113tsp\u0113jas zuduma paz\u012bme?Turkl\u0101t ar\u012b bankas Citadele prognozes nor\u0101da uz turpm\u0101ku V\u0101cijas r\u016bpniec\u012bbas v\u0101jin\u0101\u0161anos. Ja liel\u0101ko Eiropas valstu ekonomika turpin\u0101s demonstr\u0113t v\u0101juma paz\u012bmes, tas var pa\u0101trin\u0101t infl\u0101cijas kritumu eirozon\u0101 un pamudin\u0101t ECB atk\u0101rtoti samazin\u0101t likmes.<\/p>\n
2026. gada s\u0101kums var k\u013c\u016bt par l\u016bzuma punktu ECB politik\u0101<\/p>\n
L\u012bdz 2025. gada beig\u0101m no ECB monet\u0101raj\u0101 politik\u0101 netiek gaid\u012btas b\u016btiskas izmai\u0146as \u2013 oktobr\u012b un decembr\u012b l\u0113mumi par procentu likmju izmai\u0146\u0101m, visticam\u0101k, netiks pie\u0146emti. Tom\u0113r 2026. gada febru\u0101ra s\u0113de var k\u013c\u016bt par pagrieziena punktu.Pa\u0161laik tirgi iesp\u0113ju, ka procentu likmes tiks samazin\u0101tas, v\u0113rt\u0113 tikai ar 11 % ticam\u012bbu. Ta\u010du, v\u0101jinoties makroekonomiskajiem r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101jiem, \u0161\u012b varb\u016bt\u012bba var pieaugt l\u012bdz pat 50 %. \u0160\u0101d\u0101 gad\u012bjum\u0101 n\u0101kam\u0101 gada s\u0101kum\u0101 ECB Padom\u0113 var\u0113tu gaid\u012bt \u013coti karstas diskusijas.<\/p>\n
Tirgus gaida stabilit\u0101ti, bet viss atkar\u012bgs no V\u0101cijas ekonomikasPa\u0161laik tirgus dal\u012bbnieki \u0161\u0137iet it k\u0101 iemigu\u0161i \u2013 vi\u0146i l\u012bdz pat 2026. gada beig\u0101m paredz ECB monet\u0101r\u0101s politikas stabilit\u0101ti. Ta\u010du realit\u0101t\u0113 viss b\u016bs atkar\u012bgs no V\u0101cijas ekonomikas att\u012bst\u012bbas trajektorijas. Ja v\u0101jin\u0101\u0161an\u0101s turpin\u0101sies, 2026. gad\u0101 varam pieredz\u0113t ne vienu, bet vair\u0101kus likmju samazin\u0101jumus ar ilg\u0101k\u0101m pauz\u0113m to starplaik\u0101.Visticam\u0101k, ECB cent\u012bsies saglab\u0101t l\u012bdzsvaru \u2013 stimul\u0113t ekonomiku, vienlaikus kontrol\u0113jot infl\u0101ciju.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u0160oned\u0113\u013c Eiropas Centr\u0101l\u0101s bankas (ECB) Padome san\u0101k uz monet\u0101r\u0101s politikas s\u0113di, kuras laik\u0101 tiks lemts par b\u0101zes procentu…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":34175,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[869,77,870,76,867,35,39,38,36,37,34,871,868,40,21],"class_list":{"0":"post-34174","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-bizness","8":"tag-biznesa-zinas","9":"tag-bizness","10":"tag-bizness-latvija","11":"tag-business","12":"tag-dienas-zinas","13":"tag-latvia","14":"tag-latvian","15":"tag-latviesu","16":"tag-latviesu-valoda","17":"tag-latviesuvaloda","18":"tag-latvija","19":"tag-latvijas-biznesa-zinas","20":"tag-latvijas-zinas","21":"tag-lv","22":"tag-zinas"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lv\/115456872555135054","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34174","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=34174"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34174\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/34175"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=34174"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=34174"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=34174"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}