Feder\u0101l\u0101s Rezerves samazin\u0101jums un neskaidr\u012bbas par n\u0101kotni<\/p>\n
Feder\u0101lo rezervju sist\u0113ma (FRS) tre\u0161dien nol\u0113ma samazin\u0101t savu galveno procentu likmi, cen\u0161oties veicin\u0101t ekonomikas izaugsmi un nodarbin\u0101t\u012bbu. \u0160is solis, kas ir jau otrais \u0161ogad, notiek laik\u0101, kad infl\u0101cijas spiediens joproj\u0101m nav piln\u012bb\u0101 mazin\u0101jies. Tom\u0113r FRS priek\u0161s\u0113d\u0113t\u0101js D\u017eeroms Pauels skaidri nor\u0101d\u012bja, ka turpm\u0101ki likmju samazin\u0101jumi nav garant\u0113ti. Vi\u0146\u0161 uzsv\u0113ra, ka vald\u012bbas sl\u0113g\u0161anas izrais\u012btie ekonomisko zi\u0146ojumu p\u0101rtraukumi un b\u016btisk\u0101s at\u0161\u0137ir\u012bbas 19 FRS amatpersonu viedok\u013cos rada nenoteikt\u012bbu attiec\u012bb\u0101 uz turpm\u0101ko politiku.<\/p>\n
Pauels preses konferenc\u0113 p\u0113c l\u0113muma pazi\u0146o\u0161anas atkl\u0101ja, ka decembr\u012b paredz\u0113taj\u0101 n\u0101kamaj\u0101 FRS s\u0113d\u0113 past\u0101v “stingri at\u0161\u0137ir\u012bgi viedok\u013ci par r\u012bc\u012bbas veidu”, un turpm\u0101ka b\u0101zes likmes samazin\u0101\u0161ana nav “iepriek\u0161 noteikta lieta \u2013 paties\u012bb\u0101 pat ne tuvu”. Likmes samazin\u0101jums par ceturtda\u013cpunktu l\u012bdz ar to galven\u0101s FRS likmes diapazonu nost\u0101da no 3,75% l\u012bdz 4%. Atg\u0101din\u0101sim, ka 2023. un 2024. gad\u0101 FRS bija paaugstin\u0101jusi likmi l\u012bdz aptuveni 5,3%, lai c\u012bn\u012btos pret strauj\u0101ko infl\u0101cijas pieaugumu p\u0113d\u0113jo \u010detru desmitga\u017eu laik\u0101, pirms pag\u0101ju\u0161aj\u0101 gad\u0101 veica tr\u012bs likmju pazemin\u0101jumus. Zem\u0101kas likmes ilgtermi\u0146\u0101 var\u0113tu mazin\u0101t aiz\u0146em\u0161an\u0101s izmaksas gan pat\u0113r\u0113t\u0101jiem (hipot\u0113k\u0101m, auto kred\u012btiem, kred\u012btkart\u0113m), gan ar\u012b uz\u0146\u0113mumiem. \u0160is l\u0113mums pie\u0146emts sare\u017e\u0123\u012bt\u0101 laik\u0101, kad nodarbin\u0101t\u012bba ir pal\u0113nin\u0101jusies, bet infl\u0101cija joproj\u0101m p\u0101rsniedz FRS noteikto 2% m\u0113r\u0137i. Situ\u0101ciju v\u0113l vair\u0101k sare\u017e\u0123\u012b tas, ka FRS pie\u0146em l\u0113mumus bez ierastajiem ekonomiskajiem r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101jiem, ko sniedz vald\u012bba, tostarp ikm\u0113ne\u0161a zi\u0146ojumiem par nodarbin\u0101t\u012bbu, infl\u0101ciju un pat\u0113ri\u0146u, kas pa\u0161laik ir aptur\u0113ti vald\u012bbas sl\u0113g\u0161anas d\u0113\u013c.<\/p>\n
Decembra likmes samazin\u0101jums: Vai tas ir neizb\u0113gams?<\/p>\n
Finan\u0161u tirgi liel\u0101 m\u0113r\u0101 prognoz\u0113ja k\u0101rt\u0113jo likmju samazin\u0101jumu decembr\u012b, ta\u010du Pauela koment\u0101ri izrais\u012bja akciju tirgus kritumu. S&P 500 indekss saglab\u0101j\u0101s gandr\u012bz nemain\u012bgs, bet Dow Jones Industrial Average indekss nosl\u0113dz\u0101s nedaudz zem\u0101k. “Pauels nolaid\u012bgi izteic\u0101s par ideju, ka FRS str\u0101d\u0101 autom\u0101tiskaj\u0101 re\u017e\u012bm\u0101 attiec\u012bb\u0101 uz decembra samazin\u0101jumu,” atz\u012bm\u0113ja \u0122ennadijs Goldbergs, TD Securities ASV likmju strat\u0113\u0123ijas vad\u012bt\u0101js. “T\u0101 viet\u0101 vi\u0146iem b\u016bs j\u0101gaida ekonomiskie dati, lai apstiprin\u0101tu, ka likmes samazin\u0101jums patie\u0161\u0101m ir nepiecie\u0161ams.”<\/p>\n
Pauels tika jaut\u0101ts par vald\u012bbas sl\u0113g\u0161anas ietekmi uz datu pieejam\u012bbu. Vi\u0146\u0161 atzina, ka FRS r\u012bc\u012bb\u0101 ir da\u017ei dati, kas sniedz “priek\u0161statu par notieko\u0161o”. Vi\u0146\u0161 piebilda: “Ja ekonomik\u0101 notiktu iev\u0113rojamas vai materi\u0101las izmai\u0146as, es dom\u0101ju, ka m\u0113s to paman\u012btu.” Ta\u010du FRS priek\u0161s\u0113d\u0113t\u0101js atzina, ka ierobe\u017eot\u0101 datu pieejam\u012bba var\u0113tu mudin\u0101t amatpersonas b\u016bt piesardz\u012bg\u0101k\u0101m pirms n\u0101kam\u0101s s\u0113des decembra vid\u016b. “Past\u0101v iesp\u0113ja, ka b\u016btu sapr\u0101t\u012bgi b\u016bt piesardz\u012bg\u0101kiem, pie\u0146emot l\u0113mumus (par likm\u0113m). Es to neapgalvoju, es tikai saku, ka noteikti past\u0101v iesp\u0113ja, ka var\u0113tu teikt: ‘M\u0113s \u012bsti neredzam, t\u0101p\u0113c piebremz\u0113sim.'”<\/p>\n
Mazin\u0101s infl\u0101cijas draudi<\/p>\n
Parasti FRS paaugstina \u012bstermi\u0146a likmes, lai c\u012bn\u012btos pret infl\u0101ciju, un pazemina t\u0101s, lai veicin\u0101tu aiz\u0146em\u0161anos un t\u0113ri\u0146us un atbalst\u012btu nodarbin\u0101t\u012bbu. \u0160obr\u012bd FRS saskata gan pal\u0113nin\u0101tas nodarbin\u0101t\u012bbas, gan pieaugo\u0161as infl\u0101cijas riskus. T\u0101d\u0113\u013c t\u0101 samazina aiz\u0146em\u0161an\u0101s izmaksas, lai atbalst\u012btu darba tirgu, vienlaikus saglab\u0101jot likmes pietiekami augstas, lai izvair\u012btos no ekonomikas p\u0101rm\u0113r\u012bgas stimul\u0113\u0161anas, kas var\u0113tu pasliktin\u0101t infl\u0101ciju. Tom\u0113r Pauels liecin\u0101ja, ka FRS arvien vair\u0101k infl\u0101ciju uztver k\u0101 maz\u0101ku draudu. Vi\u0146\u0161 atz\u012bm\u0113ja, ka, izsl\u0113dzot prezidenta Donalda Trampa tarifu ietekmi, infl\u0101cija “nav tik t\u0101lu no m\u016bsu 2% m\u0113r\u0137a”. Infl\u0101cija ir pal\u0113nin\u0101jusies \u012bres tirg\u016b un daudziem pakalpojumiem, piem\u0113ram, auto apdro\u0161in\u0101\u0161an\u0101. Pag\u0101ju\u0161aj\u0101 ned\u0113\u013c\u0101 public\u0113tais zi\u0146ojums liecin\u0101ja, ka infl\u0101cija joproj\u0101m ir augsta, bet nepa\u0101trin\u0101s. Vald\u012bba, neraugoties uz sl\u0113g\u0161anu, atsauca darbiniekus, lai sagatavotu \u0161o zi\u0146ojumu, jo tas tika izmantots, apr\u0113\u0137inot dz\u012bves d\u0101rdz\u012bbas korekciju soci\u0101l\u0101s nodro\u0161in\u0101juma maks\u0101jumiem. Taj\u0101 pa\u0161\u0101 laik\u0101 ekonomika var\u0113tu atg\u016bties no pirm\u0101 pusgada gausuma, kas var\u0113tu uzlabot darba vietu izaugsmi n\u0101kamajos m\u0113ne\u0161os, sac\u012bja Pauels. Tas padar\u012btu likmju samazin\u0101jumus maz\u0101k nepiecie\u0161amus. “Da\u013ca komitejas uzskata, ka ir pien\u0101cis laiks varb\u016bt nedaudz attur\u0113ties un redz\u0113t, vai darba tirgum patie\u0161\u0101m past\u0101v riski lejupv\u0113rst\u0101 virzien\u0101,” sac\u012bja Pauels. “Vai ar\u012b redz\u0113t, vai paties\u012bb\u0101 stipr\u0101ka izaugsme, ko m\u0113s redzam, ir re\u0101la.” <\/p>\n
Nesaska\u0146as komitej\u0101<\/p>\n
Divi no 12 amatperson\u0101m, kas balso par FRS likmju l\u0113mumiem, tre\u0161dien balsoja pret\u0113ji. D\u017eefrijs \u0160mids, Kansas City FRS bankas prezidents, balsoja pret p\u0101rmai\u0146\u0101m, jo vi\u0146\u0161 iebilda pret FRS likmes groz\u012b\u0161anu. \u0160mids iepriek\u0161 bija paudis ba\u017eas, ka infl\u0101cija joproj\u0101m ir p\u0101r\u0101k augsta. FRS p\u0101rvaldnieks St\u012bvens Mirans balsoja pret\u0113ji jau otro s\u0113di p\u0113c k\u0101rtas, iest\u0101joties par puspunktu liel\u0101ku samazin\u0101jumu. Miranu iec\u0113la prezidents Donalds Tramps tie\u0161i pirms FRS p\u0113d\u0113j\u0101s s\u0113des septembr\u012b. Tramps atk\u0101rtoti kritiz\u0113jis Pauelu par to, ka vi\u0146\u0161 nav pietiekami \u0101tri samazin\u0101jis aiz\u0146em\u0161an\u0101s izmaksas. Tre\u0161dienas r\u012bt\u0101 Dienvidkorej\u0101 vi\u0146\u0161 atk\u0101rtoja savu kritiku par FRS priek\u0161s\u0113d\u0113t\u0101ju. “Vi\u0146am v\u0113l p\u0101ris m\u0113ne\u0161i un vi\u0146\u0161 b\u016bs prom,” sac\u012bja Tramps. Pauela pilnvaru termi\u0146\u0161 beidzas maij\u0101. Pirmdien finan\u0161u ministrs Skots Besents apstiprin\u0101ja, ka administr\u0101cija izskata piecus kandid\u0101tus Pauela aizst\u0101\u0161anai un l\u0113mums tiks pie\u0146emts l\u012bdz gada beig\u0101m.<\/p>\n
Vald\u012bbas sl\u0113g\u0161ana aizkav\u0113 datu public\u0113\u0161anu<\/p>\n
FRS ar\u012b pazi\u0146oja, ka t\u0101 p\u0101rtrauks samazin\u0101t savu v\u0113rtspap\u012bru kr\u0101jumu apjomu, ko t\u0101 uzkr\u0101ja pand\u0113mijas laik\u0101 un p\u0113c 2008.-2009. gada liel\u0101s recesijas. \u0160\u012b izmai\u0146a, kas st\u0101sies sp\u0113k\u0101 1. decembr\u012b, laika gait\u0101 var\u0113tu nedaudz pazemin\u0101t ilgtermi\u0146a procentu likmes, piem\u0113ram, hipotek\u0101raj\u0101m likm\u0113m, ta\u010du kopum\u0101 neietekm\u0113s b\u016btiski pat\u0113r\u0113t\u0101ju aiz\u0146em\u0161an\u0101s izmaksas. Pauels uzsv\u0113ra, ka bez vald\u012bbas sniegtajiem datiem ekonomikas izseko\u0161ana ir gr\u016bt\u0101ka. Septembra darba tirgus zi\u0146ojums, kas bija j\u0101public\u0113 pirms trim ned\u0113\u013c\u0101m, joproj\u0101m ir atlikts. \u0160\u012b m\u0113ne\u0161a nodarbin\u0101t\u012bbas r\u0101d\u012bt\u0101ji, kas bija paredz\u0113ti 7. novembr\u012b, visticam\u0101k, tiks aizkav\u0113ti un var\u0113tu b\u016bt maz\u0101k visaptvero\u0161i, kad tie beidzot tiks public\u0113ti. Savuk\u0101rt Balt\u0101 nama pag\u0101ju\u0161oned\u0113\u013c pazi\u0146oja, ka oktobra infl\u0101cijas zi\u0146ojums, iesp\u0113jams, netiks izdots visp\u0101r. Pirms vald\u012bbas sl\u0113g\u0161anas, kas p\u0101rtrauca datu pl\u016bsmu, m\u0113ne\u0161a nodarbin\u0101t\u012bbas pieaugums iepriek\u0161\u0113jos tr\u012bs m\u0113ne\u0161os vid\u0113ji bija tikai 29 000, liecina Darba departamenta dati. Nodarbin\u0101t\u012bbas l\u012bmenis august\u0101 pieauga l\u012bdz joproj\u0101m zemam 4,3% no 4,2% j\u016blij\u0101. Nesen vair\u0101kas lielas korpor\u0101cijas pazi\u0146oju\u0161as par pla\u0161iem atlai\u0161anu gad\u012bjumiem, tostarp UPS, Amazon un Target, kas rada draudus bezdarba l\u012bme\u0146a pieaugumam, ja tendence turpin\u0101sies. Pauels sac\u012bja, ka FRS \u0161os atlai\u017eu pazi\u0146ojumus “\u013coti r\u016bp\u012bgi” v\u0113ro.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Feder\u0101l\u0101s Rezerves samazin\u0101jums un neskaidr\u012bbas par n\u0101kotni Feder\u0101lo rezervju sist\u0113ma (FRS) tre\u0161dien nol\u0113ma samazin\u0101t savu galveno procentu likmi,…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":36757,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[77,76,10590,2328,10589,550,35,39,38,36,37,34,40,549],"class_list":{"0":"post-36756","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-bizness","8":"tag-bizness","9":"tag-business","10":"tag-dzeroms-pauels","11":"tag-ekonomikas-izaugsme","12":"tag-federalas-rezerves","13":"tag-inflacija","14":"tag-latvia","15":"tag-latvian","16":"tag-latviesu","17":"tag-latviesu-valoda","18":"tag-latviesuvaloda","19":"tag-latvija","20":"tag-lv","21":"tag-procentu-likmes"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/pubeurope.com\/@lv\/115473108424820159","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36756","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=36756"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36756\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/36757"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=36756"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=36756"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.europesays.com\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=36756"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}